Roasted-Lily — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

87.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-02-13

last 06-03 13:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% 50% $-0

Crypto

24% — —

Politics

14% — —

Tech

8% — —

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?	No		+10	$10	99¢	$10	$-0	06-10 01:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	4	$126	63	63	+0	open	—	03-24 02:09
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	5	$126	64	64	+0	open	—	03-19 02:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	4	$125	63	63	+0	open	—	04-26 00:43
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	2	$65	33	33	+0	open	—	03-30 11:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	04-26 00:42
btc updown 5m 1773719400	2	$58	42	41	+1	open	—	03-17 03:51
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	2	$56	29	29	+0	open	—	02-23 05:11
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$56	30	30	+0	open	—	03-09 03:00
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	2	$55	28	28	+0	open	—	03-11 01:37
will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	2	$55	28	28	+0	open	—	03-12 05:28
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$54	78	78	+0	open	—	03-15 13:01
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	04-13 00:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	05-19 00:45
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	02-20 16:10
will gold gc hit high 6200 by end of march	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	03-25 06:38
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-24 07:24
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	03-22 00:46
Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	05-25 01:36
crude oil all time high by march 31	1	$32	33	0	+33	open	—	03-30 11:51
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	03-25 06:38
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	04-17 07:16
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	1	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	04-26 00:44
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$24	13	12	+0	open	—	02-15 02:25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	04-08 09:05
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	02-15 02:25
btc updown 5m 1774420800	4	$22	17	17	+0	open	—	03-25 06:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-27 04:55
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	04-19 12:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-19 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$11	14	14	+0	open	—	05-02 08:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 01:29:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0xba43e4…
06-10 01:28:51	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9719ff…
06-03 13:39:52	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb91054…
05-30 14:11:18	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x552305…
05-27 04:56:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xeca25a…
05-27 04:55:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x258cae…
05-25 08:12:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe69f15…
05-25 01:36:18	Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x01bd9f…
05-24 13:28:48	Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x215c2e…
05-24 07:24:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x764fe7…
05-21 02:16:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7283d6…
05-19 00:45:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x2baa70…
05-19 00:45:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xa20e77…
05-18 14:47:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6f230c…
05-18 14:46:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xde5f05…
05-09 01:27:40	Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x490d73…
05-09 01:27:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xc0d9b1…
05-05 14:12:16	Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x410b15…
05-05 14:11:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x87ab89…
05-02 08:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	14	46¢	$6	0x908aed…
05-02 08:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x5c22c6…
04-26 00:44:18	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xebc230…
04-26 00:43:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x2f401d…
04-26 00:43:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc580e7…
04-26 00:42:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xc41d8c…
04-26 00:42:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7bddfe…
04-19 12:50:40	nba phi bos 2026 04 19	76ers	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x16d986…
04-19 12:47:46	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xa07b49…
04-17 07:17:14	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xb62249…
04-17 07:16:40	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x10ac5f…
04-15 05:20:24	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x5f573f…
04-13 00:24:31	btc updown 5m 1776039600	Down	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x0ca7bc…
04-13 00:20:23	btc updown 5m 1776039600	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x3cd65b…
04-13 00:19:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xc2828b…
04-10 09:50:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x91deb1…
04-10 09:49:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	SELL	33	97¢	$33	0x2e0ffe…
04-08 09:06:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	33	98¢	$33	0x090b59…
04-08 09:05:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x891881…
04-08 09:05:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0xd33ef4…
04-07 05:28:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$21	0xd2d2c3…
04-07 05:28:15	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xa6f100…
03-30 11:51:18	crude oil all time high by march 31	No	BUY	33	99¢	$32	0xbc26a6…
03-30 11:51:02	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	SELL	33	100¢	$32	0x6d045f…
03-26 23:55:59	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0x7ad272…
03-25 06:48:05	btc updown 5m 1774421100	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xbf5b96…
03-25 06:43:27	btc updown 5m 1774420800	Up	SELL	7	80¢	$5	0xcc84c9…
03-25 06:42:57	btc updown 5m 1774420800	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x25c0e4…
03-25 06:41:15	btc updown 5m 1774420800	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x6aff1f…
03-25 06:40:45	btc updown 5m 1774420800	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x87cc55…
03-25 06:38:35	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x9bd272…
03-25 06:38:31	will gold gc hit high 6200 by end of march	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x50f81e…
03-24 02:09:59	will gold gc hit high 6200 by end of march	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xff10e1…
03-24 02:09:49	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xac5b28…
03-24 02:09:29	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x5e65e5…
03-22 00:47:13	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x48df7c…
03-22 00:46:41	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd7cd42…
03-20 13:09:01	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xca4cab…
03-19 02:22:47	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x33c3e8…
03-17 04:09:29	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x5f05a3…
03-17 03:51:49	btc updown 5m 1773719400	Up	SELL	41	87¢	$36	0x8504d2…
03-17 03:50:15	btc updown 5m 1773719400	Up	BUY	42	53¢	$22	0x30235d…
03-17 03:48:27	btc updown 5m 1773719100	Down	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xd30493…
03-17 03:46:09	btc updown 5m 1773719100	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x628167…
03-17 03:40:39	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0x3bec9f…
03-17 03:36:03	btc updown 5m 1773718500	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xce11d2…
03-17 03:31:45	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3a28a9…
03-15 13:01:57	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xc0d4fe…
03-15 13:01:31	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	78	35¢	$27	0x8ea494…
03-14 05:47:13	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	78	35¢	$27	0x633fad…
03-13 03:58:49	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xbbfbb9…
03-12 05:28:35	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x5fcd37…
03-12 05:28:03	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	SELL	28	99¢	$27	0x3605e8…
03-11 01:37:59	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	BUY	28	99¢	$27	0x4eaab6…
03-11 01:37:29	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0x3fd8f4…
03-09 03:01:51	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xd68d71…
03-09 03:00:31	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	30	92¢	$27	0xb03008…
03-06 09:05:19	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x2fdeeb…
03-06 09:04:09	Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0x389c39…
02-23 05:14:04	nba nyk cle 2026 02 24	Knicks	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xf2c58b…
02-23 05:11:52	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0x5c693e…
02-23 05:11:42	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0xc45dd4…
02-20 16:10:24	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xed95d5…
02-20 16:10:12	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x4d4df9…
02-20 16:06:28	Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x277d73…
02-20 16:00:58	nba uta mem 2026 02 20	Grizzlies	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa82d04…
02-15 02:26:21	cbb stmry pacfc 2026 02 14 spread away 8pt5	Saint Mary's Gaels	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x3794c5…
02-15 02:25:41	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0xaf0354…
02-15 02:25:33	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x59b76e…
02-15 02:25:09	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0xcf707d…
02-15 02:24:59	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0xb36c5c…
02-13 02:47:59	btc updown 5m 1770950700	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x579f14…
02-13 02:47:29	cbb csufl lbst 2026 02 12	Long Beach State Beach	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x15ac95…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	31	$339.9K	5,220	06-09 22:24
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	31	$70.2K	571	06-08 22:11
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	29	$155.5K	598	05-29 06:29
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	27	$4.36K	2,958	06-06 13:21
Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f	27	$3.75K	2,074	06-10 02:59
Supportive-Gene 0x214c…6378	26	$193.9K	1,954	05-15 14:27
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	25	$8.11M	9,264	06-10 03:14
Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44	25	$3.90K	2,230	06-06 16:26