Realized P&L
-$2.46K
Unrealized P&L
+$635
Hit rate
42.4%
Resolved
50
Trades
1,452
lifetime
Volume
$436.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$301
Open exposure
$17.5K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-26 18:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Politics
92% 64% -$1,439
Crypto
7% 33% -$1,018
Other
1% 35% -$11
Tech
0% 100% +$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +13,433 $12,543 97¢ $13.0K +$467 09-17 02:59
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +890 $797 97¢ $863 +$66 10-06 19:47
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 No +753 $700 98¢ $735 +$35 10-06 19:39
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -800 -$638 90¢ $-716 -$78 10-26 17:28
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? No +929 $645 76¢ $706 +$61 10-23 16:55
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +393 $303 98¢ $386 +$83 10-06 19:45
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +311 $300 98¢ $305 +$5 10-06 19:43
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -300 -$276 93¢ $-279 -$3 10-26 17:28
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +500 $210 45¢ $225 +$15 10-11 12:01
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M? No +1,858 $151 9¢ $162 +$11 10-26 08:49
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +728 $137 19¢ $138 +$1 10-26 17:44
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? No +96 $30 4¢ $4 -$26 10-05 13:37