Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

19.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$143

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 08-03 16:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

41% 0% $-10

Other

41% — —

Crypto

14% — —

Tech

3% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	1	$12	15	0	+15	open	—	04-10 00:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$10	12	0	+12	Yes	$-10	02-19 22:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	04-10 00:21
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	05-02 00:45
peter mandelson charged by march 31	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	02-24 21:43
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	08-03 16:21
will zelenskyy attend the world economic forum	1	$5	18	0	+18	open	—	01-22 00:05
Iran leadership change by April 30?	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	03-09 19:26
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	07-14 14:23
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-09 12:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-09 12:37
ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by january 31	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	01-21 18:03
another critical cloudflare incident by february 28	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	01-21 23:59
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	08-03 16:16
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	08-03 16:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	07-14 19:56
will china join the board of peace	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	01-21 18:02
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	01-16 19:23
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	04-09 12:39
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	02-19 22:08
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	04-20 12:32
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	03-09 19:51
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-09 19:52
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	03-19 22:41
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$1	0	30	-30	open	—	08-03 16:10
will all of trumps children attend the state of the union	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	02-24 21:48
lmt quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 29 2026 6pt2	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-16 19:28
will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	07-14 14:28
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	04-05 17:13
will trump say epstein during the 2026 state of the union address 269	1	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	02-24 21:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 16:32:02	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9b5253…
08-03 16:24:15	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x092854…
08-03 16:21:27	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x01ffd3…
08-03 16:17:27	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x9c8c9a…
08-03 16:16:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x37e2a9…
08-03 16:10:12	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x611ac6…
07-14 19:56:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xa21f22…
07-14 14:30:58	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x405776…
07-14 14:28:37	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xeef595…
07-14 14:23:19	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x5e4fa5…
05-02 00:45:26	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xe078df…
04-20 12:32:28	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xdcd409…
04-10 00:32:43	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	No	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x5528a4…
04-10 00:21:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x70b12b…
04-09 12:39:41	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xbb1a90…
04-09 12:37:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xdfee1c…
04-09 12:32:13	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xc1ec3b…
04-05 17:13:09	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc0ee0c…
03-19 22:41:15	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x882276…
03-12 21:44:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x74a74d…
03-12 21:44:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x48329c…
03-09 19:52:13	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x93d6b7…
03-09 19:51:35	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x19ee8b…
03-09 19:27:07	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x5749e9…
03-09 19:26:43	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x4bd189…
02-28 21:35:07	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xef44f6…
02-28 11:22:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4c6c72…
02-28 10:53:29	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xefcedf…
02-28 10:51:53	us forces enter iran by february 28	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1c19c5…
02-24 21:49:42	will trump say kamala or harris during the 2026 state of the union address 812	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x55c348…
02-24 21:48:28	will all of trumps children attend the state of the union	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x398412…
02-24 21:43:46	peter mandelson charged by march 31	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x58ea68…
02-24 21:19:24	will trump say epstein during the 2026 state of the union address 269	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x6f906a…
02-19 22:14:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xa96810…
02-19 22:08:56	spx opens up or down on february 20 2026	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x88d956…
02-19 22:08:12	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xb5a1c4…
01-22 00:05:40	will zelenskyy attend the world economic forum	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x1c81e3…
01-21 23:59:08	another critical cloudflare incident by february 28	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xaa1f53…
01-21 18:08:58	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x878c00…
01-21 18:08:02	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x86edf5…
01-21 18:05:36	Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x661831…
01-21 18:04:16	will all of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xcb47db…
01-21 18:03:26	ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by january 31	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x98750e…
01-21 18:02:04	will china join the board of peace	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xfd6d1e…
01-16 19:28:12	lmt quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 29 2026 6pt2	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd95468…
01-16 19:26:50	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x86391f…
01-16 19:23:30	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x57232a…