Bleak-Downstairs — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

Trades

782

lifetime

Volume

$3.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 08-11 06:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 60% +$33

Politics

2% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776200400	2	$72	51	49	+2	open	—	04-14 21:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$65	169	0	+169	open	—	05-14 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$61	46	46	+0	open	—	05-01 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$59	39	39	+0	open	—	05-03 21:58
eth updown 5m 1776179400	2	$56	37	36	+1	open	—	04-14 15:15
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	2	$55	86	86	+0	open	—	07-17 02:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$50	126	0	+126	open	—	05-21 17:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$50	90	0	+90	Up	+$40	05-12 07:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$50	62	0	+62	Up	$-50	05-13 09:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$50	103	0	+103	Up	$-50	05-13 09:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$50	95	0	+95	open	—	05-16 06:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$50	94	0	+94	open	—	05-23 14:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$50	79	0	+79	Up	+$29	05-13 00:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$50	94	0	+94	open	—	05-19 22:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$50	101	0	+101	Up	+$51	05-12 08:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$50	118	0	+118	open	—	05-18 21:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$50	192	0	+192	open	—	05-23 13:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$50	83	0	+83	open	—	05-15 13:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$50	58	0	+58	open	—	05-19 09:30
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$29	18	18	+0	open	—	04-06 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$27	17	17	+0	open	—	05-03 23:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	3	$27	18	18	+0	open	—	05-22 23:52
eth updown 5m 1786134000	2	$25	19	19	+0	open	—	08-07 20:21
btc updown 5m 1775913300	2	$25	16	16	+0	open	—	04-11 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$23	15	15	+0	open	—	05-01 06:05
btc updown 5m 1772443200	2	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	03-02 09:24
eth updown 5m 1785847500	2	$22	16	16	+0	open	—	08-04 12:46
will trump say iran or iranian 15 times during monday news conference	2	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	04-06 17:28
btc updown 5m 1776465300	2	$20	14	14	+1	open	—	04-17 22:39
btc updown 5m 1785837000	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	08-04 09:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 06:19:12	eth updown 5m 1786428900	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x88754c…
08-11 06:14:46	eth updown 5m 1786428900	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8d8507…
08-11 06:09:15	eth updown 5m 1786428600	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1e4e9c…
08-09 00:34:24	eth updown 5m 1786235400	Down	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x1b9301…
08-09 00:29:54	eth updown 5m 1786235400	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xae82e1…
08-08 22:13:24	eth updown 5m 1786227300	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8f1d2a…
08-08 19:04:43	eth updown 5m 1786215600	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x44c8e2…
08-08 19:00:18	eth updown 5m 1786215600	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1aedf8…
08-08 18:56:01	eth updown 5m 1786215000	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xbef9a1…
08-08 18:55:10	eth updown 5m 1786215300	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3e2f47…
08-08 18:49:48	eth updown 5m 1786215000	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xf2a892…
08-08 18:45:28	eth updown 5m 1786214700	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd60f32…
08-08 00:38:24	eth updown 5m 1786149300	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$2	0xe2a239…
08-08 00:35:07	eth updown 5m 1786149300	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xced3c4…
08-08 00:34:33	eth updown 5m 1786149000	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xf8971c…
08-08 00:29:30	eth updown 5m 1786149000	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x650830…
08-07 23:13:54	eth updown 5m 1786144500	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x90ac63…
08-07 20:24:42	eth updown 5m 1786134300	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf2c556…
08-07 20:21:12	eth updown 5m 1786134000	Down	SELL	19	81¢	$15	0xced706…
08-07 20:20:33	eth updown 5m 1786134000	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x1db479…
08-05 05:46:15	btc updown 5m 1785908700	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe8677c…
08-04 21:57:30	btc updown 5m 1785880800	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5bd931…
08-04 12:46:36	eth updown 5m 1785847500	Down	SELL	16	88¢	$14	0x8aa27c…
08-04 12:43:59	eth updown 5m 1785847500	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x5893c0…
08-04 09:46:39	btc updown 5m 1785837000	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xaa4a6c…
08-04 09:21:56	btc updown 5m 1785835500	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xe68350…
08-04 08:50:03	btc updown 5m 1785833400	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x949fca…
08-04 08:41:53	btc updown 5m 1785833100	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4c1509…
08-04 08:38:59	btc updown 5m 1785832800	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x572ab9…
