Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.36K

Unrealized P&L

-$115

Hit rate

17.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$119

Open exposure

$99

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-27 20:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Politics

67% 0% -$3,130

Crypto

30% 12% -$207

Other

2% 0% -$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+1,000	$70	6¢	$55	-$15	10-27 20:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?	Yes	+7,057	$70	0¢	$18	-$52	10-24 22:24
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	+1,464	$14	1¢	$15	+$1	10-27 20:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	+7,877	$60	0¢	$12	-$48	10-24 14:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	8	$1.6K	4,139	4,139	+0	No	-$131	01-26 22:56
ethereum above 1900 on february 28	2	$1.3K	1,112	1,112	+0	Yes	+$700	02-28 16:44
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	4	$475	7,909	0	+7,909	No	-$475	07-12 09:20
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	5	$417	14,904	0	+14,904	No	-$417	08-28 16:30
israel closes its airspace by august 15	6	$359	11,999	0	+11,999	No	-$359	08-14 18:52
ethereum above 2100 on april 3	2	$338	2,776	0	+2,776	No	-$338	04-03 10:47
ethereum above 2200 on march 3	3	$314	4,997	0	+4,997	No	-$314	03-02 17:47
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	2	$310	1,512	1,000	+512	No	-$290	02-06 14:38
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	1	$305	3,613	0	+3,613	Yes	-$305	10-10 21:49
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	4	$275	6,146	0	+6,146	No	-$275	06-25 20:52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	3	$242	6,404	1,000	+5,404	Yes	-$142	08-28 17:02
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$227	1,083	1,083	+0	No	-$33	01-28 09:44
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	3	$207	5,547	0	+5,547	No	-$207	07-30 20:51
israel closes its airspace by july 7	1	$178	3,047	0	+3,047	No	-$178	06-30 12:28
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	2	$152	1,386	1,386	+0	No	-$42	01-13 12:50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	1	$150	2,500	0	+2,500	Yes	-$150	10-15 14:02
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$141	1,290	1,290	+0	No	-$19	01-15 19:44
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	1	$126	1,145	0	+1,145	No	-$126	06-09 10:32
ethereum above 2200 on march 4	1	$100	2,802	0	+2,802	No	-$100	03-04 08:55
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	1	$70	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	10-27 20:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?	1	$70	7,057	0	+7,057	open	—	10-24 22:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	1	$64	608	0	+608	Yes	-$64	10-26 16:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	1	$60	7,877	0	+7,877	open	—	10-24 14:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	1	$50	2,835	0	+2,835	Yes	-$50	10-26 16:31
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$40	20,000	20,000	+0	No	+$0	01-15 19:44
ethereum above 2100 on march 1	1	$40	2,084	0	+2,084	No	-$40	02-28 17:54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	1	$14	1,464	0	+1,464	open	—	10-27 20:37
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$6	164	0	+164	No	-$6	02-28 17:56
ethereum above 2000 on february 28	1	$1	21	0	+21	No	-$1	02-28 14:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:37:38	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0x9ef6f6…
10-27 20:37:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	1,464	1¢	$14	0xe52b12…
10-26 16:31:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	608	11¢	$64	0x962e50…
10-26 16:31:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	2,835	2¢	$50	0x316a62…
10-24 22:24:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	7,057	1¢	$70	0xc657a2…
10-24 14:45:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	7,877	1¢	$60	0xb06f4b…
10-15 14:02:38	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	2,500	6¢	$150	0x3a087f…
10-10 21:49:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	BUY	3,613	8¢	$305	0x40c7f8…
08-28 17:02:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	No	BUY	3,491	1¢	$42	0x1f52de…
08-28 16:30:07	Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	BUY	1,739	2¢	$30	0x29235b…
08-27 08:42:21	Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	BUY	2,753	1¢	$32	0x4abbd1…
08-23 08:13:24	Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	BUY	1,164	3¢	$31	0x220d1e…
08-21 09:43:28	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	2,110	4¢	$78	0x5bea72…
