Foolhardy-Show — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.7%

Resolved

Trades

525

lifetime

Volume

$1.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-08 20:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 72% $-2

Other

2% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	3	$23	18	13	+5	open	—	04-28 20:49
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-27 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$18	12	12	+0	open	—	04-28 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	04-28 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	04-28 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-28 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$15	24	0	+24	open	—	04-28 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$15	22	0	+22	open	—	04-28 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	04-28 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	04-28 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	04-28 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$12	12	0	+12	Up	+$0	05-05 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$11	18	0	+18	open	—	04-28 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	04-28 20:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	04-28 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-28 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-28 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	04-28 19:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	04-28 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	$-0	05-05 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	5	$9	9	9	+0	Down	$-1	05-06 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$7	11	11	+0	open	—	04-28 22:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$7	6	5	+0	open	—	04-27 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	04-27 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	4	$6	7	3	+5	open	—	05-03 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	4	$6	8	8	+0	open	—	05-04 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	05-01 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	05-01 23:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	05-01 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$6	13	0	+13	open	—	05-01 23:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 20:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x82cb77…
05-08 20:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x7af184…
05-08 20:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xd19103…
05-08 19:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x47e70e…
05-08 19:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x5a956e…
05-08 19:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x7d07eb…
05-08 19:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x612bde…
05-08 19:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x537e11…
05-08 19:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0xc49c7f…
05-08 19:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xd573ab…
05-06 18:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0xc76bd5…
05-06 18:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x5c5099…
05-06 18:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x24e544…
05-06 18:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x981999…
05-06 18:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf11cd2…
05-06 18:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x03d753…
05-06 18:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x3a23d0…
05-06 18:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x81aeda…
05-06 18:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x9709df…
05-06 18:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x6f7d79…
05-06 18:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xe8a7d8…
05-06 18:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xc07304…
05-05 22:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x30f7be…
05-05 22:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xa55761…
05-05 22:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x758e47…
05-05 22:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xdd80f2…
05-05 22:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xd92987…
05-05 21:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x660aa1…
05-05 21:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x7c8cf6…
05-05 21:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xab1d40…
05-05 21:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x04e5ad…
05-05 21:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf3b85a…
05-05 21:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x0283f7…
05-05 21:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xa1594e…
05-05 18:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x7a81d5…
05-05 18:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8ed7c4…
05-05 18:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xb7ea81…
05-05 18:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xad426a…
05-05 18:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x39119a…
05-05 18:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xc5004e…
05-05 17:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x59333f…
05-05 17:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xc36636…
05-04 20:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xbf3907…
05-04 20:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x062ac0…
05-04 20:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xa0b73e…
05-04 20:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x0438fb…
05-04 19:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0xad103f…
05-04 19:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x98d7a0…
05-04 19:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xf5970a…
05-04 19:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xabb395…
05-04 19:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x53f694…
05-04 19:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x3c12ce…
05-04 19:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xc626c2…
05-04 19:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xfab9a7…
05-04 19:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x8777ec…
05-04 19:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xa66604…
05-04 19:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xe1a735…
05-04 19:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xc6ba89…
05-04 19:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xcca65b…
05-04 19:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xa3cfa4…
05-04 19:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x6f6c24…
05-04 19:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0xe88cc5…
05-04 19:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x3b5be9…
05-04 19:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xadcc92…
05-04 19:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x90d2bc…
05-04 19:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xfdffe6…
05-04 18:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x54669e…
05-04 18:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x0e7c4a…
05-04 18:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x510bf0…
05-04 18:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe4eb88…
05-04 18:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x52d89f…
05-04 18:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xfcba7d…
05-04 18:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x31337b…
05-04 18:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbb6977…
05-04 18:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x9f3cec…
05-04 18:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x9e8075…
05-03 23:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xe3776a…
05-03 22:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x378881…
05-03 22:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xb4fc6d…
05-03 22:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xbed066…
05-03 22:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xa21434…
05-03 22:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x7da57b…
05-03 22:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xe51371…
05-03 22:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xf07e5e…
05-03 22:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x1f7672…
05-03 22:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x918f81…
05-03 22:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x6148bc…
05-03 22:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xa258d9…
05-03 22:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x4507af…
05-03 22:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xa90be6…
05-03 22:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xe7a02a…
05-03 22:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xfd5541…
05-03 22:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xc86739…
05-03 22:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x388cb2…
05-03 22:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xf19dfc…
05-03 22:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xfa3984…
05-03 22:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x387d23…
05-03 22:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x842aeb…
05-03 22:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x2c4598…
05-03 22:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xc5b2c3…