Murky-Criteria — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$268

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 06-08 20:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

44% 0% $-10

Other

35% — —

Sports

20% 0% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	1	$35	43	0	+43	open	—	06-08 20:21
Nothing Ever Happens: March	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	04-01 08:18
will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-20 12:33
Nothing Ever Happens: May	1	$20	28	0	+28	open	—	05-10 06:42
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	05-24 20:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	04-12 19:56
US bank failure by April 30?	1	$12	16	0	+16	open	—	03-25 14:15
will trump post potus this week on truth social	1	$11	18	0	+18	open	—	04-20 12:42
will trump dance during white house easter egg roll on april 6	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	04-02 13:27
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	06-04 17:18
Will the fight be won by submission?	1	$10	20	0	+20	No	$-10	05-09 06:46
gc up or down on march 23 2026	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	03-22 19:03
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	03-22 19:08
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	05-24 20:04
Nothing Ever Happens: April	1	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	04-02 13:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-22 19:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$10	15	0	+15	Yes	$-10	03-22 19:06
spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	03-22 19:03
trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	03-22 21:31
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	03-23 14:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 20:21:31	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	43	81¢	$35	0x1f5847…
06-04 17:18:39	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x95fc0a…
05-24 20:07:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x0aa601…
05-24 20:04:08	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x2555c7…
05-10 06:42:32	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x304342…
05-09 06:46:00	Will the fight be won by submission?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5b95aa…
04-20 12:42:52	will trump post potus this week on truth social	No	BUY	18	63¢	$11	0x1a091b…
04-20 12:33:36	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xd8bf88…
04-12 19:56:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x7de24e…
04-02 13:27:57	will trump dance during white house easter egg roll on april 6	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x243e18…
04-02 13:11:49	Nothing Ever Happens: April	Nothing	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x5694c7…
04-01 08:18:37	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xbcb7a8…
03-25 14:15:21	US bank failure by April 30?	No	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0xea12f1…
03-23 14:18:03	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x3f7d2b…
03-22 21:34:49	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc661ae…
03-22 21:31:59	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x0e27a9…
03-22 19:14:41	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x274407…
03-22 19:08:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x7d8424…
03-22 19:08:21	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x76d68e…
03-22 19:06:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x3c9bc3…
03-22 19:03:19	spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x855fb9…
03-22 19:03:11	gc up or down on march 23 2026	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xef776d…