Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

63.5%

Resolved

125

Trades

526

lifetime

Volume

$1.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-20

last 11-02 14:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 45% -$23

Other

22% 31% +$13

Politics

4% 50% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes		+14	$2	27¢	$4	+$2	10-31 02:30
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes		+8	$5	36¢	$3	-$3	11-02 14:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	12	$235	205	205	+0	Down	-$15	09-24 01:47
Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	17	$215	152	152	+0	Down	+$5	09-24 00:52
Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	10	$203	143	137	+6	Up	+$1	09-24 00:58
Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	10	$107	68	68	+0	Down	+$1	09-24 00:48
Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	11	$70	86	86	+0	Up	+$6	09-24 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	11	$63	61	60	+1	Up	+$4	09-23 14:53
Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	14	$62	60	60	+0	Down	+$2	09-24 01:53
Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	6	$58	60	60	+0	Down	-$2	09-24 01:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	11	$55	68	45	+24	Up	-$5	09-23 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	5	$55	34	34	+0	Down	+$3	09-23 14:48
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	15	$48	76	76	+0	No	+$8	10-30 13:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 07:20 UTC	5	$31	17	17	+0	Up	+$1	09-20 07:25
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	12	$30	40	40	+0	No	-$6	10-23 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	9	$27	24	24	+0	Up	-$1	09-24 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	4	$25	18	18	+0	Down	+$1	09-23 13:53
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	11	$24	40	40	+0	No	+$2	10-30 13:47
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	4	$23	21	21	+0	No	-$1	09-23 13:35
Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$22	83	83	+0	Down	+$2	09-24 02:03
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	13	$21	20	20	+0	Yes	+$3	10-27 15:30
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit?	2	$21	43	43	+0	No	+$1	09-24 03:28
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	5	$21	86	86	+0	No	+$15	10-16 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	4	$20	14	14	+0	Down	+$0	09-23 14:00
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	13	$19	26	26	+0	Yes	-$3	10-23 15:44
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	3	$18	27	26	+2	Yes	+$15	10-16 05:55
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	2	$18	80	80	+0	open	—	11-01 11:50
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	2	$17	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	09-22 01:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	8	$17	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	09-23 08:32
Will Trump say "Melania" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	2	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	+$4	09-24 14:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 07:55 UTC	16	$15	65	15	+50	Down	-$3	09-22 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	7	$15	12	10	+2	Down	+$1	09-23 08:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 14:33:18	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x5dce66…
11-02 14:31:28	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0x9ab065…
11-02 00:13:04	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xa01ffa…
11-02 00:12:42	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0xb0f443…
11-01 11:51:18	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	9¢	$8	0xaaf39f…
11-01 11:50:01	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	12¢	$10	0x586ea0…
11-01 05:18:39	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x38dcca…
11-01 04:49:55	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	9¢	$1	0xbf3e09…
11-01 02:58:15	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xd1aadb…
11-01 02:28:09	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xdd01d6…
11-01 01:59:25	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	8¢	$2	0xeeeadf…
11-01 01:44:16	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x85602a…
10-31 14:10:28	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	10¢	$8	0x2faf09…
10-31 13:59:55	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xeca870…
10-31 13:58:22	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	11¢	$4	0x9555f2…
10-31 13:45:33	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x2070a4…
10-31 13:43:42	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x899894…
10-31 05:39:01	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xef0283…
10-31 05:23:42	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd18b4c…
10-31 05:23:13	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x65bf11…
10-31 03:54:49	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xd6a194…
10-31 03:54:31	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x4ccbc8…
10-31 03:07:25	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x11b900…
10-31 02:33:10	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	6¢	$2	0x743e82…
10-31 02:30:00	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb2287b…
10-31 01:57:45	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0x1fd534…
10-31 01:56:55	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0xa47890…
10-31 01:56:31	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x810b77…
10-31 01:56:21	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0xdad753…
10-30 16:23:18	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x2e7596…
10-30 15:23:30	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	31¢	$4	0x5a2f6c…
10-30 14:52:33	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x48ddaf…
10-30 14:28:18	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xa2c6ae…
10-30 14:28:12	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x2cebbe…
10-30 14:27:00	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x6e860a…
10-30 14:22:34	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x902843…
10-30 14:11:48	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0xe44caa…
10-30 14:10:30	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x431ea5…
10-30 13:47:27	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x5974d4…
10-30 13:45:10	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x16189a…
10-30 13:44:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	44¢	$6	0xb8d68b…
10-30 13:37:51	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x45db93…
10-30 13:37:28	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0x41711f…
10-30 13:35:52	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd9dae5…
10-30 13:35:27	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x3697d2…
10-30 13:35:00	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x859317…
10-30 13:34:45	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xdbd345…
10-30 11:47:12	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x9d9fb0…
10-30 11:47:06	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xbe0fcc…
10-30 11:46:43	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	28¢	$4	0xac3281…
10-30 09:53:42	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xa070c2…
10-30 09:53:13	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x33f162…
10-30 09:44:22	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0xe507b9…
10-30 09:44:10	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xcd89d4…
10-30 08:25:46	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x2fe72b…
10-30 08:05:00	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xd82a12…
10-30 08:04:51	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x403d5e…
10-30 06:00:07	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0x023752…
10-30 05:59:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0xe0b3e7…
10-30 05:32:57	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x109dec…
10-30 04:43:55	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0x1603d8…
10-30 01:31:03	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xcd9e01…
10-30 01:29:12	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x4b9d36…
10-29 15:33:55	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0x687f2e…
10-29 15:33:02	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	37¢	$5	0x0d1e9e…
10-29 15:26:20	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0x2fc2db…
10-29 05:40:40	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x7b84e2…
10-29 05:40:10	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xae9fcd…
10-29 05:39:40	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xfd8326…
10-29 05:39:14	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc610f4…
10-29 05:38:17	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x228a83…
10-29 02:31:32	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x22c482…
10-28 07:40:32	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x84ed61…
10-28 07:39:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa6c480…
10-28 07:39:14	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0xc82601…
10-28 02:45:23	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xcdaea9…
10-28 02:44:29	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x99a177…
10-28 02:42:35	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3c6cb4…
10-28 02:42:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x074af9…
10-28 00:48:18	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x31ede8…
10-28 00:47:44	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0xe5926f…
10-27 15:44:41	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0xb2ead8…
10-27 15:31:45	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x32126d…
10-27 15:30:44	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xf9c45b…
10-27 15:29:32	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x30284a…
10-27 15:26:12	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x031dea…
10-27 15:25:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb4eb1b…
10-27 15:24:56	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0xfe7476…
10-27 15:24:32	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xd9c9e5…
10-27 15:22:45	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5d1e44…
10-27 15:22:26	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x6994e3…
10-27 15:19:09	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x960a72…
10-27 15:16:27	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0xefee1e…
10-27 15:13:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbf46be…
10-27 15:10:41	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0xb05d8e…
10-27 15:07:09	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd489fd…
10-27 15:04:51	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x97f271…
10-27 15:04:29	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xd1dd39…
10-27 15:02:50	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd68fd0…
10-27 15:01:23	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x7a74df…