Cooked-Mustache — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

31.9%

Resolved

140

Trades

488

lifetime

Volume

$762

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-03 12:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

41% 9% $-8

Crypto

35% 33% $-4

Sports

15% — —

Other

9% 0% $-1

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No		+4	$1	32¢	$1	+$0	06-03 12:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	9	$47	94	78	+16	open	—	03-18 15:29
mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	15	$36	583	0	+583	open	—	03-17 16:41
will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	4	$34	96	90	+6	open	—	03-14 20:34
will tit me pregunt be played first at the super bowl halftime show	3	$29	83	0	+83	open	—	02-08 22:06
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	7	$22	76	0	+76	open	—	05-24 00:36
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$13	19	0	+19	open	—	03-04 02:37
us forces enter iran by march 7	4	$10	127	0	+127	open	—	03-04 22:44
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	1	$10	0	17	-17	open	—	05-30 21:36
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	3	$9	23	0	+23	open	—	05-26 00:51
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	5	$8	286	0	+286	open	—	05-07 21:44
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	3	$8	8	4	+5	open	—	03-08 21:57
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	3	$7	41	0	+41	open	—	03-04 02:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	2	$7	11	0	+11	Down	$-2	05-05 02:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	5	$7	20	0	+20	Up	$-5	05-05 03:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	3	$7	14	4	+10	Up	+$1	05-06 21:09
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	3	$7	67	67	+0	open	—	03-14 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	3	$7	7	7	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 17:04
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$7	21	5	+17	open	—	05-12 15:46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-22 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	3	$6	110	0	+110	Up	+$0	05-05 02:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	5	$6	13	4	+9	Up	+$4	05-06 17:09
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	1	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	01-04 17:12
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$5	8	8	+0	open	—	05-19 21:38
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	04-22 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	4	$5	6	2	+4	Up	$-1	05-06 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	4	$5	22	2	+20	Up	$-1	05-05 20:14
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	01-11 17:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Up	$-5	05-05 02:24
will la mudanza be played first at the super bowl halftime show	1	$5	36	0	+36	open	—	02-08 19:35
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-23 23:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 12:12:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xae3de3…
05-30 21:36:26	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0x238c5f…
05-26 00:51:45	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x32417c…
05-25 16:46:31	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xbc5623…
05-24 00:36:49	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5b002c…
05-24 00:36:32	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x2a15ea…
05-23 23:44:37	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xcf6dd1…
05-23 23:38:47	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x99f6e4…
05-23 23:34:08	Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xcb57b9…
05-23 23:33:28	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x5265a9…
05-23 23:33:09	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x0a0564…
05-22 19:46:44	Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)	Hurricanes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa80dfe…
05-22 19:46:20	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x92220e…
05-22 19:46:11	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x16d36e…
05-22 19:44:58	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb18fe0…
05-22 19:44:47	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6c90e8…
05-22 19:44:37	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x6f00a1…
05-19 21:38:22	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0x7547df…
05-12 15:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9be4f0…
05-12 15:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x947f08…
05-12 15:46:27	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x69e475…
05-12 15:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2d0978…
05-12 15:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x32f21b…
05-12 15:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x72f468…
05-12 15:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb19316…
05-12 15:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd671aa…
05-12 15:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x78884d…
05-12 15:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2be91c…
05-12 15:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe55d30…
05-12 15:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe29504…
05-12 15:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6fe060…
05-12 15:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc3fc03…
05-12 15:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x79d1d0…
05-11 15:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3210c7…
05-11 15:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa06132…
05-11 15:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd2d553…
05-11 15:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x7db8ae…
05-11 15:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf727ac…
05-11 15:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf29fae…
05-11 14:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd91e06…
05-11 14:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xee5e77…
05-11 14:51:57	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x349f57…
05-11 14:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x1c8089…
05-11 14:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x716db1…
05-11 14:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf18df9…
05-11 14:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xdbe579…
05-11 14:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe45f72…
05-11 13:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x08df4f…
05-08 19:14:18	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xc25af8…
05-08 18:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd9f58b…
05-08 16:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x575d97…
05-08 15:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x37bee0…
05-08 04:21:47	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x3adb46…
05-07 23:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9071f5…
05-07 23:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x9c3a79…
05-07 23:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5d3a88…
05-07 22:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x953648…
05-07 22:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc17218…
05-07 22:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf09e00…
05-07 21:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5d8e87…
05-07 21:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xafa46c…
05-07 21:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6937f5…
05-07 21:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xfdee7e…
05-07 21:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x6a54e5…
05-07 21:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd18da2…
05-07 21:47:01	Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xff0975…
05-07 21:44:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xc94a20…
05-07 21:44:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xfda8d5…
05-07 21:44:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xcf82ef…
05-07 21:43:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb263c2…
05-07 21:41:58	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x66723a…
05-07 21:41:43	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8d0828…
05-07 21:41:36	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa2032d…
05-07 21:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb20c9a…
05-07 21:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xdfc64f…
05-07 21:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7800cc…
05-07 21:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc2791f…
05-07 21:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc9abd4…
05-07 21:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x64aecb…
05-07 21:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x55cf4d…
05-07 20:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x56f7d0…
05-07 20:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x82bbcb…
05-07 20:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6cc98c…
05-07 20:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3f6ceb…
05-07 20:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x98313a…
05-07 20:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe19956…
05-07 20:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x655258…
05-07 20:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xdc238a…
05-07 20:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc4bfcf…
05-07 20:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcca17c…
05-07 20:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0x8da623…
05-07 20:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf4f48e…
05-07 20:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x190132…
05-07 20:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5b03e7…
05-07 20:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xafbf08…
05-07 20:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5948d3…
05-07 20:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x441b64…
05-07 20:15:14	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1426d0…
05-07 20:15:07	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x252bf0…
05-07 20:14:14	Will Saudi Arabia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb29792…