Muffled-Combination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.3%

Resolved

Trades

276

lifetime

Volume

$2.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 05-13 16:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 24% $-40

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	3	$45	26	26	+0	open	—	05-01 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	3	$44	26	26	+0	open	—	05-01 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	3	$43	26	26	+0	open	—	05-04 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	3	$43	26	26	+0	open	—	05-01 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	3	$43	25	25	+0	open	—	05-04 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	3	$43	26	26	+0	open	—	05-04 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	3	$43	26	26	+0	open	—	05-04 02:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$42	25	25	+0	open	—	05-04 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	3	$42	25	25	+0	open	—	05-04 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	3	$42	25	25	+0	open	—	05-04 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$42	25	25	+0	open	—	04-30 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$42	25	25	+0	open	—	05-04 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	3	$42	25	25	+0	open	—	05-04 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	3	$41	25	25	+0	open	—	05-03 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	3	$41	25	25	+0	open	—	05-04 13:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	3	$41	25	25	+0	open	—	05-01 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$40	25	25	+0	open	—	04-30 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$40	25	25	+0	open	—	05-04 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$39	26	26	+0	open	—	04-30 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$39	26	26	+0	open	—	05-01 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$39	25	25	+0	open	—	05-04 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$39	26	26	+0	open	—	05-04 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	2	$38	25	25	+0	open	—	05-04 03:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$38	25	25	+0	open	—	05-04 14:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	2	$38	25	25	+0	Up	$-2	05-04 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$38	25	25	+0	open	—	05-03 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	2	$38	25	25	+0	open	—	04-30 09:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$38	26	26	+0	open	—	05-04 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$38	25	25	+0	open	—	05-03 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$38	25	25	+0	open	—	04-30 14:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 16:53:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xac5038…
05-13 11:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x9d32aa…
05-13 10:39:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	9	94¢	$9	0x367d8c…
05-13 10:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xf95c0d…
05-13 09:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7b4d3e…
05-13 09:08:06	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xe772d8…
05-13 08:46:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x4092af…
05-13 08:35:30	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xb135bf…
05-13 08:21:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb251ed…
05-13 02:00:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x261997…
05-12 15:30:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xd511cf…
05-08 22:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x80583a…
05-08 22:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x160cb0…
05-08 22:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	17¢	$1	0xa6ec70…
05-08 22:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x36a8cb…
05-08 21:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0x76e834…
05-08 21:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x419fff…
05-08 20:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x518d6e…
05-08 20:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x7b3393…
05-08 19:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	28¢	$2	0xaad543…
05-08 19:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x4ef819…
05-08 18:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x065d37…
05-08 18:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0xec7794…
05-08 18:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0xa00910…
05-08 18:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xea47aa…
05-08 17:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x7860ba…
05-08 16:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0x554a18…
05-08 16:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0xd359b9…
05-08 15:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x90f098…
05-07 22:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xa0a9e1…
05-07 22:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x844515…
05-07 22:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x828f91…
05-07 22:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x0254ad…
05-07 22:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xaf3a82…
05-07 22:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x0a278a…
05-07 21:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0xa91645…
05-07 21:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xf8a787…
05-07 21:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xc9ceba…
05-07 21:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xb5dfcc…
05-07 21:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x864939…
05-07 19:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x10206d…
05-07 19:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xc544ea…
05-07 19:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xea06df…
05-07 19:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x2cd655…
05-07 18:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x9109db…
05-07 18:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xf81502…
05-07 17:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xfe0c0c…
05-07 17:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xbbf94d…
05-07 16:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xeef892…
05-07 15:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x11fe71…
05-07 15:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xe2a3d8…
05-06 18:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	42	17¢	$7	0x751c6e…
05-06 18:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	42	25¢	$10	0x1fc7e8…
05-06 18:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x09eb83…
05-06 18:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x8eaa50…
05-06 18:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	45	23¢	$10	0x8b7378…
05-06 18:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xd3f178…
05-06 18:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xd083a1…
05-06 18:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xc995c5…
05-06 18:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xa812db…
05-06 18:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xa5a646…
05-06 18:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x94f07b…
05-06 18:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xc1c9fb…
05-06 18:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x7c41db…
05-06 18:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	28¢	$0	0x306a91…
05-06 16:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	43	18¢	$8	0xcbdcf2…
05-06 16:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	43	24¢	$10	0x8f042a…
05-06 15:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	43	22¢	$10	0x8c8926…
05-06 15:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	43	24¢	$10	0x06447a…
05-06 12:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	43	17¢	$7	0x0d0cbd…
05-06 12:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xce471a…
05-06 12:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	42	30¢	$13	0xb85978…
05-06 12:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	42	26¢	$11	0x99d8f0…
05-06 11:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	43	27¢	$12	0x67c445…
05-06 11:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	43	24¢	$10	0x5120f7…
05-06 10:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	45	15¢	$7	0xe7b0c3…
05-06 10:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	45	23¢	$10	0x1ffc8c…
05-06 07:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0xd7cb1e…
05-06 07:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x765e5a…
05-05 02:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	42	18¢	$8	0x93e2b6…
05-05 02:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	42	26¢	$11	0x1d9385…
05-05 02:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	45	15¢	$7	0x649a43…
05-05 02:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	21¢	$9	0xeea8a6…
05-05 00:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	42	13¢	$5	0x1de0b6…
05-05 00:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	42	25¢	$10	0x0be392…
05-04 22:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	45	24¢	$11	0xfa336d…
05-04 22:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x51e9c8…
05-04 22:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	25	73¢	$18	0xbd03e6…
05-04 22:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x6c2360…
05-04 21:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	43	21¢	$9	0x2a12f7…
05-04 21:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	43	24¢	$10	0x5c56b3…
05-04 19:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	25	85¢	$21	0x1a5732…
05-04 19:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	82¢	$20	0x99f6f0…
05-04 18:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	45	22¢	$10	0x2253ed…
05-04 18:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	45	24¢	$11	0x6251a5…
05-04 17:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x284e57…
05-04 17:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	18	89¢	$16	0x2fd43c…
05-04 17:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x5ff859…
05-04 15:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0xf509f2…
05-04 15:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	18	88¢	$16	0x660e28…