08-19 08:07:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	1,000	5¢	$50	0x75134b…
08-17 11:14:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	2,913	5¢	$150	0x880dd8…
08-17 11:09:21	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	7,137	3¢	$247	0x44b1be…
08-14 18:52:06	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	2,099	2¢	$32	0xa6429b…
08-14 15:21:03	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	2,828	1¢	$31	0x20f414…
08-11 09:16:52	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	1,563	3¢	$47	0x84abc3…
08-10 07:44:34	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	1,743	4¢	$62	0x51a5ca…
08-08 17:15:12	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	1,442	4¢	$62	0xb3f3a6…
08-07 14:13:00	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	2,324	5¢	$125	0x6474e9…
07-30 20:51:41	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	2,259	3¢	$61	0xd184af…
07-28 13:46:14	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	2,103	3¢	$61	0x537f60…
07-26 17:44:25	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	1,184	7¢	$85	0x9d23e9…
07-12 09:20:07	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	2,499	5¢	$123	0x88fb91…
07-09 06:52:01	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	2,905	4¢	$122	0xe5710c…
06-30 12:28:26	israel closes its airspace by july 7	Yes	BUY	3,047	6¢	$178	0x0cac37…
06-25 20:52:49	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$34	0x5cad62…
06-22 05:19:04	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	1,133	9¢	$102	0xb82d30…
06-21 20:20:52	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,042	5¢	$50	0xf77276…
06-16 07:03:42	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,290	5¢	$64	0xc68462…
06-16 06:49:09	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	1,372	9¢	$128	0x67f58f…
06-14 05:42:52	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,814	7¢	$127	0x0f2ff8…
06-09 10:32:55	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	1,145	11¢	$126	0xefcc67…
04-03 10:47:07	ethereum above 2100 on april 3	Yes	BUY	746	5¢	$38	0xc680ca…
04-03 08:26:21	ethereum above 2100 on april 3	Yes	BUY	2,030	15¢	$300	0xca280f…
03-04 08:55:47	ethereum above 2200 on march 4	Yes	BUY	2,802	4¢	$100	0xf7e231…
03-02 17:47:47	ethereum above 2200 on march 3	Yes	BUY	2,422	4¢	$105	0xd36f4b…
03-02 16:26:57	ethereum above 2200 on march 3	Yes	BUY	153	6¢	$9	0xaaf937…
03-02 16:15:31	ethereum above 2200 on march 3	Yes	BUY	2,423	8¢	$200	0x7e630c…
02-28 17:56:01	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	164	4¢	$6	0xb07e27…
02-28 17:54:13	ethereum above 2100 on march 1	Yes	BUY	2,084	2¢	$40	0xc9594b…
02-28 16:44:37	ethereum above 1900 on february 28	Yes	SELL	1,112	88¢	$982	0xb7f37f…
02-28 14:12:15	ethereum above 2000 on february 28	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x001996…
02-28 11:26:49	ethereum above 1900 on february 28	Yes	BUY	1,112	25¢	$282	0x44e199…
02-06 14:38:59	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$10	0xc73fd0…
02-01 00:38:34	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	Yes	BUY	1,512	20¢	$300	0x93b478…
01-28 09:44:41	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	SELL	1,083	9¢	$97	0x722fb1…
01-26 22:57:21	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	1,083	12¢	$130	0xbff0b5…
01-26 22:56:53	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	SELL	1,183	11¢	$130	0x472f90…
01-26 16:47:59	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	1,183	12¢	$142	0x7d1cff…
01-26 11:19:23	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	SELL	1,715	13¢	$223	0x515277…
01-23 12:51:06	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	1,715	20¢	$343	0x56893a…
01-15 19:44:50	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	20,000	0¢	$20	0x61bef1…
01-15 19:44:28	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,290	5¢	$61	0x043767…
01-13 12:50:21	us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	Yes	SELL	1,386	4¢	$55	0xfcd898…
01-13 05:09:25	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,290	6¢	$80	0xb9a6ac…
01-13 05:09:05	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0x4c6a88…
01-13 02:43:23	us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	Yes	BUY	1,386	7¢	$97	0x9fd5d4…
01-13 02:42:43	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	SELL	1,241	32¢	$397	0xf4af7e…
01-09 16:07:38	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	869	32¢	$278	0x1d7673…
01-09 16:07:24	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	64	31¢	$20	0x13606e…
01-04 23:39:55	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	308	32¢	$98	0x03c0a0…