Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.05K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.7%

Resolved

184

Trades

1,828

lifetime

Volume

$13.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-11

last 08-08 02:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Politics

70% 57% -$345

Other

16% 55% -$639

Sports

14% 22% -$69

Crypto

0% 100% +$4

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	51	$3.2K	3,376	3,376	+0	No	-$489	06-22 18:43
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	207	$1.1K	922	899	+23	Yes	-$20	07-07 19:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	90	$509	310	310	+0	open	—	07-31 21:32
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	40	$493	318	318	+0	Yes	+$136	06-18 20:03
will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	2	$492	257	257	+0	Yes	+$20	06-17 23:19
will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	7	$460	349	349	+0	No	-$38	07-13 23:17
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	8	$381	662	0	+662	No	-$381	08-07 17:40
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	53	$361	403	397	+5	No	+$4	07-02 23:59
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	33	$319	270	254	+16	Yes	-$9	08-05 07:59
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	38	$283	161	161	+0	No	$0	07-29 23:14
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	7	$244	1,288	1,288	+0	No	-$232	08-08 02:42
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	22	$219	214	89	+125	Yes	+$25	07-13 23:54
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	25	$212	255	255	+0	No	+$2	06-19 16:20
Iran leadership change by December 31?	21	$192	114	114	+0	open	—	06-22 00:43
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	33	$184	178	178	+0	No	-$1	07-30 05:34
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	19	$179	94	94	+0	No	+$1	06-16 23:03
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	54	$176	91	91	+0	No	+$3	07-03 06:08
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	31	$150	149	149	+0	No	+$6	07-03 22:05
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	41	$143	78	78	+0	No	+$10	07-03 00:26
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	25	$138	303	298	+5	No	+$40	06-17 02:17
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	19	$119	127	127	+0	Yes	+$2	08-04 02:46
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	23	$107	294	294	+0	No	-$68	06-18 17:08
will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	30	$105	78	74	+4	No	-$4	06-26 23:22
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	7	$100	108	108	+0	Yes	+$47	06-16 17:15
will trump meet with giorgia meloni in july 2026 20260626153701912	44	$97	180	25	+155	Yes	-$8	07-22 18:40
will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	16	$79	85	0	+85	Yes	+$5	06-16 20:17
will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	14	$78	62	62	+0	No	-$8	07-31 19:47
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	7	$78	56	56	+0	Yes	+$2	08-05 03:29
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	12	$74	80	9	+71	Yes	+$2	08-01 19:45
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	10	$70	170	122	+49	No	-$4	07-30 18:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 02:52:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	Yes	BUY	85	10¢	$8	0x95cd68…
08-08 02:42:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	SELL	1,288	0¢	$6	0xb5345f…
08-07 22:52:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	Yes	BUY	47	11¢	$5	0x335849…
08-07 17:40:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	77	53¢	$41	0xe99838…
08-07 17:40:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xe11c83…
08-07 07:16:51	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xd24727…
08-07 03:07:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	60	61¢	$37	0x1efc4a…
08-07 03:05:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xdbfd68…
08-07 03:04:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x7f5658…
08-07 03:04:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	193	18¢	$35	0x9cc7e2…
08-07 02:43:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xef791c…
08-07 02:42:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x3e9c9c…
08-07 02:41:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x500cbb…
08-07 02:39:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	494	58¢	$287	0xa70290…
08-07 02:30:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x159bc8…
08-07 02:29:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	888	19¢	$166	0x9fd650…
08-07 02:25:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	13	57¢	$7	0x4e24af…
08-07 01:52:24	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0xc4079a…
08-07 01:52:16	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	SELL	13	4¢	$1	0xff218f…
08-07 00:41:39	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	SELL	13	4¢	$1	0x0b7c01…
08-06 23:32:56	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x981ca1…
08-06 23:32:56	Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x3487e7…
08-06 23:32:53	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0x733839…
08-06 23:32:51	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	84¢	$20	0x9d18ed…
08-05 08:10:38	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb93c9a…
08-05 08:01:38	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf41db…
08-05 07:59:08	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb1a225…
08-05 07:53:05	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe09dcb…
08-05 07:27:30	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef18cb…
08-05 07:08:30	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xd845d3…
