Grounded-Switching — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,757

lifetime

Volume

$24.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 06-09 13:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 93% $-41

Politics

2% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 7pm et	5	$213	200	196	+4	open	—	04-10 23:18
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$186	200	0	+200	open	—	06-09 13:08
bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 10am et	4	$167	340	0	+340	open	—	04-10 13:39
bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 11am et	4	$167	340	0	+340	open	—	04-10 15:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	3	$161	140	50	+90	open	—	05-31 01:05
bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 4am et	5	$157	320	0	+320	open	—	04-10 08:03
bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 6am et	4	$157	320	0	+320	open	—	04-10 09:58
bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 8am et	5	$157	320	0	+320	open	—	04-10 12:03
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 7pm et	4	$147	300	0	+300	open	—	04-09 23:02
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 9am et	2	$137	280	0	+280	open	—	04-09 13:01
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 6am et	2	$137	280	0	+280	open	—	04-09 09:17
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 7am et	4	$137	280	0	+280	open	—	04-09 10:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$133	80	80	+0	open	—	05-28 14:50
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 9am et	2	$127	260	0	+260	open	—	04-13 12:29
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 3am et	5	$127	260	0	+260	open	—	04-09 06:58
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 6am et	5	$127	260	0	+260	open	—	04-13 10:01
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 4am et	11	$127	260	0	+260	open	—	04-09 08:00
bitcoin up or down april 8 2026 9am et	5	$122	100	100	+0	open	—	04-08 13:15
bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 9pm et	11	$118	240	0	+240	open	—	04-08 00:58
bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 10pm et	7	$118	240	0	+240	open	—	04-08 02:04
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 11am et	7	$118	240	0	+240	open	—	04-09 15:01
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 1am et	14	$118	240	0	+240	open	—	04-09 05:01
bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 7pm et	9	$106	217	0	+217	open	—	04-07 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3AM ET	9	$102	100	100	+0	open	—	05-17 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2AM ET	2	$99	100	100	+0	open	—	05-20 06:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12PM ET	3	$99	100	50	+50	open	—	05-16 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3AM ET	3	$98	200	0	+200	open	—	05-19 06:23
bitcoin up or down april 6 2026 3am et	3	$98	200	0	+200	open	—	04-06 06:56
bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 5am et	3	$98	200	0	+200	open	—	04-12 09:02
bitcoin up or down april 11 2026 10am et	3	$98	200	0	+200	open	—	04-11 14:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 13:08:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x64a8b0…
05-31 01:05:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	90	86¢	$77	0xb57fec…
05-30 18:07:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xbf62a5…
05-28 14:50:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0xed2b30…
05-28 14:50:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	89¢	$14	0xcc7a8b…
05-28 14:50:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	64	89¢	$57	0x103d80…
05-27 14:19:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	77¢	$21	0x229bab…
05-27 14:16:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	77¢	$17	0x689379…
05-24 21:52:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0x2dde69…
05-24 21:51:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x8e25d9…
05-21 21:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7d1fce…
05-21 21:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x05e80f…
05-21 21:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xaec556…
05-21 21:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf4993c…
05-21 21:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xacfa10…
05-21 21:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	35	49¢	$17	0x1f8fa5…
05-21 21:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x35016b…
05-21 21:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x13bb8b…
05-21 21:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x23fb7c…
05-21 21:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x14dcb3…
05-21 21:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x2e1188…
05-21 21:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x748ca7…
05-21 21:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xfa6f2d…
05-21 21:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf1cd91…
05-21 21:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc2ff26…
05-21 21:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa89cda…
05-21 21:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x999d29…
05-21 21:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x8e9f52…
05-21 21:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x0e55cd…
05-21 21:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xc6f799…
05-21 21:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x896940…
05-21 21:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa71ba8…
05-21 21:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9373b2…
05-21 21:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9742b6…
05-21 21:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5c0bb8…
05-21 20:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0c6464…
05-21 20:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa2b155…
05-21 20:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x673b84…
05-21 20:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xf673eb…
05-21 20:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0x1160a6…
05-21 20:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2922bb…
05-21 20:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x25c3bd…
05-21 20:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfe6b4b…
05-21 20:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfcf62c…
05-21 20:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2995ec…
05-21 20:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x91307c…
05-21 20:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4b094c…
05-21 20:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x598c36…
05-21 20:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xf2e01a…
05-21 20:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcc9a24…
05-21 20:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x50c516…
05-21 20:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x865a6c…
05-21 20:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x05fce2…
05-21 20:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x4aafdb…
05-21 20:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdeb69b…
05-21 20:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xd41414…
05-21 20:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x5432bb…
05-21 20:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0x8aa344…
05-21 20:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x5d95e3…
05-21 20:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x4862b7…
05-21 20:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3c86a5…
05-21 20:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x700ee9…
05-21 20:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x884887…
05-21 20:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x74fdc9…
05-21 11:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x8baf4e…
05-21 11:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	89	49¢	$44	0x9ccf0c…
05-21 11:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	90	49¢	$44	0xb23d15…
05-21 11:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0x78753d…
05-21 11:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	81	49¢	$40	0xc85a06…
05-21 10:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	64	49¢	$31	0xd91611…
05-21 10:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xeee5b0…
05-21 10:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xfccac6…
05-21 08:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xa813fd…
05-21 08:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x54f831…
05-21 08:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3acd09…
05-21 08:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x62e87b…
05-21 08:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x439ae5…
05-21 08:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x802a78…
05-21 07:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x623220…
05-21 07:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfa1109…
05-21 07:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x96e6ec…
05-21 07:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7a3dcc…
05-21 07:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x605ff6…
05-21 07:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4cd4d8…
05-21 07:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x40ca35…
05-21 07:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3c98db…
05-21 07:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x33b29a…
05-21 07:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x296ed0…
05-21 07:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x23790b…
05-21 07:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1ad5a5…
05-21 07:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x17d861…
05-21 07:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcf656f…
05-21 07:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbd5278…
05-21 07:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0xba57aa…
05-21 07:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xaae5ac…
05-21 07:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xdee755…
05-21 07:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2e3c82…
05-21 07:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	90	49¢	$44	0xe6044c…
05-21 06:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	90	49¢	$44	0x2f731f…
05-20 06:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x0e91e7…