Submissive-Diet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$179

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$345

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 09-02 14:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Politics

77% 0% -$265

Other

22% 29% +$90

Sports

1% 0% -$3

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$166	200	0	+200	Yes	-$166	02-24 23:43
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	17	$71	4,155	0	+4,155	No	-$71	03-06 21:32
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	2	$34	100	0	+100	Yes	+$66	03-02 18:49
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 30 in february	2	$21	100	100	+0	Yes	-$7	02-27 11:05
will the us next strike iran during the week of march 1 7 2026 et	3	$11	40	0	+40	No	-$11	02-24 23:52
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	1	$9	50	0	+50	Yes	+$41	05-29 17:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$7	100	0	+100	No	-$7	05-12 12:08
israel x hamas ceasefire cancelled by march 31 2026 824	1	$5	39	0	+39	No	-$5	03-02 15:51
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	1	$4	20	0	+20	No	-$4	06-15 22:00
will the us next strike iran during the week of march 8 14 2026 et	1	$3	28	0	+28	No	-$3	02-24 23:51
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	1	$3	69	0	+69	No	-$3	04-21 09:18
Revolut IPO before 2027?	1	$2	0	50	-50	open	—	09-02 14:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$2	340	0	+340	No	-$2	05-29 17:52
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$2	170	0	+170	No	-$2	05-29 17:52
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?	1	$2	50	0	+50	No	-$2	05-29 17:49
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	1	$2	40	0	+40	No	-$2	05-29 17:48
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	6	$1	70	0	+70	No	-$1	03-02 16:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-02 14:40:34	Revolut IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x2752b3…
06-15 22:00:24	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x54fbff…
05-29 17:52:50	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$2	0xddec91…
05-29 17:52:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	340	1¢	$2	0x2d56c7…
05-29 17:49:41	Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x0f7e27…
05-29 17:48:46	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xa96c96…
05-29 17:46:53	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xf0b633…
05-12 12:08:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x1f901c…
04-21 09:18:54	Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	Yes	BUY	69	4¢	$3	0x6bfef4…
03-06 21:32:39	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	51	1¢	$0	0xafa10c…
03-06 21:31:31	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x74e4e7…
03-06 20:22:55	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xaa11bf…
03-06 19:57:33	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xcc5c4d…
03-06 19:29:31	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	105	1¢	$1	0xe42824…
03-06 18:56:29	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	126	1¢	$1	0x9bc6bd…
03-06 18:36:39	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	497	1¢	$4	0x2a39b8…
03-06 18:09:41	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0xaf057c…
03-06 18:09:41	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8c5760…
03-06 17:54:23	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	192	1¢	$2	0x9358ef…
03-06 17:06:33	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xd5146c…
03-06 15:58:43	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	52	1¢	$0	0x307840…
03-06 15:57:57	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x9cca0c…
03-04 22:13:51	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	655	1¢	$10	0x2cdc00…
03-02 18:49:33	Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	34¢	$18	0x8a24e8…
03-02 16:43:53	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0x63790c…
03-02 15:51:51	israel x hamas ceasefire cancelled by march 31 2026 824	Yes	BUY	39	12¢	$5	0x5763a1…
03-02 11:35:35	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xa28fe8…
03-02 11:10:07	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x7ec2bf…
03-02 10:48:43	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x574d70…
03-02 10:26:17	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x505bad…
03-02 10:08:25	Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	34¢	$16	0x7f9e76…
03-02 10:05:53	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xec73c1…
02-27 11:05:39	odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 30 in february	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0xe1fae0…
02-24 23:52:22	odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 30 in february	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xadb81e…
02-24 23:52:20	will the us next strike iran during the week of march 1 7 2026 et	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xc07d99…
02-24 23:51:06	will the us next strike iran during the week of march 1 7 2026 et	Yes	BUY	28	27¢	$8	0x514dfe…
02-24 23:51:06	will the us next strike iran during the week of march 8 14 2026 et	Yes	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0x29e123…
02-24 23:49:38	will the us next strike iran during the week of march 1 7 2026 et	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x50ec15…
02-24 23:43:32	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x5fba86…
02-17 16:25:03	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	1,827	2¢	$40	0x7abf69…
02-17 15:27:33	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb3a445…
02-17 15:17:21	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	468	2¢	$10	0x49b6bd…