Unwilling-Authentication — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$108

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.8%

Resolved

Trades

684

lifetime

Volume

$43.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 06-09 00:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

68% 25% $-137

Other

19% — —

Crypto

12% 50% +$29

Tech

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	20	$3.8K	3,350	3,350	+0	open	—	06-01 17:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	17	$3.8K	6,548	6,548	+0	open	—	05-24 15:26
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	13	$2.7K	3,798	3,798	+0	open	—	05-25 22:56
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	15	$2.3K	1,580	1,580	+0	open	—	05-16 02:28
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	9	$2.3K	2,015	1,675	+340	open	—	06-04 02:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	36	$2.2K	21,076	21,076	+0	open	—	05-26 14:41
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	27	$1.7K	1,491	1,295	+196	open	—	04-25 17:16
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	6	$1.5K	8,100	8,100	+0	open	—	05-26 23:13
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	2	$1.3K	706	706	+0	open	—	05-25 23:21
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	9	$1.3K	2,680	2,680	+0	open	—	05-23 13:55
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	5	$1.3K	919	919	+0	open	—	04-27 21:37
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	18	$1.2K	23,500	23,500	+0	open	—	06-07 19:04
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	12	$1.2K	2,580	2,580	+0	open	—	05-23 18:15
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	17	$1.1K	1,774	1,409	+366	open	—	04-23 16:43
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	55	$1.1K	3,900	3,899	+0	open	—	06-08 15:00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	11	$1.0K	2,233	4,308	-2,075	open	—	06-01 12:05
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?	5	$990	1,045	500	+545	Yes	+$9	05-11 16:08
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	11	$887	4,823	4,823	+0	open	—	05-28 16:48
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 23 2026	7	$752	477	477	+0	open	—	04-23 15:17
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	28	$741	2,537	2,600	-62	open	—	06-09 00:41
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	6	$722	2,018	1,818	+200	open	—	05-28 17:24
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 24 2026	7	$684	347	347	+0	open	—	04-24 17:49
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	29	$673	466	532	-66	open	—	05-27 20:03
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	5	$654	10,749	10,749	+0	open	—	05-20 14:47
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	2	$510	367	367	+0	open	—	04-24 13:46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	7	$502	636	380	+256	open	—	04-24 18:54
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$497	305	305	+0	open	—	05-13 02:55
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?	23	$490	978	0	+978	Yes	$-2	05-10 14:51
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	11	$464	2,024	2,024	+0	open	—	05-23 18:15
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?	10	$464	643	0	+643	open	—	05-29 04:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 00:41:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,600	9¢	$234	0x4ca714…
06-09 00:29:22	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0xea7562…
06-08 15:00:28	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,063	13¢	$398	0xfcefc8…
06-08 13:51:48	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x5b5b49…
06-08 13:50:00	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xf4e105…
06-08 06:44:00	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x691697…
06-08 06:38:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xa66de7…
06-08 06:32:40	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x871078…
06-08 06:26:21	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x2fd175…
06-08 06:21:06	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x09fd0e…
06-08 06:21:04	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0x65a460…
06-08 06:15:45	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x5936c2…
06-08 06:10:54	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xe2c9be…
06-08 06:06:01	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x9786c4…
06-08 06:00:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x688fd9…
06-08 05:55:57	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x1c5eab…
06-08 05:55:28	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x425514…
06-08 05:54:09	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	13¢	$3	0xa4659f…
06-08 05:53:40	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	13¢	$5	0x3586a8…
06-08 05:50:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x28d149…
06-08 05:44:54	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x2aec49…
06-08 05:39:33	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x072a52…
06-08 05:34:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xdca47d…
06-08 05:29:21	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xf1da11…
06-08 05:24:27	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xb16eca…
06-08 05:19:39	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x5de475…
06-08 05:14:54	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x8a8d4a…
06-08 05:08:58	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x54c95d…
06-08 05:03:43	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x732f43…
06-08 04:58:37	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xd8d3de…
06-08 04:53:22	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x30d4d4…
