Nippy-Veneer — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$4.19K

Unrealized P&L

-$24

Hit rate

9.5%

Resolved (30d)

118

Trades (30d)

164

2,368 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$5.30K

$96.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

$13

1 position

First seen

2026-02-21

last 10-27 01:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Other

68% 16% -$10,610

Crypto

17% 10% -$9,556

Politics

13% 5% +$1,362

Sports

1% 8% -$294

Tech

0% 0% -$36

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 27?	Yes		+2,142	$37	1¢	$13	-$24	10-27 00:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	16	$4.8K	73,400	31,980	+41,420	Yes	+$4,196	04-10 23:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	64	$4.1K	99,859	93,296	+6,563	No	-$565	04-26 23:32
epl bur bre 2026 02 28 bur	3	$3.0K	4,236	4,236	+0	No	+$2,877	02-28 16:40
epl ast sun 2026 04 19 ast	8	$1.4K	2,923	1,654	+1,269	Yes	+$1,201	04-19 14:56
epl bur bre 2026 02 28 bre	3	$786	1,097	1,097	+0	Yes	+$606	02-28 16:23
bitcoin above 66k on february 27	3	$747	1,266	1,266	+0	No	+$520	02-27 12:19
Korea Republic vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5	2	$734	515	515	+0	Over	+$261	09-24 12:50
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-19?	2	$697	771	771	+0	No	+$597	09-19 21:19
bun hof pau 2026 02 28 total 1pt5	2	$697	505	505	+0	Under	+$131	02-28 15:19
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	6	$691	7,757	7,757	+0	No	-$109	09-20 14:07
Korea Republic vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5	3	$672	508	508	+0	Over	+$334	09-24 12:21
bun fre moe 2026 02 22 total 2pt5	2	$639	511	511	+0	Over	+$373	02-22 16:15
fl1 tou pfc 2026 02 21 total 1pt5	2	$628	436	436	+0	Over	+$235	02-21 19:50
bitcoin above 70k on april 10	6	$607	6,100	2,893	+3,207	Yes	-$328	04-10 12:41
sea rom cre 2026 02 22 total 2pt5	2	$595	500	500	+0	Over	+$395	02-22 21:32
per1 fbm clc 2026 02 27 clc	4	$572	571	502	+69	Yes	+$422	02-28 00:39
lal bar vil 2026 02 28 total 4pt5	2	$571	405	405	+0	Over	+$231	02-28 17:12
bun fre hei 2026 04 19 total 2pt5	2	$558	370	365	+5	Over	+$163	04-19 15:13
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	10	$548	38,379	38,379	+0	No	-$46	09-26 11:55
bitcoin above 68k on april 10	7	$537	15,671	7,092	+8,579	Yes	-$357	04-09 23:30
sea cag laz 2026 02 21 total 2pt5	2	$500	2,248	0	+2,248	Under	-$500	02-21 20:33
Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score in First Half	2	$499	419	419	+0	Yes	+$331	09-19 20:01
lal ala vil 2026 03 13 ala	4	$489	424	424	+0	No	+$316	03-13 21:56
brco cam csc 2026 04 23 btts	3	$477	372	364	+8	Yes	+$251	04-23 23:27
Andorra leading at halftime?	3	$471	428	428	+0	No	+$317	09-24 16:39
tur ant gfk 2026 03 13 btts	2	$470	370	370	+0	Yes	+$270	03-13 19:22
Andorra vs. Malta: O/U 2.5	3	$458	320	320	+0	Over	+$176	09-24 17:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8?	5	$456	3,336	0	+3,336	No	-$456	10-08 10:49
arg def boc 2026 04 23 total 2pt5	2	$444	333	327	+6	Over	+$210	04-24 00:46
Botafogo FR vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 4.5	2	$439	318	318	+0	Over	+$191	09-17 00:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 01:43:57	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	600	1¢	$7	0xabd47e…
10-27 01:43:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	13,848	0¢	$20	0x67614c…
10-27 01:40:45	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	159	5¢	$8	0xe12b50…
10-27 01:40:30	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	268	6¢	$15	0x487f96…
10-27 00:44:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2,142	2¢	$37	0xaa9dc8…
10-27 00:43:42	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1,041	1¢	$8	0x5342a5…
10-26 20:20:53	Sevilla FC vs. CA Osasuna: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	89	18¢	$16	0x68cb63…
10-26 20:20:33	Sevilla FC vs. CA Osasuna: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x52a31f…
10-26 20:20:05	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1,153	2¢	$25	0xbafdd4…
10-26 20:09:41	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	44	25¢	$11	0x6f9988…
10-26 20:08:36	FC Andorra leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	267	1¢	$4	0x74cbe6…
10-26 20:06:24	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score in First Half	Yes	BUY	108	5¢	$5	0xa4df09…
