Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$69

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

1.5%

Resolved

Trades

239

lifetime

Volume

$5.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-19 10:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

53% — —

Politics

45% 50% $-69

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	120	$2.1K	2,474	2,464	+10	Yes	$-71	04-20 12:38
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	35	$1.9K	1,790	1,790	+0	open	—	01-31 00:41
nothing ever happens january 581	6	$424	322	322	+0	open	—	01-31 00:41
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	5	$259	349	349	+0	open	—	05-14 12:33
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	11	$227	522	679	-157	open	—	05-14 12:33
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	4	$172	261	0	+261	open	—	01-14 22:26
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	8	$120	243	137	+106	open	—	03-16 00:36
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	2	$109	103	103	+0	open	—	06-20 08:06
starmer out by june 26 2026	1	$100	185	0	+185	open	—	06-20 08:07
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 10 468	4	$100	96	89	+7	open	—	03-08 20:40
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	4	$82	59	50	+8	open	—	03-08 20:40
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 12 278	1	$75	107	0	+107	open	—	03-08 16:53
oscars bingo	3	$64	69	28	+41	open	—	03-16 02:20
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	4	$51	48	48	+0	open	—	01-15 08:35
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$51	68	68	+0	open	—	03-15 18:03
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	3	$44	66	66	+0	open	—	03-05 14:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$32	58	58	+0	Yes	+$2	01-24 22:40
will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$31	0	146	-146	open	—	01-30 11:57
starmer out by june 22 2026	1	$30	136	0	+136	open	—	06-20 08:07
starmer out by july 31 2026	2	$27	51	51	+0	open	—	06-20 08:06
will bitcoin reach 80k february 2 8	2	$26	39	39	+0	open	—	02-04 21:11
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	2	$24	44	44	+0	open	—	03-06 14:28
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	2	$23	19	19	+0	open	—	01-14 20:48
will teyana taylor win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	1	$20	71	0	+71	open	—	03-15 21:43
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	2	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	03-08 17:02
will chalamet be said 5 times at the oscars	2	$17	22	22	+0	open	—	03-15 21:50
will stellan skarsgrd win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	3	$15	56	15	+41	open	—	03-16 00:11
will marty supreme win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	2	$11	62	62	+0	open	—	02-05 21:59
nine darter at the pdc world darts championship	1	$7	22	0	+22	open	—	01-02 20:51
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	2	$6	9	9	+0	open	—	01-22 18:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 08:07:35	starmer out by june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x4f434a…
06-20 08:07:26	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	136	22¢	$30	0x7d8c75…
06-20 08:06:35	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	103	38¢	$39	0x9b7456…
06-20 08:06:32	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	51	13¢	$7	0x172d26…
06-19 10:31:25	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	51	40¢	$20	0xfd6073…
06-19 10:30:53	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	103	68¢	$70	0x0a69ba…
05-14 12:33:06	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	109	6¢	$6	0x625743…
05-14 12:33:01	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	235	27¢	$63	0xf92772…
05-14 10:51:31	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	5¢	$5	0x3afe84…
05-14 05:14:14	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x241f2e…
05-13 11:05:32	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	27¢	$40	0xdc8806…
05-12 16:55:27	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	233	10¢	$23	0x572d4e…
05-12 13:07:17	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	15¢	$10	0x2f90fb…
05-12 12:13:26	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xcc4aa4…
05-12 09:06:22	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	138	14¢	$20	0xa9f588…
05-12 08:52:03	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	157	15¢	$23	0xfb5425…
05-11 20:30:43	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	114	75¢	$85	0xa798ae…
05-11 20:29:05	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	180	50¢	$90	0x302726…
05-11 18:46:06	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0xb9f065…
05-11 18:45:24	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	25¢	$30	0x150ef6…
05-11 18:45:18	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xde1cdd…
04-20 12:40:26	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x65c77c…
04-20 12:38:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	148	25¢	$37	0xcda1ff…
03-16 03:11:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	39¢	$24	0xa0d9c7…
03-16 02:20:19	oscars bingo	Yes	SELL	28	85¢	$24	0xf4af86…
03-16 00:56:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xd26d92…
03-16 00:36:03	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x6d079b…
03-16 00:35:47	will ethan hawke win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0x46e629…
03-16 00:11:51	will stellan skarsgrd win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x133310…
03-16 00:11:15	will jacob elordi win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x0c37cc…
03-16 00:09:37	will stellan skarsgrd win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x51ddd7…
03-16 00:09:23	will movie a win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards 551	Yes	BUY	411	0¢	$2	0x3ce767…
