Jumbo-Bratwurst — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.90K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$283.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$7.87K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 05-17 17:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

100% 62% +$3,392

Other

0% 0% -$489

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us invade iran by march 31	6	$75.1K	42,362	42,362	+0	No	+$757	03-30 23:50
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	4	$55.7K	39,295	26,487	+12,808	No	+$3,629	04-25 13:26
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	4	$33.9K	20,897	20,897	+0	No	+$2,418	03-27 22:03
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$29.9K	26,364	26,364	+0	No	+$1,178	04-01 09:06
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$21.4K	11,460	11,460	+0	No	+$1,389	04-22 10:15
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	2	$21.3K	12,592	12,592	+0	No	+$1,852	03-18 01:59
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	1	$14.0K	16,529	0	+16,529	No	+$2,523	03-30 23:51
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$13.8K	13,254	13,254	+0	Yes	-$8,790	04-15 00:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$10.0K	10,753	0	+10,753	No	+$753	05-17 17:52
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$3.4K	2,634	2,634	+0	No	-$563	04-25 00:20
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$3.2K	2,612	2,612	+0	No	-$754	04-25 00:19
us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	3	$511	7,477	7,477	+0	No	-$489	03-31 19:59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	1	$500	4,878	0	+4,878	No	-$500	04-24 18:13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	1	$500	1,415	0	+1,415	No	-$500	04-24 18:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 17:52:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10,753	93¢	$10,000	0xf83b99…
04-25 13:26:10	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	12,808	94¢	$12,000	0xc147d3…
04-25 00:20:02	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2,634	55¢	$1,437	0x7fb8d8…
04-25 00:19:42	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2,612	48¢	$1,246	0x2200b6…
04-24 18:13:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,415	35¢	$500	0x43043e…
04-24 18:13:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,878	10¢	$500	0x5e1ec2…
04-24 18:10:52	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,634	76¢	$2,000	0xe3b457…
04-24 18:10:38	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,612	77¢	$2,000	0x6b6a73…
04-24 18:07:22	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	26,487	88¢	$23,256	0xeffc9f…
04-23 00:10:00	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	13,285	86¢	$11,389	0x78e6d5…
04-22 10:15:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	11,460	99¢	$11,389	0xddc20e…
04-19 09:19:04	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	13,203	69¢	$9,046	0xa10c50…
04-19 09:11:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	11,460	87¢	$10,000	0x9c24f9…
04-15 00:18:38	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	13,254	19¢	$2,516	0xdd5988…
04-01 16:21:15	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	13,254	85¢	$11,306	0x7e26c9…
04-01 09:06:23	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	11,364	99¢	$11,295	0x95a236…
03-31 19:59:25	us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	Yes	SELL	7,477	0¢	$11	0x6fed11…
03-30 23:51:05	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	16,529	85¢	$14,006	0x44fa25…
03-30 23:50:27	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	SELL	14,375	97¢	$14,002	0x000ae3…
03-29 00:26:44	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	14,375	94¢	$13,463	0xdc8c2a…
03-28 23:08:40	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	11,364	88¢	$10,000	0x89d5aa…
03-27 22:03:09	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	SELL	7,033	95¢	$6,691	0xc522f4…
03-27 08:33:11	us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	Yes	BUY	4,206	7¢	$300	0x9dcdbc…
03-26 14:49:01	us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	Yes	BUY	3,271	6¢	$200	0x40e0e5…
03-25 20:36:37	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	7,033	85¢	$6,000	0x4f2330…
03-24 18:32:43	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	SELL	14,376	82¢	$11,802	0xf55475…
03-24 11:52:17	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	SELL	13,865	83¢	$11,470	0x1277d2…
03-24 09:31:33	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	14,376	84¢	$12,138	0xf11489…
03-23 15:54:05	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	SELL	13,611	89¢	$12,138	0x66073e…
03-18 02:00:39	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	13,611	85¢	$11,584	0x31ac6f…
03-18 01:59:51	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	12,592	92¢	$11,584	0x5b9666…
03-13 20:48:49	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	13,865	70¢	$9,743	0x756b78…
03-12 10:22:15	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	12,592	77¢	$9,732	0x937905…
03-11 16:39:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	14,992	28¢	$4,227	0x5ae52e…
03-11 16:38:43	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0xdafda7…
03-09 19:39:27	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	15,000	29¢	$4,347	0x2bc1ee…