Alarming-Pancreas — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$99

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

Trades

328

lifetime

Volume

$1.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 07-03 05:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

100% 41% +$99

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 24?	2	$185	97	97	+0	No	+$9	05-24 05:21
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 25?	5	$178	195	0	+195	Yes	+$17	06-25 09:04
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on May 22?	2	$173	90	90	+0	No	+$7	05-22 04:25
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on May 27?	3	$96	50	50	+0	No	+$4	05-27 05:07
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on May 26?	2	$75	80	0	+80	No	+$5	05-26 01:03
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on May 20?	7	$56	44	44	+0	No	-$1	05-20 06:41
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 25?	2	$55	58	0	+58	No	+$3	05-25 03:01
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on May 13?	7	$47	62	42	+20	No	-$18	05-13 06:43
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 22?	7	$46	40	40	+0	Yes	+$20	06-22 07:50
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 13?	1	$42	48	0	+48	Yes	+$6	05-13 07:18
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on May 28?	10	$39	78	1	+77	Yes	+$39	05-28 08:00
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 25?	4	$35	100	50	+50	No	-$2	06-25 07:24
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on May 28?	5	$31	84	60	+24	No	-$1	05-28 03:05
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on May 13?	1	$30	37	0	+37	No	+$7	05-13 03:35
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 1?	14	$29	36	36	+0	Yes	+$15	07-01 10:47
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 2?	13	$27	30	30	+0	Yes	+$16	07-02 07:02
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 26?	11	$27	30	30	+0	Yes	+$12	06-26 07:13
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on May 28?	6	$23	82	0	+82	No	-$23	05-28 08:12
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on May 25?	5	$23	50	0	+50	Yes	+$27	05-25 05:19
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 29?	7	$23	30	30	+0	No	+$10	06-29 07:23
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 20?	1	$20	33	0	+33	Yes	+$13	05-20 06:48
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 13?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-12 15:25
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on May 13?	4	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	05-13 03:02
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on May 27?	7	$18	53	0	+53	No	-$18	05-27 04:36
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on May 27?	5	$18	52	0	+52	No	-$18	05-27 04:19
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on May 26?	3	$16	40	0	+40	No	-$16	05-26 01:42
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on May 29?	2	$15	51	0	+51	No	-$15	05-29 05:00
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on May 22?	4	$14	31	0	+31	No	-$14	05-22 05:10
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 25?	2	$14	50	0	+50	No	-$14	06-25 03:49
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 26?	10	$14	30	30	+0	No	+$6	06-26 06:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 05:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x2618ef…
07-03 05:23:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x6c7eed…
07-03 05:23:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x2c78e8…
07-03 05:20:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x410c37…
07-03 03:57:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x2d3e0b…
07-03 03:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	13	14¢	$2	0xcff089…
07-02 08:37:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x17f200…
07-02 07:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x4922d7…
07-02 06:50:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xd94876…
07-02 06:50:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x664149…
07-02 06:50:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xa36793…
07-02 06:50:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x9ff144…
07-02 06:49:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x58c0ea…
07-02 06:49:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xf6854e…
07-02 06:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x7a10de…
07-02 06:49:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0xddfbfa…
07-02 06:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0x487b59…
07-02 06:44:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xcf5f1b…
07-02 06:44:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x03cb52…
07-02 06:43:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	6	60¢	$3	0x920c61…
07-02 06:43:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0x8c788b…
07-02 06:42:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 2?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xded801…
07-02 06:29:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0x7a5176…
07-02 06:29:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x8bf005…
07-02 06:29:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x716b22…
07-02 06:29:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x0c6fb2…
07-02 06:29:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x0a7b88…
07-02 05:51:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x201980…
07-02 05:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x688497…
07-01 10:48:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x315aac…
07-01 10:47:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xa5caaf…
07-01 09:59:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xbe81d9…
07-01 09:58:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x437dec…
07-01 09:58:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0xc04579…
07-01 09:58:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0xb3deef…
07-01 09:57:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x172134…
07-01 09:57:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x1161af…
07-01 09:57:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x53425d…
07-01 09:57:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x1c3b20…
07-01 09:42:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 1?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xfc2004…
07-01 05:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x6930ef…
07-01 05:59:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x10837c…
07-01 05:55:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xb7440f…
07-01 05:49:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	26	17¢	$4	0x4e560d…
07-01 04:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xbba65a…
07-01 04:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x920af8…
07-01 04:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x915aaa…
07-01 04:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x693725…
07-01 04:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x3429f9…
07-01 03:53:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x581ba0…
06-30 05:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x086b45…
06-30 04:48:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x373f1e…
06-29 07:23:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 29?	Yes	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xa77873…
06-29 07:13:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 29?	Yes	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0xe5075e…
06-29 06:23:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 29?	Yes	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x1d071b…
06-29 04:58:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 29?	Yes	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x438d2a…
06-29 04:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x48ad01…
06-26 07:13:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x1108e0…
06-26 07:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x79ec7c…
06-26 07:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x0491bc…
06-26 06:59:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xa8afce…
06-26 06:58:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x844f9d…
06-26 06:56:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x892305…
06-26 06:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0x8de225…
06-26 06:54:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x821034…
06-26 06:52:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0xc46412…
06-26 06:52:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0xe73249…
06-26 06:51:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0xc8a199…
06-26 06:47:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0xc190a7…
06-26 06:47:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x40d99e…
06-26 06:47:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x3588b0…
06-26 06:09:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0xc1b191…
06-26 06:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0x7ba79a…
06-26 06:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x1eae9b…
06-26 06:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x050edc…
06-26 06:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x23c07d…
06-26 05:59:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x2c8933…
06-26 05:59:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x3bd615…
06-26 05:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x9e60e3…
06-26 05:40:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	22	25¢	$6	0x2e7b87…
06-26 05:39:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xa12c5a…
06-25 09:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	55	94¢	$52	0xa1ecc2…
06-25 09:04:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xf5480e…
06-25 08:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	27	90¢	$25	0x4152ee…
06-25 07:58:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	26	90¢	$23	0x7256d6…
06-25 07:56:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x250251…
06-25 07:24:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x2ba666…
06-25 05:46:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 25?	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x03afd6…
06-25 04:56:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	16	24¢	$4	0x7e4fee…
06-25 04:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	34	24¢	$8	0x318f02…
06-25 03:49:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	24	28¢	$7	0xde3d87…
06-25 03:48:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	26	28¢	$7	0xb7823c…
06-23 04:57:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0x771d16…
06-22 08:04:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0xfa36cc…
06-22 07:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0xdefb42…
06-22 07:54:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0xc52f01…
06-22 07:53:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xb34a77…
06-22 07:50:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x3c3332…
06-22 07:43:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0xb19273…
06-22 07:43:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0xa4ff9b…