Bleak-Downstairs — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$33

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

Trades

747

lifetime

Volume

$3.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$19

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-26 17:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 60% +$33

Politics

2% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No		+86	$10	22¢	$19	+$9	06-26 17:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776200400	2	$72	51	49	+2	open	—	04-14 21:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$65	169	0	+169	open	—	05-14 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$61	46	46	+0	open	—	05-01 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$59	39	39	+0	open	—	05-03 21:58
eth updown 5m 1776179400	2	$56	37	36	+1	open	—	04-14 15:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$50	103	0	+103	Up	$-50	05-13 09:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$50	90	0	+90	Up	+$40	05-12 07:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$50	126	0	+126	open	—	05-21 17:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$50	62	0	+62	Up	$-50	05-13 09:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$50	79	0	+79	Up	+$29	05-13 00:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$50	95	0	+95	open	—	05-16 06:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$50	94	0	+94	open	—	05-23 14:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$50	94	0	+94	open	—	05-19 22:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$50	192	0	+192	open	—	05-23 13:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$50	118	0	+118	open	—	05-18 21:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$50	101	0	+101	Up	+$51	05-12 08:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$50	83	0	+83	open	—	05-15 13:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$50	58	0	+58	open	—	05-19 09:30
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$29	18	18	+0	open	—	04-06 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$27	17	17	+0	open	—	05-03 23:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	3	$27	18	18	+0	open	—	05-22 23:52
btc updown 5m 1775913300	2	$25	16	16	+0	open	—	04-11 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$23	15	15	+0	open	—	05-01 06:05
btc updown 5m 1772443200	2	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	03-02 09:24
will trump say iran or iranian 15 times during monday news conference	2	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	04-06 17:28
btc updown 5m 1776465300	2	$20	14	14	+1	open	—	04-17 22:39
eth updown 5m 1776991200	2	$19	14	13	+0	open	—	04-24 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$18	13	13	+0	open	—	05-03 22:28
btc updown 5m 1776519900	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-18 13:49
btc updown 5m 1776409800	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-17 07:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 17:26:41	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	86	12¢	$10	0x0aafdb…
06-26 09:52:11	eth updown 5m 1782467400	Down	SELL	3	81¢	$3	0xf56772…
06-26 09:50:23	eth updown 5m 1782467400	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x428770…
06-26 09:45:40	eth updown 5m 1782467100	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x98dac9…
05-26 10:03:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x112910…
05-23 18:15:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x2b81c2…
05-23 15:05:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xdd54a9…
05-23 15:00:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xceded2…
05-23 14:55:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x6e5b5f…
05-23 14:50:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0xe3f3d9…
05-23 14:45:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x594053…
05-23 13:25:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xf3bda1…
05-23 13:15:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0x7bf2b0…
05-23 13:10:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x08dba8…
05-23 13:05:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xa4bd56…
05-22 23:52:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	18	93¢	$17	0x764012…
05-22 23:50:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa0d6c8…
05-22 23:49:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x0934f0…
05-22 22:19:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6ab27e…
05-22 22:17:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa87386…
05-22 19:52:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x81ffc3…
05-22 19:51:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xbe07bd…
05-22 18:55:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa8e699…
05-22 18:50:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0xc48080…
05-22 14:25:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x1e75d5…
05-22 14:20:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x66cd56…
05-22 11:19:00	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa6d976…
05-22 11:17:50	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x88de63…
05-21 17:35:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	126	40¢	$50	0x2aaaa9…
05-21 17:30:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xf41c71…
05-21 17:25:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x5e41ba…
05-20 05:20:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xcc9479…
05-20 05:15:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x28d6b1…
05-20 05:10:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x756b3e…
05-19 22:30:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8b705b…
05-19 22:25:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xb6d45f…
05-19 22:20:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x2debdf…
05-19 22:15:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xa60196…
05-19 09:35:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x85dc2d…
05-19 09:30:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0xf894fb…
05-19 09:25:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0xe02578…
05-19 09:20:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xe7202a…
05-18 21:45:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	118	42¢	$50	0x0cd957…
05-18 21:35:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xdbc25d…
05-18 18:30:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x16ea18…
05-18 11:50:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x03a218…
05-18 11:45:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x054d1d…
05-18 11:40:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x90ae98…
05-17 17:15:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x9f40fe…
05-17 10:15:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xc2466d…
05-17 10:10:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x321529…
05-17 10:05:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xde4c0d…
05-17 01:50:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x52e2c0…
05-17 01:45:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x2e61e5…
05-16 09:20:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x438ca2…
05-16 09:15:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xd5651f…
05-16 07:15:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0xbde66f…
05-16 07:10:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xc63295…
05-16 06:50:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	95	53¢	$50	0x1d68ee…
05-16 06:45:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xa00dcf…
05-16 06:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x6a8c78…
05-16 06:25:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xd315bf…
05-15 13:45:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x8b0426…
05-15 13:40:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0xf42e50…
05-15 13:35:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc9a9e3…
05-15 05:50:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xe52ad6…
05-15 05:45:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x752a2c…
05-15 05:40:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x04b56e…
05-15 05:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xb8560b…
05-15 05:35:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xac0c24…
05-15 05:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4b2fc7…
05-15 05:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xeae836…
05-15 02:20:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x760742…
05-15 02:15:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc7e833…
05-15 02:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x550441…
05-15 00:00:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd2db08…
05-14 23:55:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xeee799…
05-14 23:50:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x040468…
05-14 14:50:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	131	38¢	$50	0xc05e41…
05-14 14:50:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0x97f2d7…
05-14 14:45:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc55559…
05-14 13:20:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xbc3836…
05-14 13:20:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x08154e…
05-14 09:40:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x56101f…
05-14 03:10:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x59993d…
05-14 03:00:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x9bef91…
05-14 02:55:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x03f4bf…
05-14 02:50:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xbdd7c9…
05-13 09:15:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	103	49¢	$50	0xc59d90…
05-13 09:05:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe34242…
05-13 09:00:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0xd50563…
05-13 08:55:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x0bee2d…
05-13 08:50:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x47c711…
05-13 00:00:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	79	64¢	$50	0x8c059d…
05-12 23:55:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x9840ad…
05-12 23:50:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x44f2f2…
05-12 18:55:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x0dabb3…
05-12 08:15:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	101	50¢	$50	0x9386d7…
05-12 08:10:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0x87dfa5…
05-12 07:05:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	90	56¢	$50	0xa6516c…