Dismal-Difficulty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 08-02 12:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 100% +$0

Other

39% — —

Politics

8% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	05-24 07:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	05-17 11:02
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 190 214	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	04-09 10:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	1	$96	96	+96	No	+$0	05-12 02:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	1	$96	96	+96	No	+$0	05-08 03:43
bitcoin above 72k on april 4	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	04-03 10:45
will the us next strike iran on february 8 2026 et	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	02-09 07:58
bitcoin above 58k on march 13	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	03-12 07:40
bitcoin above 72k on march 1	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	03-01 09:43
bitcoin above 62k on march 21	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	03-20 10:51
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 115 139	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	03-16 06:58
bitcoin above 86k on february 3	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	02-03 03:29
bitcoin above 90k on january 17	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	01-17 06:21
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 300 319	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	01-12 03:57
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	03-30 08:25
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 400 419	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	03-26 03:27
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	04-27 10:54
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	04-24 03:32
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 240plus	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	04-18 10:54
bitcoin above 66k on april 15	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	04-14 03:37
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 640 659	1	$91	91	+91	open	—	01-21 03:35
will bitcoin dip to 60k in january 2026	1	$91	91	+91	open	—	01-30 02:48
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 600 619	1	$91	91	+91	open	—	01-25 07:02
bitcoin above 86k on january 8	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	01-08 02:52
bitcoin above 62k on june 15 2026	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	06-15 09:49
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 280 299	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	03-06 02:58
will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	1	$14	14	+14	open	—	08-02 12:58
bitcoin above 70k on june 4 2026	1	$3	1,720	+1,720	open	—	06-04 06:08
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	1	$3	1,500	+1,500	open	—	06-08 01:33
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	03-26 03:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 12:58:21	will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x820c8c…
06-15 09:49:36	bitcoin above 62k on june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xddaec7…
06-08 01:33:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x1b051e…
06-04 06:08:55	bitcoin above 70k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1,720	0¢	$3	0xf6fda8…
05-24 07:29:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xe4428b…
05-17 11:02:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xeb4fa6…
05-12 02:31:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xede4c3…
05-08 03:43:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x0acb50…
04-27 10:54:04	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x43dff1…
04-24 03:32:30	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xe9141f…
04-24 03:32:20	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd72df4…
04-18 10:54:24	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 240plus	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xbddb29…
04-18 10:54:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xce399e…
04-18 10:54:04	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6adfb2…
04-14 03:37:55	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc0b3d8…
04-14 03:37:47	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3e516b…
04-14 03:37:39	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 215 239	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6877bf…
04-14 03:37:25	bitcoin above 66k on april 15	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x3cc2d8…
04-09 10:40:07	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 190 214	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xe516f1…
04-03 10:45:37	bitcoin above 72k on april 4	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x378752…
03-30 08:25:02	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x335994…
03-26 03:27:27	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 400 419	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xa93957…
03-26 03:27:17	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x780063…
03-26 03:27:11	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6875b1…
03-20 10:51:09	bitcoin above 62k on march 21	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x31722f…
03-16 06:58:09	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 115 139	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x1f245a…
03-12 07:40:43	bitcoin above 58k on march 13	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x8fba2c…
03-06 02:58:11	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 280 299	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xa6e56c…
03-01 09:43:27	bitcoin above 72k on march 1	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x6d02e7…
02-09 07:58:11	will the us next strike iran on february 8 2026 et	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x963184…
02-03 03:29:34	bitcoin above 86k on february 3	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x60641e…
01-30 02:48:26	will bitcoin dip to 60k in january 2026	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xcd0c72…
01-25 07:02:50	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 600 619	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xe1b0e5…
01-25 07:02:30	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3b45f3…
01-21 03:35:00	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 640 659	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x5e5978…
01-21 03:34:36	will trump meet with kim jong un in january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd63c9e…
01-21 03:34:24	highest temperature in london on january 21 13corhigher	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8be03d…
01-17 06:21:30	bitcoin above 90k on january 17	Yes	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xe2dec1…
01-12 03:57:26	elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 300 319	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x18053e…
01-08 02:53:15	highest temperature in london on january 8 4c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf6b7f6…
01-08 02:53:03	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe3d6ae…
01-08 02:52:55	bitcoin above 86k on january 8	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x83a5d1…
01-08 02:52:13	will the next dutch government be glpvda d66	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x414ef7…