Secondary-Miscommunication — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.4%

Resolved

Trades

564

lifetime

Volume

$2.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 05-18 19:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 33% $-15

Other

17% — —

Politics

7% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	3	$158	110	110	+0	open	—	02-25 01:41
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$76	90	0	+90	open	—	02-25 21:46
highest temperature in nyc on march 3 2026 38 39f	1	$58	58	0	+58	open	—	03-04 04:08
btc updown 5m 1773832200	8	$57	131	118	+13	open	—	03-18 11:14
highest temperature in miami on march 5 2026 76 77f	2	$55	29	29	+0	open	—	03-05 13:31
highest temperature in chicago on march 4 2026 40 41f	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	03-04 10:58
btc updown 5m 1773534300	4	$43	143	142	+0	open	—	03-15 00:29
btc updown 5m 1772041500	3	$43	29	29	+0	open	—	02-25 17:51
highest temperature in miami on march 5 2026 86forhigher	2	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	03-05 13:31
btc updown 5m 1773950700	6	$38	47	47	+1	open	—	03-19 20:07
btc updown 5m 1772049600	3	$34	38	17	+21	open	—	02-25 20:02
btc updown 5m 1773534000	4	$34	67	66	+1	open	—	03-15 00:24
bitcoin above 66k on april 13	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	04-08 22:30
highest temperature in seoul on february 26 2026 13corhigher	4	$33	259	259	+0	open	—	02-25 17:37
btc updown 5m 1773708000	4	$33	67	42	+25	open	—	03-17 00:44
highest temperature in nyc on march 3 2026 36 37f	1	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	03-04 04:08
btc updown 5m 1773831900	4	$29	49	39	+9	open	—	03-18 11:08
btc updown 5m 1774317600	7	$27	75	22	+54	open	—	03-24 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	8	$27	32	32	+0	open	—	05-18 19:39
btc updown 5m 1773707400	3	$25	51	51	+0	open	—	03-17 00:33
btc updown 5m 1773708600	7	$24	41	41	+0	open	—	03-17 00:54
highest temperature in chicago on march 5 2026 46 47f	7	$22	59	59	+0	open	—	03-05 12:41
bitcoin above 70k on april 19	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-17 02:38
highest temperature in london on february 26 2026 12c	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	02-26 10:44
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	2	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	02-26 10:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	05-02 05:12
btc updown 5m 1773951600	5	$21	79	0	+79	open	—	03-19 20:22
highest temperature in chicago on march 4 2026 50forhigher	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	03-04 10:38
bitcoin above 68k on april 14	2	$19	11	11	+0	open	—	04-13 20:41
btc updown 5m 1773781500	3	$19	26	10	+16	open	—	03-17 21:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 19:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xfa538d…
05-18 19:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x19877b…
05-18 19:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x150b69…
05-18 19:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x012956…
05-18 19:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x2f162b…
05-18 19:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x4a21e4…
05-18 19:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6af8f5…
05-18 19:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x70af66…
05-18 19:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x13a09b…
05-18 19:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x563985…
05-18 19:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x41ff37…
05-18 19:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x83538a…
05-18 19:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x21c659…
05-18 19:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xa103cd…
05-18 19:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x65ef77…
05-18 19:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf03760…
05-18 19:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7e4243…
05-05 18:15:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	No	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x4a75f6…
05-02 05:12:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x5e6357…
04-29 17:16:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x12a451…
04-29 17:15:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x501434…
04-29 17:15:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xc1e4c9…
04-29 17:10:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x9262e3…
04-29 17:09:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x680f21…
04-24 17:31:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	4	89¢	$3	0xce688b…
04-24 17:30:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xac8e8c…
04-24 17:30:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xcb396b…
04-24 17:26:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x3ceeb2…
04-24 17:26:18	bitcoin above 80k on april 24	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9ca419…
04-22 20:13:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x1efa93…
04-22 20:13:08	bitcoin above 74k on april 24	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x04530b…
04-22 12:22:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xaa4477…
04-22 12:22:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x543b44…
04-22 12:15:36	bitcoin above 78k on april 23	No	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x8c9425…
04-22 12:15:30	bitcoin above 78k on april 22	No	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xd563f3…
04-20 19:44:22	bitcoin above 80k on april 24	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x7f32a6…
04-20 19:44:10	bitcoin above 74k on april 24	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xd7d23b…
04-20 19:42:30	bitcoin above 72k on april 23	Yes	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x38349e…
04-20 19:42:22	bitcoin above 72k on april 22	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x03547f…
04-20 16:48:40	bitcoin above 74k on april 21	Yes	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0xa7ad51…
