Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

94.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

$183

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 07-12 14:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

87% 62% +$11

Tech

10% — —

Politics

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	+118	$100	86¢	$102	+$2	06-06 05:17
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	+91	$50	68¢	$62	+$12	06-08 22:27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+222	$20	8¢	$19	$-1	06-17 03:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	+18	$10	1¢	$0	$-10	06-17 03:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$1.2K	603	603	+0	open	—	05-03 08:13
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	1	$100	118	0	+118	open	—	06-06 05:17
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$100	114	0	+114	open	—	04-14 18:05
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$50	91	0	+91	open	—	06-08 22:27
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	1	$50	58	0	+58	open	—	06-06 05:19
itc int com 2026 04 21 int	1	$20	33	0	+33	open	—	04-14 16:52
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	1	$20	32	0	+32	open	—	04-14 16:50
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	222	0	+222	open	—	06-17 03:23
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	06-17 03:32
next mythos class model released by september 30 2026	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	06-17 03:27
tsm quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 16 2026 3pt31	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	04-14 16:31
DoorDash total orders above 960M in Q1?	2	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$2	05-06 22:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	06-17 03:34
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 5?	1	$10	14	0	+14	Up	+$4	05-05 08:52
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	06-17 03:24
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	06-06 05:23
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	1	$10	13	0	+13	Up	+$3	05-05 08:51
Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by June 30, 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-12 21:52
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 6?	1	$10	13	0	+13	Up	+$3	05-06 13:35
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	05-06 13:33
Uber # of trips above 3.8B in Q1?	1	$1	17	0	+17	No	$-1	05-05 08:59
Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	7	0	+7	No	$-1	05-05 08:55
Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	13	0	+13	No	$-1	05-07 10:01
iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	07-12 14:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 14:06:43	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x88b2b4…
06-17 03:34:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x2e1a27…
06-17 03:32:07	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xdef555…
06-17 03:27:33	next mythos class model released by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x6e843d…
06-17 03:24:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xc427c4…
06-17 03:23:12	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xeefa46…
06-08 22:27:28	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x760af4…
06-06 05:23:21	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xd1cf5e…
06-06 05:19:39	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	Yes	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x6ffc85…
06-06 05:17:33	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xdc48ca…
06-04 22:02:45	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x1293ac…
05-12 21:52:17	Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x3567f5…
05-07 10:01:23	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x8caff3…
05-06 22:19:07	DoorDash total orders above 960M in Q1?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7df4fc…
05-06 13:35:52	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x4cdf16…
05-06 13:33:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xfa51b3…
05-05 09:43:32	DoorDash total orders above 960M in Q1?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x32dd22…
05-05 08:59:46	Uber # of trips above 3.8B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf5e680…
05-05 08:55:50	Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x1d0acd…
05-05 08:52:30	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x8f6a6b…
05-05 08:51:06	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x5a77dd…
05-03 08:13:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	603	100¢	$602	0xb2712f…
04-23 14:41:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	515	97¢	$500	0x4b2667…
04-14 18:05:06	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	114	87¢	$100	0x54aa6e…
04-14 16:52:06	itc int com 2026 04 21 int	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xd4bba9…
04-14 16:50:00	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xbedf9b…
04-14 16:31:08	tsm quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 16 2026 3pt31	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x8f04df…
04-14 16:18:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	87	79¢	$69	0x12cbb4…