Plump-Alfalfa-Recession — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$15

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

4 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$15

$23 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 01:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 0% $-15

Other

21% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes		-9	$-5	57¢	$-5	$-0	05-04 20:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$10	28	0	+28	Up	$-10	05-04 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	$-5	05-05 01:15
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	1	$5	0	9	-9	open	—	05-04 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$3	0	3	-3	Up	$-0	05-04 20:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 01:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xedc1c4…
05-04 23:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x77b272…
05-04 20:01:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x6ee27b…
05-04 20:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x3f099b…