10-26 18:01:36	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	432	2¢	$9	0xcdc93d…
10-26 18:01:17	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1,931	1¢	$14	0x1a8f6e…
10-26 02:54:03	Querétaro FC vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	66	27¢	$18	0xd49b9a…
10-26 02:53:20	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	500	3¢	$15	0x4acd38…
10-25 20:51:42	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 3 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	173	2¢	$3	0x98ad43…
10-25 20:50:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1,428	13¢	$186	0x5032ea…
10-25 20:46:51	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score in First Half	Yes	BUY	202	14¢	$28	0x2582d8…
10-25 20:44:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2,895	1¢	$30	0x3f9ec8…
10-25 20:44:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2,843	3¢	$80	0x4a123a…
10-25 15:35:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2,229	2¢	$50	0x99db82…
10-19 03:12:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	697	2¢	$15	0x1b712e…
10-19 03:12:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	143	11¢	$16	0x01124d…
10-19 03:10:42	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 18?	Yes	SELL	350	10¢	$35	0x8b1bf0…
10-18 23:10:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	261	7¢	$18	0x9da6c7…
10-18 23:09:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	571	1¢	$8	0x82b4d5…
10-18 23:05:33	Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	103	10¢	$10	0xe26928…
10-18 23:04:53	FC Cincinnati vs. Columbus Crew: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x049cd6…
10-18 23:04:44	Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	251	2¢	$5	0x627290…
10-18 23:02:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	689	1¢	$10	0x924e0a…
10-18 23:01:41	Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xa1d050…
10-18 23:01:24	Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	SELL	70	94¢	$65	0x4b40f0…
10-18 22:48:27	FC Cincinnati vs. Columbus Crew: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd420ac…
10-18 22:48:06	Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xaa773d…
10-18 22:47:51	Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	26	14¢	$4	0x068b2f…
10-18 22:39:48	Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	70	21¢	$15	0x700fee…
10-18 22:39:27	Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	160	2¢	$4	0xab34a5…
10-18 21:32:24	FC Cincinnati vs. Columbus Crew: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	65	29¢	$19	0x2b7d3e…
10-18 16:09:51	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	1,223	2¢	$27	0x807975…
10-18 16:09:35	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	350	7¢	$26	0x7cf328…
10-18 16:02:53	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xdc1fc2…
10-18 15:56:51	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	56	16¢	$9	0x0ff9ad…
10-18 15:56:33	Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	312	2¢	$5	0x2f7b4b…
10-18 15:54:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19?	Yes	SELL	400	4¢	$16	0x29314f…
10-18 15:00:23	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	167	7¢	$12	0x9444a5…
10-18 14:58:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x237e46…
10-18 14:58:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	313	2¢	$5	0xf15a81…
10-18 14:51:29	AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	133	19¢	$25	0x7dec88…
10-18 14:21:45	AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	128	32¢	$41	0xa3ff71…
10-18 14:20:12	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	655	2¢	$10	0xd42316…
10-18 14:04:20	Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	430	1¢	$5	0x53d91e…
10-18 14:02:53	Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Rosenborg BK: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0xf1f94d…
10-18 14:02:38	Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x65152f…
10-18 14:00:53	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xc936a1…
10-18 13:49:32	CA Osasuna vs. Real Racing Club: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	167	9¢	$15	0xf9af86…
10-18 13:48:29	CA Osasuna vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	148	99¢	$146	0x85d485…