08-05 07:08:00	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x4c5918…
08-05 06:13:57	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb21284…
08-05 06:12:59	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfce0a0…
08-05 06:12:57	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8614c3…
08-05 06:10:29	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa496d…
08-05 06:07:29	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42ec6e…
08-05 06:06:00	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xb419a1…
08-05 05:48:56	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x15a46f…
08-05 05:44:54	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x94b6fe…
08-05 05:43:54	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x50400e…
08-05 05:40:56	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x96aaba…
08-05 05:38:26	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0xe011e5…
08-05 05:36:56	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x7c28fb…
08-05 05:12:24	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x5c11cf…
08-05 04:05:51	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xd871d5…
08-05 04:03:51	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xb3f628…
08-05 04:03:23	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x326e5c…
08-05 04:03:21	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x84354b…
08-05 03:48:23	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	SELL	108	10¢	$11	0x6f40ab…
08-05 03:45:51	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	54	15¢	$8	0x88f4df…
08-05 03:45:23	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	54	15¢	$8	0xc2d80d…
08-05 03:29:51	Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	SELL	32	73¢	$23	0x9a3c54…
08-05 03:28:21	Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xf7e99e…
08-05 03:28:21	Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0xd9d215…
08-05 03:28:21	Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x40a515…
08-05 03:14:18	Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x65528a…
08-05 03:07:50	Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	SELL	24	68¢	$17	0x900228…
08-05 03:00:18	Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x17e4cd…
08-05 02:53:18	Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xc85efa…
08-05 02:52:20	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	32	85¢	$27	0xb9ec67…
08-05 02:47:50	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x5c3d64…
08-05 02:40:47	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x6d9346…
08-05 02:40:47	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x1c44ef…
08-05 02:39:17	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x4be866…
08-05 02:26:48	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	8	81¢	$7	0xcc58b2…
08-05 02:15:18	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xd3d009…
08-05 02:12:47	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x724883…
08-05 01:14:14	Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x0c25aa…
08-05 01:00:44	Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x2bc276…
08-05 00:20:14	Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xfa921c…
08-04 23:29:42	Will Adam Murphy be the VA-09 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x57bc87…
08-04 23:28:42	Will Adam Murphy be the VA-09 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x6359df…
08-04 22:27:44	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xed90f1…
08-04 20:43:11	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xe60665…
08-04 20:39:12	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x7b8c73…
08-04 19:15:08	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	SELL	28	38¢	$11	0xa5700a…
08-04 12:58:56	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x1ef782…
08-04 12:32:27	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	13	52¢	$7	0xd83384…
08-04 12:24:56	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	26	30¢	$8	0x143d1e…
08-04 10:55:23	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x6aba1c…
08-04 02:46:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	26	48¢	$12	0x9cd46c…
08-04 02:29:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0xab0bda…
08-04 02:09:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	17	43¢	$7	0x0e2539…
08-04 02:07:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0xa8e8e7…
08-04 01:41:15	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	No	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xc08cba…
08-04 00:20:14	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x06c655…
08-03 23:44:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0x9f444f…
08-03 23:25:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x485165…
08-03 23:20:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x9f2733…
08-03 23:17:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	38	50¢	$19	0x8bceb9…
08-03 23:16:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x855616…
08-03 23:14:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0x32caf4…
08-03 23:14:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x534f08…
08-03 23:14:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	19	49¢	$9	0xcf9b74…
08-03 23:14:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0xf43cd7…
08-03 23:11:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2f0286…
08-03 23:09:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x0e22a2…
08-03 23:08:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0xa93f72…
08-03 23:07:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x3e8c7f…
08-02 02:15:32	will iran target a arab country on august 2 2026 20260801004719119	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xace106…