Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$36

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

79.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$786

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$148

5 positions

First seen

2026-10-24

last 10-28 17:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

33% 59% +$29

Other

30% 50% +$7

Politics

25% — —

Tech

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+62	$42	72¢	$44	+$2	10-26 16:05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	+65	$41	68¢	$44	+$3	10-28 17:22
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+41	$26	68¢	$28	+$2	10-24 13:25
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+89	$16	24¢	$21	+$5	10-24 14:36
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	Yes	+50	$10	22¢	$11	+$1	10-24 14:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	9	$67	127	127	+0	open	—	10-28 12:35
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$59	85	85	+0	open	—	10-26 16:04
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$51	29	29	+0	Yes	+$7	10-26 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	8	$47	84	50	+33	Up	+$19	10-25 00:39
Will GTA VI break the 24-hour sales record?	3	$46	28	28	+0	open	—	10-27 09:14
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	2	$43	35	35	+0	open	—	10-26 22:00
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	1	$42	62	0	+62	open	—	10-26 16:05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	1	$41	65	0	+65	open	—	10-28 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	7	$33	36	36	+0	Up	+$13	10-24 14:29
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	2	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	10-25 00:07
Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026?	1	$27	54	0	+54	open	—	10-27 09:14
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	1	$26	41	0	+41	open	—	10-24 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$25	16	16	+0	Up	+$5	10-24 14:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$24	200	200	+0	No	+$0	10-26 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	5	$23	15	15	+0	Down	+$7	10-25 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	6	$21	51	34	+17	Down	+$11	10-25 00:54
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	2	$19	24	24	+0	open	—	10-24 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$19	14	14	+0	Up	+$9	10-24 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	4	$17	116	10	+106	Up	+$3	10-25 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	Down	+$7	10-24 13:39
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	2	$17	64	64	+0	open	—	10-28 06:58
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	1	$16	89	0	+89	open	—	10-24 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	9	$13	212	0	+212	Down	-$13	10-24 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	10-24 14:23
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	1	$10	50	0	+50	open	—	10-24 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$10	18	0	+18	Up	-$10	10-24 13:27
Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026?	2	$9	40	40	+0	open	—	10-27 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	3	$7	170	0	+170	Down	-$7	10-25 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$6	15	0	+15	Down	-$6	10-25 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$6	20	0	+20	Up	-$6	10-25 00:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 17:22:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	65	63¢	$41	0x4879db…
10-28 12:35:50	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0x4e0870…
10-28 12:34:53	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	29	32¢	$9	0x2c3a5d…
10-28 12:34:50	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	83	32¢	$26	0xccd192…
10-28 12:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9383b5…
10-28 07:09:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xdab1b8…
10-28 07:09:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x7cfe2f…
10-28 07:09:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x77af22…
10-28 07:09:10	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xb7c702…
10-28 07:09:10	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x0608bf…
10-28 06:59:05	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0x0efb92…
10-28 06:58:37	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	64	12¢	$8	0xfc8397…
10-27 09:14:45	Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	50¢	$27	0x81fc7a…
10-27 09:14:08	Will GTA VI break the 24-hour sales record?	Yes	SELL	28	83¢	$23	0x4ad298…
10-27 09:14:02	Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0x5f1002…
10-27 08:40:08	Will GTA VI break the 24-hour sales record?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x9f6776…
10-27 08:38:24	Will GTA VI break the 24-hour sales record?	Yes	BUY	23	84¢	$19	0x65d45a…
10-27 08:35:15	Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x1b0daf…
10-26 22:53:48	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x517626…
10-26 22:01:03	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	29	77¢	$22	0x081d1b…
10-26 22:00:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	35	62¢	$22	0x27b59d…
10-26 16:05:48	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	68¢	$42	0x4d70f5…
10-26 16:05:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	6¢	$12	0x22cb8b…
10-26 16:04:21	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	85	35¢	$30	0x379962…
10-25 01:01:02	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	85	34¢	$29	0xa041ce…
10-25 00:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb3dbfb…
10-25 00:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x4eaf0a…
10-25 00:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa5b937…
10-25 00:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	34	45¢	$16	0xa9a7ef…
10-25 00:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x770909…
10-25 00:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xbfc120…
10-25 00:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x959126…
10-25 00:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x939e57…
10-25 00:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe0ff64…
10-25 00:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4b4bc3…
10-25 00:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x9abc07…
10-25 00:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa4d664…
10-25 00:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xaf2e38…
10-25 00:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4f80b2…
10-25 00:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x3aee22…
10-25 00:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1dfc62…
10-25 00:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	23	54¢	$13	0xa2b5f1…
10-25 00:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	27	74¢	$20	0x05d432…
10-25 00:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x433caf…
10-25 00:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0a500c…
10-25 00:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x19f6ac…
10-25 00:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x061217…
10-25 00:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xb09eb3…
10-25 00:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x9aa67b…
10-25 00:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4c7333…
10-25 00:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfcec2f…
10-25 00:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x554ce6…
10-25 00:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3d9c98…
10-25 00:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x48111a…
10-25 00:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe5d933…
10-25 00:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x277c65…
10-25 00:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7f2511…
10-25 00:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xffa4bf…
10-25 00:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x97d44c…
10-25 00:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x59509d…
10-25 00:07:32	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	18	81¢	$14	0x2153c5…
10-24 15:52:23	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	18	79¢	$14	0x75a42d…
10-24 14:45:39	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	64	14¢	$9	0x6817ad…
10-24 14:44:02	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	40¢	$9	0xf490c3…
10-24 14:42:38	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x275b6c…
10-24 14:41:59	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xf420fe…
10-24 14:41:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	35	60¢	$21	0x6b9096…
10-24 14:36:02	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	89	18¢	$16	0xb018cd…
10-24 14:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	16	91¢	$15	0x0f5cb7…
10-24 14:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xedabce…
10-24 14:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	36	62¢	$23	0x30a039…
10-24 14:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x32ea50…
10-24 14:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xfcf60b…
10-24 14:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x350ec6…
10-24 14:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6a87fd…
10-24 14:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd25412…
10-24 14:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x0f2cda…
10-24 14:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x9b73db…
10-24 14:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x026094…
10-24 13:56:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x4728b0…
10-24 13:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x3491f9…
10-24 13:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xd2db73…
10-24 13:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x584d9d…
10-24 13:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xbf0a08…
10-24 13:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8baa54…
10-24 13:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xff9230…
10-24 13:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xeb452d…
10-24 13:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6bddc8…
10-24 13:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x073f7c…
10-24 13:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x70e3d8…
10-24 13:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x779b09…
10-24 13:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x34b113…
10-24 13:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xcf4fb5…
10-24 13:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4c5c53…
10-24 13:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x8340df…
10-24 13:25:27	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	41	64¢	$26	0xaf5a0d…