Realized P&L (30d)
+$4
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (30d)
2
Trades (30d)
97
102 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$218
$247 lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$36
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 06-10 06:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
44% 100% +$1
Politics
37%
Sports
15% 100% +$3
Tech
3%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +8 $6 84¢ $7 +$1 06-05 00:57
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +9 $6 74¢ $6 +$0 06-05 01:08
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +38 $6 16¢ $6 +$0 06-10 06:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +20 $5 26¢ $5 +$0 06-07 06:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +15 $5 26¢ $4 $-1 06-04 05:39
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +5 $4 70¢ $4 $-0 06-07 21:44
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +15 $1 17¢ $3 +$1 06-08 21:50
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +30 $1 $1 $-0 06-07 14:56