Dismal-Cave — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

101

Trades

304

lifetime

Volume

$869

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 05-06 07:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 60% +$2

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 243 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	18	$66	79	0	+79	Up	+$13	05-05 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	15	$60	82	0	+82	Down	$-60	05-05 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	12	$48	68	0	+68	Up	+$20	05-05 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	11	$33	46	0	+46	Up	+$13	05-05 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	7	$28	47	0	+47	Up	$-28	05-05 19:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	6	$27	34	32	+3	Up	$-6	05-05 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	6	$24	31	0	+31	Down	+$7	05-05 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	6	$24	37	0	+37	Down	+$13	05-05 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	5	$22	49	26	+23	open	—	04-29 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	7	$21	26	0	+26	Up	+$5	05-05 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	5	$19	25	0	+25	Up	+$6	05-05 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	4	$19	516	9	+507	open	—	04-29 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	4	$16	24	0	+24	Up	+$8	05-05 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	4	$16	28	0	+28	Up	+$12	05-05 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	5	$15	21	0	+21	Up	+$6	05-05 13:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$15	25	0	+25	Down	$-15	05-05 06:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	5	$14	20	0	+20	Up	$-14	05-05 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-05 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	4	$14	15	15	+0	open	—	04-29 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$12	20	0	+20	Up	$-12	05-05 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$12	14	14	+0	open	—	04-29 09:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	04-29 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$11	12	0	+12	Up	+$1	05-05 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	4	$11	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	04-29 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	5	$10	21	0	+21	Down	+$11	05-05 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	3	$9	17	0	+17	Up	+$8	05-05 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$9	14	0	+14	Down	+$5	05-05 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	3	$9	16	0	+16	Up	$-9	05-05 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	3	$9	16	0	+16	Down	+$7	05-05 15:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 07:26:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xe3a459…
05-06 07:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xd3f46a…
05-06 06:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x541e27…
05-06 06:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb643b1…
05-06 06:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xca1794…
05-06 06:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6ae55f…
05-06 06:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x90e240…
05-06 06:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x110865…
05-06 06:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6fda36…
05-06 06:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x01aeac…
05-06 06:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf58ee9…
05-06 06:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x0ee9b6…
05-06 06:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9ada61…
05-06 06:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa3ca27…
05-06 06:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4e77eb…
05-06 05:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5fa5c1…
05-05 20:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x2bdd39…
05-05 20:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x5a5431…
05-05 20:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x43ee25…
05-05 20:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x3534a4…
05-05 20:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xbb4661…
05-05 19:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x23f213…
05-05 19:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x17a3fc…
05-05 19:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xb372a1…
05-05 19:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x238b90…
05-05 19:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x3d2e74…
05-05 19:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x3b4942…
05-05 19:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xc39042…
05-05 19:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x7ab9b6…
05-05 19:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x69b5f1…
05-05 19:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x00f1c6…
05-05 19:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x4f61e2…
05-05 19:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xd98ffa…
05-05 19:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x4ae193…
05-05 19:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xdf52ec…
05-05 19:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x1e50c0…
05-05 19:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xb27cf4…
05-05 18:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x4b540a…
05-05 18:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x31a063…
05-05 18:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x0d8d5e…
05-05 18:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x97c592…
05-05 18:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x0b17a9…
05-05 18:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xd5999d…
05-05 18:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x5bf1b2…
05-05 18:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xde5f30…
05-05 18:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xfb0135…
05-05 18:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xce8193…
05-05 18:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xc4ad0c…
05-05 18:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x8dd6c2…
05-05 18:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x322225…
05-05 18:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd23fcf…
05-05 18:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xc9673e…
05-05 18:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xc760ce…
05-05 18:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x9f2f52…
05-05 18:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x93b1d8…
05-05 18:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x2a5e5c…
05-05 18:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xcffc58…
05-05 18:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x97f984…
05-05 18:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x37d3b4…
05-05 18:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x8ef0ad…
05-05 18:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xe4e6b9…
05-05 18:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x7cda95…
05-05 18:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x4fc1f4…
05-05 18:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x6407bf…
05-05 18:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xf12641…
05-05 18:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x427e58…
05-05 18:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xabc31a…
05-05 18:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x989243…
05-05 18:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x7a578b…
05-05 18:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x9b8558…
05-05 18:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x915e62…
05-05 18:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x4bf035…
05-05 18:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x40f17a…
05-05 18:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x33a0dc…
05-05 18:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x03b5c0…
05-05 18:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf4cfb1…
05-05 18:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x91edcd…
05-05 18:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xfec4e2…
05-05 18:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x74fb32…
05-05 18:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x72e11d…
05-05 18:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xeb50d0…
05-05 18:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x92d5c2…
05-05 18:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x81ad8f…
05-05 18:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x4007a7…
05-05 18:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x68b971…
05-05 18:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xb80ac5…
05-05 18:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xf0f809…
05-05 17:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x77a377…
05-05 17:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xfe6121…
05-05 17:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xeac1fe…
05-05 17:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xa6b4bf…
05-05 17:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x45803d…
05-05 17:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xac4509…
05-05 17:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xf495c1…
05-05 17:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x862e6b…
05-05 17:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x606249…
05-05 17:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x3656f3…
05-05 17:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x1fe231…
05-05 17:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x14cc80…
05-05 17:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xa2de79…