Bitter-Aperitif — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 05-29 03:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 100% +$0

Other

39% — —

Politics

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	05-29 03:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?	1	$97	97	+97	Yes	+$0	05-12 06:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	1	$96	96	+96	Yes	+$0	05-08 08:57
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 240plus	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	04-05 08:48
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 190 214	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	03-06 08:13
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 580plus	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	03-21 08:43
bitcoin above 64k on march 12	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	03-12 10:57
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on february 10	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	02-09 11:10
bitcoin above 80k on march 18	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	03-18 01:44
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 380 399	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	03-02 02:52
bitcoin above 66k on april 15	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	04-14 06:43
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	03-30 11:24
bitcoin above 60k on march 27	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	03-26 08:34
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 240plus	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	04-10 07:37
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	04-24 09:34
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	02-26 07:38
bitcoin above 86k on january 4	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	01-04 01:29
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	04-28 02:47
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 400 419	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	01-08 09:28
bitcoin above 80k on april 20	1	$91	91	+91	open	—	04-20 06:35
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	1	$91	91	+91	open	—	01-30 08:15
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 600 619	1	$91	91	+91	open	—	01-25 11:03
ethereum above 3500 on january 22	1	$91	91	+91	open	—	01-21 10:55
bitcoin above 90k on january 18	1	$91	91	+91	open	—	01-18 01:31
ethereum above 2800 on january 12	1	$89	89	+89	open	—	01-12 09:42
ethereum above 2700 on february 3	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	02-03 06:28
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-20 06:34
bitcoin above 84k on february 3	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	02-03 06:28
highest temperature in london on january 12 14c	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	01-12 09:42
will the us next strike iran on february 26 2026 et	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	02-26 07:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 03:24:32	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x3ade86…
05-12 06:54:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xd1338b…
05-08 08:57:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xf3dfad…
04-28 02:47:10	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x21308e…
04-24 09:34:10	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xf5143a…
04-20 06:35:14	bitcoin above 80k on april 20	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x9f9a10…
04-20 06:34:58	will google be 2 free app in the us apple app store on april 21	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x78e83b…
04-20 06:34:46	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x904ddf…
04-14 06:43:09	bitcoin above 66k on april 15	Yes	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x3a0d60…
04-10 07:37:53	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 240plus	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xa15782…
04-10 07:37:35	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x336177…
04-10 07:37:25	Will Amazon have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x93bb49…
04-05 08:48:11	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 240plus	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xf9ec15…
03-30 11:24:32	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x5d22b7…
03-26 08:34:19	bitcoin above 60k on march 27	Yes	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x8569c8…
03-26 08:34:05	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5778d2…
03-26 08:33:57	will solana reach 160 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x816f7c…
03-21 08:43:41	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 580plus	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x2b6c68…
03-18 01:44:13	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x779ccf…
03-18 01:43:43	highest temperature in nyc on march 18 2026 50forhigher	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5f277c…
03-12 10:57:21	bitcoin above 64k on march 12	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x803a32…
03-06 08:13:41	elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 190 214	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x5512b4…
03-02 02:52:19	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 380 399	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x656b32…
02-26 07:38:18	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x09cb04…
02-26 07:38:00	will the us next strike iran on february 26 2026 et	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbc9206…
02-26 07:37:44	will current reader be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on february 27	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x73b466…
02-09 11:10:01	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on february 10	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x6979b8…
02-03 06:29:10	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on february 3	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6b1ccd…
02-03 06:28:44	bitcoin above 84k on february 3	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xedd72d…
02-03 06:28:16	ethereum above 2700 on february 3	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x362519…
01-30 08:15:40	will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xf7eefd…
01-25 11:03:20	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 600 619	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x5be9aa…
01-21 10:55:02	ethereum above 3500 on january 22	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xd94c93…
01-18 01:31:30	bitcoin above 90k on january 18	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xcc8cdb…
01-12 09:42:54	ethereum above 2800 on january 12	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x11aa54…
01-12 09:42:44	highest temperature in london on january 12 14c	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x11dff7…
01-12 09:42:32	will mistral have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4bda79…
01-08 09:28:37	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 400 419	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x62883b…
01-08 09:28:23	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x790400…
01-08 09:28:15	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf633d4…
01-04 01:29:15	bitcoin above 86k on january 4	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x314e3a…