Thorny-Harmony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$73

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 06-18 16:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

82% — —

Other

13% 0% $-2

Sports

3% 100% +$5

Politics

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	3	$3.5K	1,888	1,888	+0	open	—	03-26 05:05
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$982	500	500	+0	open	—	03-26 04:51
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	2	$170	180	0	+180	open	—	03-26 07:33
will mrbeasts latest video get 1820 million views on day 1 938 134	7	$164	130	130	+0	open	—	02-22 07:23
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	4	$120	155	0	+155	open	—	03-26 07:36
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	1	$113	120	0	+120	open	—	05-15 03:30
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$85	100	0	+100	open	—	06-18 16:08
lol blg fox1 2026 03 16	3	$77	132	50	+82	open	—	03-16 14:35
will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	2	$67	34	34	+0	open	—	02-10 09:14
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 300 319	2	$67	34	34	+0	open	—	02-11 04:35
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$56	29	29	+0	open	—	02-20 03:42
epl mun tot 2026 02 07 mun	2	$51	27	27	+0	open	—	02-07 14:11
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	02-06 07:28
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	2	$50	26	26	+0	open	—	02-06 07:28
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$50	26	26	+0	open	—	02-07 13:09
will there be 1820 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	3	$48	30	30	+0	open	—	02-22 08:45
lol wb al 2026 03 05	1	$46	57	0	+57	open	—	03-05 06:18
nba nop lal 2026 03 03	1	$32	41	0	+41	open	—	03-03 16:19
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	1	$26	38	0	+38	open	—	02-08 14:35
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$23	25	0	+25	open	—	02-24 06:20
will portugal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134507	1	$20	41	0	+41	open	—	06-05 07:07
Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	03-07 06:52
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 287	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	03-25 06:23
ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 draw	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	03-01 14:11
will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	03-13 03:40
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 200 219	1	$12	100	0	+100	open	—	03-17 03:13
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	05-30 08:32
lol jdg wb 2026 03 07 total games 4pt5	1	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	03-07 06:56
uel fen1 not 2026 02 19 fen1	1	$9	20	0	+20	open	—	02-19 14:25
wta sherif kawa 2026 03 02	1	$8	11	0	+11	open	—	03-03 07:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 16:08:58	Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xf8f737…
06-05 07:07:57	will portugal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134507	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x480bee…
05-30 08:32:59	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xff1c33…
05-15 03:30:46	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	120	94¢	$113	0x1c3c0f…
05-06 04:11:14	LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xcb3c30…
05-05 06:00:00	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	DN SOOPers	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x341a9d…
05-04 07:35:32	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x02f51a…
04-28 04:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	140	1¢	$1	0xfa5ca2…
04-27 04:11:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xae0372…
04-05 10:24:57	Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	57	4¢	$2	0x3092c8…
04-05 10:24:37	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	44	11¢	$5	0x47359a…
04-04 05:53:57	highest temperature in hong kong on april 4 2026 27c	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x55ce89…
04-04 05:53:29	highest temperature in london on april 5 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xecb555…
04-04 05:52:49	highest temperature in shanghai on april 4 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x55daf5…
04-03 04:24:05	highest temperature in chongqing on april 3 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x07a7f3…
04-03 04:22:51	highest temperature in shanghai on april 3 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x8d09c3…
03-26 07:36:11	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	No	BUY	35	76¢	$26	0x4d14b8…
03-26 07:36:07	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x42394f…
03-26 07:35:21	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x2c022f…
03-26 07:33:47	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	80	95¢	$76	0x4871af…
03-26 07:33:27	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x6aa85e…
03-26 05:05:49	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	SELL	1,441	95¢	$1,369	0xf6f9f7…
03-26 05:04:01	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	SELL	447	95¢	$425	0x559f0a…
03-26 04:51:35	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	SELL	500	98¢	$492	0xf76212…
03-25 06:33:13	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x0afe48…
03-25 06:32:47	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	1,888	92¢	$1,737	0x1466b8…
03-25 06:25:43	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	No	BUY	50	83¢	$41	0x9247a6…
03-25 06:23:37	will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 287	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xc183f7…
03-24 11:03:51	will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 287	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x8e19cd…