04-20 16:47:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xcf7a84…
04-20 16:47:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x0093c1…
04-17 02:43:16	bitcoin above 72k on april 17	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd35ad6…
04-17 02:42:30	bitcoin above 78k on april 22	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x6aeadb…
04-17 02:42:20	bitcoin above 72k on april 22	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc6b55c…
04-17 02:42:08	bitcoin above 78k on april 23	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x43c85b…
04-17 02:42:00	bitcoin above 72k on april 23	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xd34b12…
04-17 02:38:08	bitcoin above 70k on april 19	Yes	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x08b6a0…
04-17 02:37:40	bitcoin above 76k on april 17	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x171b40…
04-17 02:37:28	bitcoin above 70k on april 17	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf252cd…
04-13 20:45:21	bitcoin above 76k on april 17	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xf0bd31…
04-13 20:45:15	bitcoin above 70k on april 17	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x11f49d…
04-13 20:44:39	bitcoin above 76k on april 19	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x02164d…
04-13 20:44:33	bitcoin above 70k on april 19	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x72f3a8…
04-13 20:41:39	bitcoin above 68k on april 14	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x21b127…
04-08 22:33:35	bitcoin above 74k on april 14	No	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x54aa85…
04-08 22:33:29	bitcoin above 68k on april 14	Yes	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x7a02b9…
04-08 22:30:03	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xa063a0…
04-07 02:37:11	bitcoin above 72k on april 13	No	BUY	18	80¢	$14	0x4679c2…
04-07 02:36:43	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xbfbb50…
04-07 02:32:39	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	No	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x85a971…
04-07 02:32:33	bitcoin above 70k on april 8	No	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x86ba11…
04-07 02:32:09	bitcoin above 70k on april 7	No	SELL	4	84¢	$4	0x59b46c…
04-07 02:31:37	bitcoin above 64k on april 8	Yes	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xcd458a…
04-07 02:31:23	bitcoin above 62k on april 8	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe0bb6b…
04-07 02:31:09	bitcoin above 64k on april 7	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7c2d9a…
04-02 03:12:51	bitcoin above 70k on april 7	No	BUY	4	80¢	$4	0x3a002c…
04-02 03:12:45	bitcoin above 64k on april 7	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x83d0b4…
04-02 03:11:53	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x51357f…
04-02 03:11:45	bitcoin above 62k on april 8	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x289e28…
04-02 03:11:23	bitcoin above 70k on april 8	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xe44451…
04-02 03:11:13	bitcoin above 64k on april 8	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xe393a9…
04-02 03:10:53	bitcoin above 64k on april 4	Yes	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xa7460f…
04-02 03:10:49	bitcoin above 66k on april 4	Yes	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x0b5110…
04-02 03:10:43	bitcoin above 66k on april 3	Yes	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x53c4da…
04-02 03:10:25	bitcoin above 72k on april 4	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x71930d…
04-02 03:10:01	bitcoin above 70k on april 3	No	SELL	6	91¢	$6	0x77fea7…
04-02 03:06:15	bitcoin above 72k on april 3	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa3880c…
04-01 16:50:47	bitcoin above 64k on april 4	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbaff1e…
04-01 16:47:19	btc updown 5m 1775061900	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x81d372…
04-01 16:46:59	btc updown 5m 1775061900	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2daca3…
04-01 16:46:29	btc updown 5m 1775061900	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x34fd0a…
04-01 16:46:03	btc updown 5m 1775061900	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xc67ce9…
04-01 16:45:27	btc updown 5m 1775061900	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0xb6b283…
04-01 16:45:27	btc updown 5m 1775061900	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x21fb7c…
04-01 16:44:25	btc updown 5m 1775061600	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf75518…
04-01 16:43:49	bitcoin above 66k on april 2	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xa5ca02…
04-01 16:43:45	bitcoin above 70k on april 2	No	SELL	6	72¢	$5	0xafed0d…
04-01 16:41:19	bitcoin above 72k on april 4	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x464e31…
04-01 16:41:13	bitcoin above 66k on april 4	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x8b8986…
04-01 16:40:43	bitcoin above 72k on april 3	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xfec6aa…
04-01 16:40:27	bitcoin above 66k on april 3	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x51afa4…
04-01 16:37:47	bitcoin above 70k on april 1	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xac1c70…
04-01 16:37:43	bitcoin above 66k on april 1	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x8aa25e…
03-31 17:28:01	bitcoin above 72k on april 2	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x4ddeea…
03-31 17:26:43	bitcoin above 66k on march 31	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5f05b1…
03-31 02:04:59	bitcoin above 70k on april 3	No	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x8ad609…
03-31 02:04:35	bitcoin above 70k on april 2	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x683817…
03-31 02:03:29	bitcoin above 70k on april 1	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x1e7431…
03-31 01:56:45	bitcoin above 72k on april 1	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x070f82…