08-04 08:28:53	btc updown 5m 1785832200	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xef5077…
07-21 18:36:51	will ethereum reach 2750 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	24	20¢	$5	0x9e268f…
07-20 19:22:04	will ethereum dip to 1800 in july 2026 from july 14	No	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0x0b1f49…
07-17 15:48:15	will ethereum dip to 1800 in july 2026 from july 14	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5421cf…
07-17 02:38:57	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	86	52¢	$45	0xa6af76…
07-11 20:21:05	will ethereum reach 2750 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x2eede4…
06-26 17:26:41	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	86	12¢	$10	0x0aafdb…
06-26 09:52:11	eth updown 5m 1782467400	Down	SELL	3	81¢	$3	0xf56772…
06-26 09:50:23	eth updown 5m 1782467400	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x428770…
06-26 09:45:40	eth updown 5m 1782467100	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x98dac9…
05-26 10:03:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x112910…
05-23 18:15:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x2b81c2…
05-23 15:05:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xdd54a9…
05-23 15:00:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xceded2…
05-23 14:55:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x6e5b5f…
05-23 14:50:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0xe3f3d9…
05-23 14:45:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x594053…
05-23 13:25:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xf3bda1…
05-23 13:15:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0x7bf2b0…
05-23 13:10:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x08dba8…
05-23 13:05:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xa4bd56…
05-22 23:52:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	18	93¢	$17	0x764012…
05-22 23:50:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa0d6c8…
05-22 23:49:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x0934f0…
05-22 22:19:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6ab27e…
05-22 22:17:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa87386…
05-22 19:52:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x81ffc3…
05-22 19:51:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xbe07bd…
05-22 18:55:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa8e699…
05-22 18:50:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0xc48080…
05-22 14:25:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x1e75d5…
05-22 14:20:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x66cd56…
05-22 11:19:00	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa6d976…
05-22 11:17:50	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x88de63…
05-21 17:35:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	126	40¢	$50	0x2aaaa9…
05-21 17:30:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xf41c71…
05-21 17:25:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x5e41ba…
05-20 05:20:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xcc9479…
05-20 05:15:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x28d6b1…
05-20 05:10:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x756b3e…
05-19 22:30:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8b705b…
05-19 22:25:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xb6d45f…
05-19 22:20:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x2debdf…
05-19 22:15:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xa60196…
05-19 09:35:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x85dc2d…
05-19 09:30:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0xf894fb…
05-19 09:25:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0xe02578…
05-19 09:20:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xe7202a…
05-18 21:45:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	118	42¢	$50	0x0cd957…
05-18 21:35:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xdbc25d…
05-18 18:30:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x16ea18…
05-18 11:50:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x03a218…
05-18 11:45:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x054d1d…
05-18 11:40:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x90ae98…
05-17 17:15:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x9f40fe…
05-17 10:15:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xc2466d…
05-17 10:10:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x321529…
05-17 10:05:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xde4c0d…
05-17 01:50:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x52e2c0…
05-17 01:45:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x2e61e5…
05-16 09:20:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x438ca2…
05-16 09:15:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xd5651f…
05-16 07:15:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0xbde66f…
05-16 07:10:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xc63295…
05-16 06:50:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	95	53¢	$50	0x1d68ee…
05-16 06:45:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xa00dcf…
05-16 06:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x6a8c78…
05-16 06:25:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xd315bf…
05-15 13:45:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x8b0426…
05-15 13:40:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0xf42e50…
05-15 13:35:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc9a9e3…