03-20 07:09:41	lol ly jdg 2026 03 20 total games 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x061151…
03-18 13:29:55	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 65 89	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x419b30…
03-18 13:20:51	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 90 114	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xc664cd…
03-17 03:13:51	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 200 219	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xeb0172…
03-17 03:01:55	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 180 199	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xfe4334…
03-16 14:35:17	lol blg fox1 2026 03 16	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	82	66¢	$54	0xe09850…
03-16 14:17:35	lol blg fox1 2026 03 16	BNK FEARX	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0xf3d7e1…
03-13 03:40:09	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xf6aa09…
03-12 09:25:27	lol blg fox1 2026 03 16	BNK FEARX	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x970cef…
03-11 06:30:27	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1360 1399	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x7a8eb5…
03-07 06:56:21	lol jdg wb 2026 03 07 total games 4pt5	Over	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x61403c…
03-07 06:52:01	Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x48fe73…
03-05 06:18:21	lol wb al 2026 03 05	Anyone's Legend	BUY	57	81¢	$46	0x1eab94…
03-03 16:19:11	nba nop lal 2026 03 03	Lakers	BUY	41	77¢	$32	0x433094…
03-03 07:37:37	wta lachino chwalin 2026 03 02	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa1a744…
03-03 07:37:17	wta sherif kawa 2026 03 02	Mayar Sherif	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0x685a15…
03-02 09:07:37	Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6e5c56…
03-01 14:22:57	will bitcoin reach 70k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x266cd6…
03-01 14:12:29	lol wb tes 2026 03 02 total games 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x76a1c9…
03-01 14:11:27	ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 draw	No	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0xa922aa…
02-28 13:33:21	ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 draw	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x0be063…
02-26 05:18:26	bun aug koe 2026 02 27 btts	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x76004e…
02-24 06:20:18	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	25	94¢	$23	0xf85a6b…
02-22 08:45:14	will there be 1820 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	No	SELL	30	81¢	$24	0xc7e10f…
02-22 08:37:04	will there be 1820 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x3fd43c…
02-22 08:36:24	will there be 1820 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x844050…
02-22 07:23:02	will mrbeasts latest video get 1820 million views on day 1 938 134	No	SELL	67	61¢	$41	0xe8b695…
02-22 07:22:06	will mrbeasts latest video get 1820 million views on day 1 938 134	No	BUY	67	62¢	$41	0x5910f2…
02-22 07:16:18	will mrbeasts latest video get 1820 million views on day 1 938 134	No	SELL	25	64¢	$16	0x4491cb…
02-22 07:07:28	will mrbeasts latest video get 1820 million views on day 1 938 134	No	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x7a98b1…
02-22 07:07:28	will mrbeasts latest video get 1820 million views on day 1 938 134	No	SELL	10	67¢	$6	0x24ad31…
02-22 07:07:18	will mrbeasts latest video get 1820 million views on day 1 938 134	No	SELL	26	67¢	$17	0x67fb7c…
02-22 07:06:30	will mrbeasts latest video get 1820 million views on day 1 938 134	No	BUY	63	65¢	$41	0x5c1a89…
02-20 03:42:20	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0x0b15f2…
02-20 03:42:12	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x0c1359…
02-19 14:27:10	nba hou cha 2026 02 19	Hornets	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x44b117…
02-19 14:25:42	uel fen1 not 2026 02 19 fen1	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xdd97f1…
02-13 14:31:39	bun dor mai 2026 02 13 dor	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x286d59…
02-12 05:36:01	lol fox1 dnf 2026 02 12 total games 3pt5	Over	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x61889c…
02-11 04:35:01	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 300 319	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x95e54d…
02-11 04:34:51	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 300 319	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x667668…
02-10 09:14:43	will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	Yes	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x6a81a5…
02-10 09:14:35	will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	Yes	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xb1460d…
02-09 09:16:05	val blg edg1 2026 02 09	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb4bab7…
02-09 09:15:59	val blg edg1 2026 02 09	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa48f34…
02-08 14:35:49	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Seahawks	BUY	38	69¢	$26	0x6b5d0a…
02-07 14:11:43	epl mun tot 2026 02 07 mun	Yes	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0x8d4414…
02-07 13:12:55	epl mun tot 2026 02 07 mun	Yes	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x0df868…
02-07 13:09:47	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x9a4bd0…
02-07 13:09:37	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xc16685…
02-06 07:28:55	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0x37090b…
02-06 07:28:43	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x4e22c6…
02-06 07:28:13	will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xc96cbf…
02-06 07:28:03	will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xe00703…