03-16 00:08:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	38¢	$24	0xaf337b…
03-15 23:31:43	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x3fd24e…
03-15 21:58:37	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	56	5¢	$3	0xb1b018…
03-15 21:58:27	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x5e17d7…
03-15 21:55:53	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	111	30¢	$33	0x4f32f2…
03-15 21:53:01	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	111	32¢	$35	0x85919c…
03-15 21:52:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	38¢	$27	0x5d9c18…
03-15 21:50:29	will chalamet be said 5 times at the oscars	No	SELL	22	37¢	$8	0x3f8017…
03-15 21:43:47	will teyana taylor win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x918ff4…
03-15 21:40:47	will chalamet be said 5 times at the oscars	No	BUY	22	40¢	$9	0x052759…
03-15 18:03:17	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	68	43¢	$29	0xaf73cf…
03-12 15:00:53	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	68	32¢	$22	0x8dde8d…
03-09 21:48:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	482	40¢	$195	0x4b20db…
03-08 20:56:23	oscars bingo	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x089c22…
03-08 20:55:59	oscars bingo	No	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x8d8011…
03-08 20:40:53	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	Yes	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x066a17…
03-08 20:40:45	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 10 468	Yes	SELL	47	64¢	$30	0x6fa093…
03-08 20:39:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	162	38¢	$62	0x440b77…
03-08 17:02:07	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	No	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x1e3099…
03-08 17:01:55	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 10 468	Yes	SELL	18	48¢	$9	0xe7dffb…
03-08 17:01:31	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	No	BUY	18	64¢	$11	0x49a33b…
03-08 17:01:13	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 10 468	Yes	SELL	24	47¢	$11	0xa5f709…
03-08 16:53:59	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 12 278	Yes	BUY	107	70¢	$75	0x8a607a…
03-08 16:53:49	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 10 468	Yes	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xd45f9e…
03-08 16:51:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	338	37¢	$125	0x3702f0…
03-06 14:28:53	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x464fa5…
03-06 14:28:39	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	Yes	SELL	44	11¢	$5	0x65a609…
03-05 14:39:01	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	Yes	BUY	44	42¢	$19	0xe9ac9e…
03-05 14:38:25	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	SELL	66	28¢	$18	0x3fc51e…
03-02 19:00:35	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	Yes	BUY	17	69¢	$12	0x9d5cd5…
03-02 18:57:05	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	Yes	BUY	34	69¢	$23	0x2d2d62…
03-02 18:56:59	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x101817…
03-02 18:52:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	37¢	$33	0x8f84be…
03-02 18:50:37	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	BUY	40	39¢	$16	0x9d761f…
02-05 21:59:31	will marty supreme win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	62	10¢	$6	0x87e635…
02-04 21:11:07	will bitcoin reach 80k february 2 8	Yes	SELL	39	17¢	$7	0x41f691…
02-03 21:22:42	will bitcoin reach 80k february 2 8	Yes	BUY	39	49¢	$19	0xef5087…
01-31 04:41:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xe7b378…
01-31 04:40:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x68b25c…
01-31 04:40:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x1caf9a…
01-31 04:40:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0xec78b1…
01-31 04:40:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0xefd287…
01-31 04:31:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x222294…
01-31 04:27:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x0cb3da…
01-31 04:24:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0xce1d9a…
01-31 04:24:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xd7140a…
01-31 04:21:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xbf6519…
01-31 04:18:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x4610c4…
01-31 04:15:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0x4709d0…
01-31 04:14:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x28baa6…
01-31 04:12:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x419e9b…
01-31 04:09:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6ee6f7…
01-31 04:08:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x645bf1…
01-31 04:08:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x047f07…
01-31 04:07:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x910f40…
01-31 04:07:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x5c8920…
01-31 04:07:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x54d594…
01-31 04:07:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x0f2c89…
01-31 04:06:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x92a079…
01-31 04:03:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x4d8170…
01-31 04:03:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0a9ac8…
01-31 04:01:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x971d14…
01-31 03:59:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xfc9668…
01-31 03:56:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x70bd30…
01-31 03:53:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x10aead…
01-31 03:51:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x174d59…
01-31 03:51:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0xda94de…
01-31 03:51:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xef8756…