Political-Warrior — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.20K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.2%

Resolved

Trades

100

lifetime

Volume

$7.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 09-15 12:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Politics

60% 75% +$300

Other

33% 0% -$2,026

Crypto

7% 0% -$476

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	36	$3.9K	168,644	66,146	+102,498	No	+$281	03-04 17:05
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	11	$1.1K	306,470	2,308	+304,162	No	-$1,079	05-12 11:05
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	11	$561	5,425	5,425	+0	Yes	+$45	02-20 16:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$458	4,165	0	+4,165	No	-$458	09-15 12:04
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	5	$290	11,751	11,751	+0	No	-$196	04-16 20:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$255	51,667	0	+51,667	No	-$255	09-15 12:01
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$123	2,447	2,447	+0	open	—	09-15 12:03
will dogecoin reach 0pt25 in february 2026	8	$105	10,945	10,945	+0	No	-$79	02-22 16:22
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$103	7,890	7,890	+0	No	-$8	02-20 16:37
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	2	$101	230	230	+0	No	-$23	02-10 01:57
will ripple run an ad during super bowl lx	1	$94	932	0	+932	No	-$94	02-08 20:01
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	1	$80	7,989	0	+7,989	No	-$80	05-12 11:07
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	2	$70	6,620	6,620	+0	No	-$30	02-18 18:44
will xrp reach 3pt4 in february 2026	2	$50	10,000	10,000	+0	No	-$30	02-22 16:22
will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	1	$50	6,463	0	+6,463	No	-$50	06-05 21:25
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 30?	1	$49	49,000	0	+49,000	No	-$49	05-30 20:24
will xrp reach 3 in march 2026	2	$44	2,639	2,639	+0	No	-$16	03-04 16:31
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	1	$40	6,861	0	+6,861	No	-$40	06-05 21:39
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 31?	1	$38	3,855	0	+3,855	No	-$38	05-30 20:38
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$34	1,580	580	+1,000	Yes	+$4	02-28 22:48
netanyahu arrested by march 31	4	$13	297	297	+0	No	-$7	03-04 16:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 12:04:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	363	11¢	$40	0x8552f8…
09-15 12:03:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,447	2¢	$39	0x764444…
09-15 12:03:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,802	11¢	$418	0xc2b097…
09-15 12:01:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18,333	0¢	$55	0x25353f…
09-10 13:37:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,447	3¢	$84	0xe93e3c…
09-01 19:05:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	33,333	1¢	$200	0x4c1d2b…
06-05 21:39:15	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	6,861	1¢	$40	0x3fe78b…
06-05 21:25:54	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	6,463	1¢	$50	0xc1a9a7…
05-30 20:38:06	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	3,855	1¢	$38	0xd92d4f…
05-30 20:24:17	Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	49,000	0¢	$49	0xc86165…
05-12 11:07:58	Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	Yes	BUY	7,989	1¢	$80	0x2f03af…
05-12 11:05:46	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	105,000	0¢	$105	0xe13e96…
05-11 11:19:45	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x57ac1c…
05-11 11:16:38	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	96,455	0¢	$193	0x557a42…
05-01 07:57:10	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	35,558	0¢	$142	0x044875…
05-01 07:48:46	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	6,880	0¢	$28	0x7cdcb6…
05-01 07:48:24	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	25,139	0¢	$100	0x219f1e…
05-01 07:45:22	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	4,902	0¢	$15	0xb80e83…
04-16 20:26:36	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	26,166	2¢	$446	0xc6f123…
04-16 20:17:24	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	3,564	1¢	$47	0xd06a15…
04-16 20:16:40	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	11,751	0¢	$47	0x23ce58…
04-12 19:35:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	8,000	1¢	$48	0xc0097c…
04-12 19:20:05	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	1,731	2¢	$28	0x3e6296…
04-12 19:19:51	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	2,308	1¢	$28	0x4f2361…
04-12 19:11:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	770	2¢	$18	0xf6eb55…
04-12 18:15:59	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2,308	1¢	$30	0xe98e26…
04-12 18:13:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	1,250	12¢	$150	0xcd2d83…
03-04 17:05:51	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	25,395	0¢	$51	0x77ec80…
03-04 16:46:33	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	15,920	0¢	$32	0x4acc5e…
03-04 16:38:49	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	37,500	0¢	$75	0xd12205…
03-04 16:38:03	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,635	0¢	$3	0x2007e1…
03-04 16:37:47	netanyahu arrested by march 31	Yes	SELL	297	1¢	$3	0x675ed7…
03-04 16:31:45	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	6,885	0¢	$14	0x28da18…
03-04 16:31:23	will xrp reach 3 in march 2026	Yes	SELL	2,639	1¢	$14	0xda7102…
03-04 02:40:35	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	163	4¢	$7	0x318ba1…
03-04 02:36:51	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5,000	4¢	$207	0x94e439…
03-02 21:52:13	will xrp reach 3 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	2,639	1¢	$30	0xfe8614…
03-02 21:49:21	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5,000	4¢	$185	0x9ed361…