06-08 04:48:07	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xe5e84f…
06-08 04:42:36	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x1b8e09…
06-08 04:37:22	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x5519ed…
06-08 04:32:12	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x978c31…
06-08 04:26:33	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x7fb4ad…
06-08 04:13:30	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xb16d48…
06-08 04:07:45	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xc6deb9…
06-08 04:00:37	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x2877d1…
06-08 03:54:27	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x746d3f…
06-08 03:48:33	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x5e72c7…
06-08 03:42:57	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xecee31…
06-08 03:37:31	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xa64f33…
06-08 03:31:42	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xf0323b…
06-08 03:26:21	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xf69cfe…
06-08 03:21:10	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x72e485…
06-08 03:19:28	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x503f38…
06-08 03:15:27	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xa32cea…
06-08 03:00:21	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xb311ee…
06-08 02:54:31	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x6e0c53…
06-08 02:48:39	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x5cfe6e…
06-08 02:42:15	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x8c711e…
06-08 02:20:37	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x7650f6…
06-08 00:33:03	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	13¢	$52	0x1fee6c…
06-07 19:04:01	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	Yes	SELL	23,500	0¢	$116	0x1c9a9f…
06-06 15:07:34	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$18	0xa2a0e5…
06-06 07:51:18	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	Yes	BUY	9,065	3¢	$245	0x68059b…
06-06 06:39:36	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x44b675…
06-06 06:35:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	Yes	BUY	925	3¢	$25	0x1aa372…
06-05 17:32:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	Yes	BUY	2,133	5¢	$107	0xe7416d…
06-05 17:09:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	Yes	BUY	57	5¢	$3	0x796ea8…
06-05 16:57:42	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x73f0ea…
06-05 16:51:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb3d589…
06-05 16:27:42	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	Yes	BUY	6,200	5¢	$310	0x60492e…
06-05 16:19:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x94dc05…
06-05 14:38:12	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	Yes	BUY	1,263	5¢	$63	0x616eef…
06-05 14:14:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	Yes	BUY	63	5¢	$3	0x442842…
06-05 13:47:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	Yes	BUY	248	5¢	$12	0xee7730…
06-04 02:28:48	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	No	BUY	340	15¢	$51	0x998850…
06-04 02:23:40	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	SELL	1,181	85¢	$1,004	0x2aa2d1…
06-04 02:11:04	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 4 2026	No	BUY	1,418	3¢	$48	0xd069b3…
06-04 02:10:45	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 4 2026	No	BUY	200	3¢	$7	0x2556d6…
06-04 02:10:39	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 4 2026	No	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x5c7d7d…
06-04 00:47:54	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	350	80¢	$280	0xcb30ef…
06-04 00:47:40	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	150	80¢	$120	0xb4e470…
06-04 00:47:40	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x6ae581…
06-04 00:44:12	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x375ab2…
06-04 00:43:06	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	562	89¢	$500	0x28ff04…
06-04 00:42:30	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	No	SELL	494	12¢	$58	0xe34d99…
06-03 23:24:40	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	No	BUY	494	40¢	$200	0x49c7c3…
06-03 17:41:30	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x941c3d…
06-03 17:40:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$13	0xb45d91…
06-03 16:19:42	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	34	20¢	$7	0xc9261f…
06-03 15:51:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x479b06…
06-03 15:49:45	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xa031a1…
06-03 13:58:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x40be27…
06-03 13:10:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xc9b1cf…
06-03 13:03:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	90	20¢	$18	0x8a64b7…
06-03 12:06:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x17a70b…
06-03 11:50:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3c9581…
06-03 11:47:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5885c0…
06-03 11:14:14	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0xb0cb07…
06-03 11:13:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x1d95c3…
06-03 11:12:03	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0xd7f986…
06-03 11:11:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x52c195…
06-03 11:10:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xb4f0d0…
06-03 11:10:51	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x1c02c3…
06-03 11:10:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x20d8fa…
06-03 10:23:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	175	20¢	$35	0x4cc807…
06-03 09:11:12	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	52	20¢	$10	0x3a5fa4…