Gruesome-Call — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$58

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 06-10 00:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 43% +$0

Politics

17% 0% $-7

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1781050200	10	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	06-10 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	6	$7	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 20:17
btc updown 5m 1781049900	5	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	06-10 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	6	$5	30	30	+0	Down	$-1	05-12 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 20:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$4	4,000	0	+4,000	Yes	$-4	05-09 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	4	$4	21	21	+0	Down	$-0	05-12 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 20:25
btc updown 5m 1781049300	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	06-09 23:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$2	200	0	+200	Yes	$-2	05-09 18:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Up	$-0	05-12 20:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$2	100	100	+0	open	—	05-12 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$1	4	4	+0	Down	$-1	05-12 20:23
btc updown 5m 1781049600	2	$1	14	14	+0	open	—	06-10 00:03
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$1	521	0	+521	open	—	05-12 20:12
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$1	23	0	+23	open	—	05-10 17:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	$-1	05-09 19:44
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	1	$1	111	0	+111	open	—	05-13 14:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 00:13:57	btc updown 5m 1781050200	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc0fb3a…
06-10 00:13:49	btc updown 5m 1781050200	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc8853b…
06-10 00:12:57	btc updown 5m 1781050200	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x233415…
06-10 00:12:43	btc updown 5m 1781050200	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xda2319…
06-10 00:12:16	btc updown 5m 1781050200	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x77687c…
06-10 00:11:54	btc updown 5m 1781050200	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x51241b…
06-10 00:10:58	btc updown 5m 1781050200	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x4daee6…
06-10 00:10:51	btc updown 5m 1781050200	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1be89d…
06-10 00:10:39	btc updown 5m 1781050200	Down	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x80960f…
06-10 00:10:30	btc updown 5m 1781050200	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x065827…
06-10 00:07:45	btc updown 5m 1781049900	Up	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0xf78eb2…
06-10 00:07:34	btc updown 5m 1781049900	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x12526b…
06-10 00:05:52	btc updown 5m 1781049900	Up	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0xb335db…
06-10 00:05:39	btc updown 5m 1781049900	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x63924c…
06-10 00:05:22	btc updown 5m 1781049900	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x004079…
06-10 00:03:39	btc updown 5m 1781049600	Down	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0xac5bd8…
06-10 00:03:09	btc updown 5m 1781049600	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9248c5…
06-09 23:59:31	btc updown 5m 1781049300	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x58492a…
06-09 23:58:40	btc updown 5m 1781049300	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa97778…
05-13 14:45:41	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x744235…
05-12 20:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xee6a04…
05-12 20:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2785c8…
05-12 20:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x6857c6…
05-12 20:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x34c898…
05-12 20:43:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x348b14…
05-12 20:42:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x322488…
05-12 20:38:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x91fda2…
05-12 20:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0xcc03a1…
05-12 20:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x470847…
05-12 20:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0xf90942…
05-12 20:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x811e71…
05-12 20:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x719f62…
05-12 20:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x94123d…
05-12 20:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x5a55b7…
05-12 20:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x00612f…
05-12 20:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x6c1237…
05-12 20:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x659733…
05-12 20:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x49394c…
05-12 20:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x28c5ad…
05-12 20:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	12¢	$0	0xea865f…
05-12 20:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9b2db9…
05-12 20:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x0dc884…
05-12 20:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb2044a…
05-12 20:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x1f839e…
05-12 20:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6a1a40…
05-12 20:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x4ca4c8…
05-12 20:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf97691…
05-12 20:12:11	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	521	0¢	$1	0x63510c…
05-10 17:52:21	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xb2c5a3…
05-09 19:56:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc39282…
05-09 19:44:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2cf3a1…
05-09 19:00:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x2a26b9…
05-09 18:54:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x50bdb7…
05-09 18:51:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x4d8390…