Trusty-Scaffold — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$198

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 06-02 07:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

61% 100% +$1

Other

26% 100% +$0

Sports

10% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	6	$19	12	11	+0	open	—	04-28 05:13
nhl nj bos 2026 04 14	1	$19	36	0	+36	open	—	04-13 12:06
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$16	43	0	+43	open	—	03-20 09:33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-28 13:13
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-26 05:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-11 05:31
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$7	8	0	+8	No	+$1	05-07 20:44
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	04-28 19:05
Will Solana reach $100 in April?	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-29 06:01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	04-28 13:11
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	05-16 08:28
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-22 11:32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-27 05:41
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-22 11:33
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-16 10:08
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-22 11:32
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-14 19:03
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 19:05
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 13:11
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	05-30 09:37
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-08 07:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	05-30 09:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	06-02 07:31
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	04-29 05:29
trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	04-21 07:57
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	2	$3	9	0	+9	open	—	04-21 12:42
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	04-21 07:47
Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?	3	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	04-22 06:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 13:11
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 19:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 07:31:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x0e9f71…
05-30 09:37:32	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x47f55f…
05-30 09:36:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xd1f442…
05-27 05:41:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x51516e…
05-26 05:33:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x369d7f…
05-22 11:33:41	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7e7343…
05-22 11:32:46	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x81dd95…
05-22 11:32:01	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x53506c…
05-21 05:37:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x7d5d3d…
05-16 10:08:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa76505…
05-16 08:28:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x2c6d97…
05-14 19:03:19	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7a3623…
05-11 05:31:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xaab479…
05-08 07:32:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x83fb38…
05-07 20:44:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xbc3eaa…
05-02 07:53:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xbbd88e…
04-29 06:01:50	Will Solana reach $100 in April?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x879ef7…
04-29 05:30:04	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x49b286…
04-29 05:29:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xa17938…
04-29 05:28:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x985d92…
04-28 19:06:10	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5fbcab…
04-28 19:05:40	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x78c3ae…
04-28 19:05:22	Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x346b50…
04-28 13:13:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x7ba520…
04-28 13:11:50	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9aa232…
04-28 13:11:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x81c423…
04-28 13:11:04	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7a57dd…
04-28 05:13:06	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xc68376…
04-27 18:37:10	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xe179bb…
04-27 18:35:58	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x7c8ebc…
04-27 18:35:30	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd259a5…
04-27 18:34:44	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xdef796…
04-27 07:20:00	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe6deb5…
04-22 11:23:34	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x658207…
04-22 11:22:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x7f3422…
04-22 11:21:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xd61f83…
04-22 06:06:00	Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x55d350…
04-22 06:05:32	Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x2bd6e7…
04-22 06:04:16	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xc15cec…
04-22 06:04:12	Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa8a68d…
04-21 12:42:50	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4c0296…
04-21 11:29:48	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xf250df…
04-21 11:12:08	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xc57f0d…
04-21 10:26:16	Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x960240…
04-21 08:15:04	Will Solana reach $100 in April?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x7aa69e…
04-21 07:57:22	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x9171d5…
04-21 07:54:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xec7768…
04-21 07:47:04	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xd8e4ee…
04-21 07:31:44	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xd31125…
04-21 07:30:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x3a25af…
04-13 12:06:15	nhl nj bos 2026 04 14	Bruins	BUY	36	53¢	$19	0xc29580…
04-05 09:53:09	over 400 us flights cancelled on april 5	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xdfd896…
03-20 09:33:29	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	43	36¢	$16	0xa4ce26…
03-02 21:01:47	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xbff5ef…