Lone-Milkshake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$36

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$210

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 05-16 15:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

52% 0% $-6

Politics

43% 100% +$41

Crypto

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$87	92	92	+0	No	+$41	04-27 15:53
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$50	28	28	+0	open	—	05-16 15:18
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?	2	$20	12	12	+0	No	$-0	04-28 06:46
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-25?	1	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	04-25 11:54
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	04-25 11:58
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	04-28 06:45
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	2	$8	140	140	+0	No	$-6	04-27 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-02 03:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	05-16 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-25 06:45
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-16 03:17
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	04-29 05:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 15:18:32	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	28	96¢	$26	0x3a4858…
05-16 03:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xa842c5…
05-16 03:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x59c25e…
05-16 03:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x042bb4…
05-16 03:17:03	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x52efe5…
05-14 23:47:51	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	87¢	$24	0x622b22…
05-14 04:42:54	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x512d71…
05-02 03:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x3b5865…
04-29 05:40:10	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x968940…
04-29 05:35:58	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xbbb634…
04-28 06:46:30	Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?	No	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0xdb1f6a…
04-28 06:45:56	Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x377174…
04-28 06:45:34	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xb9779b…
04-27 15:53:48	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	140	1¢	$1	0x45d3e6…
04-27 15:53:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	92	70¢	$64	0x75bab7…
04-25 11:58:10	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xa20706…
04-25 11:54:22	Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xab349c…
04-25 06:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x542675…
04-25 06:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xfbd454…
04-25 06:39:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	92	25¢	$23	0x646f2d…
04-23 13:16:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	140	5¢	$7	0x4996c4…