03-02 03:35:01	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	3,888	4¢	$138	0xca4d0a…
02-28 22:49:11	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	332	6¢	$19	0x8d5342…
02-28 22:48:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	580	3¢	$19	0xe702fc…
02-28 21:43:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	564	1¢	$8	0x17ac9f…
02-28 21:42:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	1,016	1¢	$7	0x0956a8…
02-28 21:33:17	netanyahu arrested by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x265ce9…
02-28 21:32:53	netanyahu arrested by march 31	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xae19b4…
02-28 21:32:37	netanyahu arrested by march 31	Yes	BUY	275	3¢	$8	0x560dd4…
02-28 21:31:37	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	500	5¢	$25	0x8c535a…
02-23 11:22:48	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	29,055	3¢	$960	0x5c597d…
02-23 11:21:30	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	32,559	3¢	$960	0x5a3647…
02-22 16:55:52	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,810	3¢	$56	0x166cd4…
02-22 16:23:12	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	748	3¢	$23	0x7c60c6…
02-22 16:22:48	will xrp reach 3pt4 in february 2026	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0xd73bea…
02-22 16:22:32	will dogecoin reach 0pt25 in february 2026	Yes	SELL	10,945	0¢	$13	0xadcc54…
02-20 16:37:52	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	7,890	1¢	$47	0x2bb1db…
02-20 16:00:30	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1,000	6¢	$57	0x41ae7a…
02-20 15:46:58	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	7,890	1¢	$55	0x65ee2d…
02-20 15:46:42	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1,000	6¢	$55	0x696e9d…
02-20 15:30:08	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1,337	6¢	$78	0xea3cd2…
02-18 18:44:52	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	337	6¢	$20	0x785e2e…
02-18 18:44:38	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6,620	0¢	$20	0xd5aa55…
02-18 15:57:08	will dogecoin reach 0pt25 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	1,587	1¢	$13	0x52d744…
02-18 15:56:54	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	239	6¢	$13	0x6dd3c8…
02-18 08:28:34	will dogecoin reach 0pt25 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	1,219	0¢	$6	0x54932e…
02-18 08:28:16	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0xf3e8a8…
02-17 21:04:31	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	71	6¢	$4	0x305eb1…
02-17 21:03:35	will xrp reach 3pt4 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$40	0x05eaa4…
02-17 21:02:57	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	750	6¢	$42	0x942ea7…
02-16 21:38:21	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6,620	1¢	$50	0xd80359…
02-16 21:38:07	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1,000	5¢	$52	0xa4f13c…
02-16 21:03:51	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	3,330	5¢	$155	0xc86635…
02-16 21:03:33	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5,000	3¢	$155	0x997073…
02-16 21:02:21	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	1,688	5¢	$79	0xf19345…
02-16 21:01:53	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,500	3¢	$79	0x02d310…
02-16 18:54:09	will dogecoin reach 0pt25 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	829	1¢	$6	0xe7eab1…
02-16 18:53:51	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0x1cf20f…
02-16 18:52:59	will dogecoin reach 0pt25 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	1,696	1¢	$9	0x08ba48…
02-16 18:52:37	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	300	3¢	$9	0x004fae…
02-15 18:26:19	will dogecoin reach 0pt25 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	372	2¢	$8	0x8c8329…
02-15 18:25:37	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	250	3¢	$8	0xb0275c…
02-15 18:24:49	will dogecoin reach 0pt25 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	2,554	1¢	$23	0x1f1a66…
02-15 18:24:23	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	750	3¢	$22	0x5a8522…
02-12 23:59:05	will dogecoin reach 0pt25 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	2,688	1¢	$28	0xa59386…
02-12 23:58:33	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	661	4¢	$28	0xd75fe3…
02-12 01:54:39	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	450	4¢	$18	0xdb0ffd…
02-12 01:53:47	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	3,000	4¢	$123	0xa12ad2…
02-12 01:52:33	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x68864a…
02-10 01:57:39	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,112	3¢	$38	0x01d580…
02-10 01:57:25	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	230	17¢	$39	0x15942e…
02-09 11:51:43	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	230	27¢	$62	0xe6220f…
02-09 11:51:21	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,000	3¢	$62	0xac0ce8…
02-08 20:01:31	will ripple run an ad during super bowl lx	Yes	BUY	932	10¢	$94	0x4acab2…
02-08 20:00:25	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	3,000	3¢	$94	0xd87871…
02-05 19:02:19	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	4,538	2¢	$109	0x57cfd3…
02-01 16:47:28	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	4,704	1¢	$44	0xd5b2ed…
01-30 17:45:08	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	3,286	1¢	$23	0xa8a654…
01-30 16:07:36	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	7,867	1¢	$47	0xc76616…
01-30 12:40:22	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x4dab92…
01-30 12:38:08	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	16,667	0¢	$50	0x2db5d6…
01-30 11:58:30	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,889	0¢	$14	0x3df651…
01-30 10:18:10	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5,792	3¢	$195	0x2d0854…