Juvenile-Thinking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$84

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.4%

Resolved

Trades

232

lifetime

Volume

$5.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-05 02:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

62% 43% +$80

Crypto

19% 100% +$4

Sports

18% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves	2	$830	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-26 01:46
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	2	$725	500	500	+0	open	—	04-26 03:33
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs	4	$530	500	500	+0	open	—	04-26 09:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$351	200	200	+0	open	—	05-07 22:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	2	$272	200	200	+0	open	—	05-07 21:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$248	200	200	+0	open	—	05-07 23:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	5	$224	233	233	+0	open	—	05-08 00:04
bitcoin up or down january 26 3am et	7	$207	340	0	+340	open	—	01-26 08:08
btc updown 15m 1769420700	3	$205	428	0	+428	open	—	01-26 09:35
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)	1	$170	266	0	+266	open	—	05-31 23:58
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$144	215	0	+215	Yes	+$71	05-06 01:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	6	$129	191	191	+0	open	—	05-08 00:20
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	4	$102	100	100	+0	Up	$-9	05-08 00:19
lol al lgd 2026 06 05 total games 3pt5	1	$85	185	0	+185	open	—	06-05 02:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$84	200	200	+0	open	—	05-07 21:52
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	3	$54	50	50	+0	Up	$-2	05-08 00:02
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	3	$54	50	50	+0	Yes	$-0	05-07 23:35
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	2	$45	29	29	+0	open	—	04-26 10:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$40	200	200	+0	open	—	05-08 00:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	4	$36	40	40	+0	Yes	$-1	05-08 01:16
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?	2	$34	50	50	+0	Yes	+$4	05-07 22:23
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5	1	$32	64	0	+64	open	—	05-14 23:54
btc updown 5m 1772589300	2	$27	40	40	+0	open	—	03-04 01:56
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$23	26	26	+0	open	—	04-25 23:56
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	2	$22	200	200	+0	open	—	04-26 05:36
Kagoshima United FC vs. Ōita Trinita: Both Teams to Score	1	$21	38	0	+38	No	+$17	05-06 01:03
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$15	100	100	+0	open	—	04-26 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	3	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	05-05 13:22
btc updown 15m 1767438000	2	$12	30	0	+30	open	—	01-03 11:06
bitcoin up or down on february 8	1	$12	20	0	+20	open	—	02-08 04:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 02:04:19	lol al lgd 2026 06 05 total games 3pt5	Under	BUY	185	46¢	$85	0x86ad3f…
05-31 23:58:45	Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)	GIANTX	BUY	266	64¢	$170	0x6690bb…
05-23 08:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x187d29…
05-23 08:30:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x39c116…
05-23 08:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5fe7b6…
05-23 08:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf1c740…
05-23 08:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xf24954…
05-23 08:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa958d0…
05-23 08:14:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfa7d5a…
05-23 08:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xed6f2d…
05-23 07:45:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xd8eee0…
05-23 07:45:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x23cc85…
05-23 07:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa684e8…
05-23 07:44:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xb2d084…
05-14 23:54:17	Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5	No	BUY	64	50¢	$32	0x8e3893…
05-08 01:16:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x5920cb…
05-08 01:00:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x0bae04…
05-08 00:43:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x71f746…
05-08 00:43:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x752cdd…
05-08 00:20:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	37	31¢	$11	0x0cb5bf…
05-08 00:20:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	37	31¢	$11	0x519793…
05-08 00:20:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	72	32¢	$23	0x61cffc…
05-08 00:19:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x3942d6…
05-08 00:18:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	72	32¢	$23	0x2382ff…
05-08 00:04:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	33	48¢	$16	0x892b16…
05-08 00:04:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0x48a7a0…
05-08 00:03:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0xefde43…
05-08 00:02:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	19	46¢	$9	0x52af8d…
05-07 23:59:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	31	56¢	$17	0x97a854…
05-07 23:59:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x5a5660…
05-07 23:56:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x08cf88…
05-07 23:35:12	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	No	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0x9da572…
05-07 23:35:08	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	No	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x7e229b…
05-07 23:35:05	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	No	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x6f5ec6…
05-07 23:31:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0x745018…
05-07 23:31:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0xd19e1b…
