Physical-Ligand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

42.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$84

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-14

last 07-02 02:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 31% +$11

Other

18% — —

Politics

8% — —

Sports

5% 0% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+94	$3	3¢	$3	+$0	07-02 02:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$5	1,667	+1,667	open	—	03-14 02:40
military action against iran ends on march 28 2026	1	$5	318	+318	open	—	03-14 02:38
bitcoin above 64k on july 5 2026	1	$5	100	+100	open	—	07-02 02:44
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 18	1	$5	26	+26	open	—	03-14 02:29
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$5	37	+37	open	—	04-24 01:11
Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?	1	$4	27	+27	No	$-4	05-08 02:59
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$3	1,500	+1,500	open	—	03-14 02:41
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$3	94	+94	open	—	07-02 02:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	1	$3	9	+9	Up	+$6	05-04 23:23
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$3	9	+9	Down	+$6	05-06 01:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	1	$3	55	+55	open	—	04-24 01:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	1	$3	10	+10	Down	+$7	05-04 22:46
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Up	+$3	05-05 00:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	1	$3	17	+17	Down	$-3	05-04 23:01
Will Solana reach $110 in May?	1	$2	25	+25	open	—	05-04 22:43
btc updown 5m 1781832300	2	$2	55	+55	open	—	06-19 01:28
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	1	$2	7	+7	Up	+$5	05-05 01:31
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$2	14	+14	Up	$-2	05-06 01:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	1	$2	22	+22	Up	$-2	05-04 23:54
btc updown 5m 1781550600	1	$2	6	+6	open	—	06-15 19:11
btc updown 5m 1781551200	1	$2	6	+6	open	—	06-15 19:20
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	1	$1	15	+15	open	—	06-22 01:13
btc updown 5m 1782798000	1	$1	50	+50	open	—	06-30 05:42
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$1	3	+3	Up	$-1	05-09 02:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$1	333	+333	open	—	04-24 01:19
btc updown 5m 1782797100	1	$1	25	+25	open	—	06-30 05:27
btc updown 5m 1781232300	1	$1	5	+5	open	—	06-12 02:46
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$1	25	+25	Down	$-1	05-09 01:24
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$1	6	+6	Up	$-1	05-08 02:48
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$1	3	+3	Down	$-1	05-08 02:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 02:49:14	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	3¢	$3	0xbed1d7…
07-02 02:44:05	bitcoin above 64k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xe6f8f3…
06-30 05:42:29	btc updown 5m 1782798000	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xdfd654…
06-30 05:27:13	btc updown 5m 1782797100	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xca1426…
06-22 01:13:16	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x482bd0…
06-19 01:28:44	btc updown 5m 1781832300	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6e24b3…
06-19 01:26:20	btc updown 5m 1781832300	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdcdd15…
06-16 01:56:33	btc updown 5m 1781574900	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x6c0787…
06-16 01:46:52	btc updown 5m 1781574300	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb1347c…
06-15 19:20:45	btc updown 5m 1781551200	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x9e7758…
06-15 19:11:39	btc updown 5m 1781550600	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xfb0ce0…
06-12 02:46:07	btc updown 5m 1781232300	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7cd3f8…
06-12 02:42:34	btc updown 5m 1781232000	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x398d31…
05-09 02:32:20	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5e2e82…
05-09 01:24:00	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe1eb8c…
05-08 02:59:20	Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x572735…
05-08 02:56:23	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6b110b…
05-08 02:51:05	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xce6359…
05-08 02:48:26	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x38d433…
05-08 02:15:40	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf4786b…
05-06 02:06:00	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x90a2f8…
05-06 01:57:00	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe0c76d…
05-06 01:52:14	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa968c7…
05-06 01:47:22	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x8299a9…
05-06 01:43:02	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x1185e9…
05-05 01:31:44	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xb44073…
05-05 00:29:08	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x9a5587…
05-04 23:54:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x1b319b…
05-04 23:23:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x6e51f8…
05-04 23:01:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x65bb49…
05-04 22:46:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x6c9111…
05-04 22:43:30	Will Solana reach $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xcec241…
04-24 01:19:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xa50d22…
04-24 01:14:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	55	5¢	$3	0xe69a04…
04-24 01:11:46	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0xdb4b4b…
03-14 02:41:37	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x8b3423…
03-14 02:40:39	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0x9935ca…
03-14 02:38:59	military action against iran ends on march 28 2026	Yes	BUY	318	2¢	$5	0xc093cf…
03-14 02:29:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 18	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x4154e7…