10-18 13:33:18	CA Osasuna vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	148	54¢	$80	0x8d367b…
10-18 13:30:57	Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	375	4¢	$15	0x33d02e…
10-18 11:48:33	Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	722	3¢	$19	0xf6bcda…
10-18 11:47:11	Will US Lecce win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0x73261d…
10-18 11:31:36	Udinese Calcio vs. US Lecce: Udinese Calcio O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	171	29¢	$50	0x0c049d…
10-17 12:44:15	Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	66	52¢	$34	0x17fb1e…
10-17 12:43:50	Exact Score: Everton FC 2 - 2 Chelsea FC?	Yes	BUY	364	5¢	$18	0xb79312…
10-17 12:09:51	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: 1st Half O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	397	11¢	$44	0x35e777…
10-17 12:09:33	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x13dab1…
10-17 11:42:27	Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score in First Half	Yes	BUY	250	21¢	$51	0x6c3d3f…
10-16 23:27:51	CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x6e9507…
10-16 23:27:30	CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0x0746ef…
10-16 23:27:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	SELL	1,889	4¢	$76	0xa25293…
10-16 21:23:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	BUY	1,889	5¢	$87	0xa56856…
10-16 21:23:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	No	BUY	1,204	0¢	$2	0x5d61c1…
10-16 21:21:45	CD Los Chankas vs. AD Tarma: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	110	82¢	$90	0xb8afc1…
10-16 21:14:11	CD Los Chankas vs. AD Tarma: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	110	52¢	$57	0x3902b5…
10-16 21:13:35	will bitcoin dip to 79k on october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	1,043	2¢	$20	0x3c7021…
10-16 21:13:23	will bitcoin reach 84k on october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	1,165	1¢	$11	0xb32527…
10-16 21:06:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	SELL	2,156	4¢	$91	0x036f74…
10-16 20:44:39	Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	254	36¢	$91	0x4de883…
10-16 20:44:21	Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xdb0ce8…
10-16 20:42:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	BUY	2,156	5¢	$104	0xc8551b…
10-16 20:25:14	Frosinone Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: US Sassuolo Calcio O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	115	31¢	$36	0x8727c8…
10-16 20:24:56	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x927ccf…
10-16 20:24:45	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-16?	No	BUY	625	4¢	$25	0xfde6a3…
10-16 20:24:41	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x6c68b1…
10-16 14:24:51	will bitcoin reach 86k on october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	1,138	1¢	$15	0x9a2f1b…
10-16 14:22:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x57d0b7…
10-16 14:21:58	will bitcoin reach 86k on october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	2,181	1¢	$26	0x8dd0b2…
10-16 13:59:58	will bitcoin reach 85k on october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	1,432	2¢	$30	0xacaff0…
10-16 13:57:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	1,123	2¢	$20	0x604913…
10-09 13:59:00	Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score in First Half	Yes	BUY	40	31¢	$12	0xf895b6…
10-09 13:57:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 10?	Yes	SELL	8,398	0¢	$14	0xd3aa0b…
10-09 13:39:45	Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xa43ddf…
10-09 13:39:15	Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	1,167	1¢	$7	0xa3d094…
10-09 13:39:01	Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-10-09?	No	BUY	168	6¢	$10	0x37733d…
10-09 13:38:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9?	Yes	SELL	1,154	4¢	$41	0x475505…
10-09 08:54:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	272	1¢	$3	0xb0f23a…
10-09 08:53:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	1,105	2¢	$21	0x77970f…
10-08 19:42:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	505	9¢	$44	0xd89cf8…
10-08 19:34:56	CD Moquegua vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x4bfa57…
10-08 19:34:44	Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-10-08?	No	BUY	77	4¢	$3	0x69db06…