05-07 22:51:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	200	87¢	$175	0xff1e79…
05-07 22:51:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x9d22aa…
05-07 22:30:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	82	36¢	$29	0x2bae75…
05-07 22:30:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	82	37¢	$30	0x24500f…
05-07 22:23:13	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0x6c71b0…
05-07 22:23:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	200	49¢	$98	0x9acbca…
05-07 22:21:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0xb40521…
05-07 22:16:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x77eef4…
05-07 22:06:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x421097…
05-07 22:05:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xe990df…
05-07 22:01:48	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x6e1aad…
05-07 21:52:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	200	21¢	$42	0xcc0fba…
05-07 21:52:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0xed9759…
05-07 21:30:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	200	67¢	$134	0xd7969c…
05-07 21:29:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x9df377…
05-07 21:29:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x085e0d…
05-07 21:06:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x0988b6…
05-07 21:04:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0x116853…
05-06 01:15:20	Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	215	67¢	$144	0xe995ad…
05-06 01:03:26	Kagoshima United FC vs. Ōita Trinita: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	38	54¢	$21	0x8a9a9a…
05-05 13:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x8ea805…
05-05 13:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x8e2dc0…
05-05 13:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x867d11…
04-26 10:22:44	LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Natus Vincere	SELL	29	79¢	$23	0x33e776…
04-26 10:14:26	LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Natus Vincere	BUY	29	79¢	$23	0x68ee46…
04-26 09:16:00	Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs	NIP	SELL	215	53¢	$114	0xf216a4…
04-26 09:15:08	Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs	NIP	BUY	215	53¢	$114	0x0ca663…
04-26 09:14:02	Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs	NIP	SELL	285	53¢	$151	0xdc8f4c…
04-26 09:13:14	Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs	NIP	BUY	285	53¢	$151	0x87f8b5…
04-26 05:36:18	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0xf87865…
04-26 05:36:08	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x7d720d…
04-26 03:33:06	LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	SELL	500	72¢	$360	0x19149a…
04-26 03:33:02	LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	500	73¢	$365	0x0891a4…
04-26 02:23:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x05f93e…
04-26 02:22:56	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x433e61…
04-26 01:46:48	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	1,000	42¢	$420	0xbb71b7…
04-26 01:45:44	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	1,000	41¢	$410	0x56e7b4…
04-25 23:56:56	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	26	51¢	$13	0x7fea42…
04-07 13:23:43	nba dal lac 2026 04 07 total 237pt5	Under	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x355b19…
04-07 13:23:35	nba dal lac 2026 04 07 spread home 11pt5	Clippers	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x43ab7a…
04-07 13:23:25	nba hou phx 2026 04 07	Rockets	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xbae509…
04-07 13:23:19	nba hou phx 2026 04 07 total 220pt5	Over	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x9f37b0…
03-25 14:39:55	eth updown 15m 1774449900	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x33cb2e…
03-25 14:30:09	eth updown 15m 1774449900	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8764e4…
03-25 14:25:09	btc updown 15m 1774449900	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd11e26…
03-25 14:15:27	eth updown 15m 1774449000	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3e75f4…
03-25 14:15:11	eth updown 15m 1774449000	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x53c20d…
03-25 14:15:05	eth updown 15m 1774449000	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3211a6…
03-25 14:04:57	btc updown 15m 1774449000	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb48a48…
03-25 14:04:27	btc updown 15m 1774449000	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xddcdc5…
03-25 14:03:55	btc updown 15m 1774449000	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x97b72a…
03-25 14:03:25	btc updown 15m 1774449000	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x935f80…
03-25 14:00:41	eth updown 15m 1774448100	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe75845…
03-25 14:00:05	eth updown 15m 1774447200	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdd1d8f…
03-25 14:00:03	eth updown 15m 1774447200	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc55689…
03-25 14:00:03	eth updown 15m 1774447200	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x379cae…
03-25 13:49:49	btc updown 15m 1774448100	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xdba771…
03-25 13:49:17	btc updown 15m 1774448100	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xca6d93…
03-25 13:48:47	btc updown 15m 1774448100	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0b118a…
03-25 13:48:17	btc updown 15m 1774448100	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x977820…
03-25 13:46:25	btc updown 15m 1774448100	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x8c3a6e…
03-25 13:45:09	eth updown 15m 1774446300	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x800021…
03-25 13:45:09	eth updown 15m 1774446300	Down	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0x2e9745…
03-25 13:45:07	eth updown 15m 1774446300	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9e830e…