Shocked-Method — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.3%

Resolved

181

Trades

4,601

lifetime

Volume

$16.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-23 22:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 77% $-9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 1232 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	81	$170	225	+225	open	—	05-03 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	36	$167	215	+215	open	—	05-03 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	39	$145	200	+200	open	—	05-04 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	31	$141	191	+191	open	—	05-03 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	38	$140	194	+194	open	—	05-03 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	49	$136	201	+201	open	—	05-04 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	34	$135	192	+192	open	—	05-03 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	23	$128	156	+156	open	—	05-04 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	33	$126	189	+189	open	—	05-04 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	37	$124	207	+207	open	—	05-04 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	32	$124	189	+189	open	—	05-04 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	32	$123	180	+180	open	—	05-04 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	30	$122	165	+165	open	—	05-04 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	24	$121	148	+148	open	—	05-03 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	31	$120	192	+192	open	—	05-04 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	18	$114	135	+135	open	—	05-03 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	34	$114	158	+158	open	—	05-03 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	36	$114	166	+166	open	—	05-03 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	23	$114	146	+146	open	—	05-03 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	24	$114	142	+142	open	—	05-03 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	34	$113	190	+190	open	—	05-04 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	35	$111	176	+176	open	—	05-03 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	20	$110	139	+139	open	—	05-04 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	26	$108	137	+137	open	—	05-04 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	32	$106	182	+182	open	—	05-03 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	27	$105	147	+147	open	—	05-03 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	35	$105	165	+165	open	—	05-04 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	30	$104	149	+149	open	—	05-03 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	28	$104	153	+153	open	—	05-04 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	33	$103	151	+151	open	—	05-03 17:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 22:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xc733d0…
05-23 22:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x64772a…
05-23 22:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x89280a…
05-23 21:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd4e599…
05-23 21:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x0846dc…
05-23 21:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xb1b9a4…
05-23 21:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x19c247…
05-23 21:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x056515…
05-23 21:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc3c854…
05-23 21:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xaa1df5…
05-23 21:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x985be7…
05-23 21:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd5ff7f…
05-23 21:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x635ff3…
05-23 21:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x02357d…
05-23 21:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x598816…
05-23 21:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x804930…
05-23 21:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x4c1b5e…
05-23 21:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xdc9f3c…
05-23 21:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xa9cd8e…
05-23 21:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x9d2bdc…
05-23 21:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xd0c618…
05-23 21:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0xa01454…
05-23 21:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc63933…
05-23 21:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb3b4de…
05-23 21:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x08e807…
05-23 20:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x92632e…
05-23 19:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf6e3d4…
05-23 19:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe57b51…
05-23 19:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x95c8bb…
05-23 19:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xe01483…
05-23 19:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xda3c1a…
05-23 19:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xe6f9ef…
05-23 19:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x417324…
05-23 19:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x74e58c…
05-23 19:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7b6002…
05-23 19:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4ceeb0…
05-23 19:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x70f808…
05-23 19:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x25d08a…
05-23 19:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x039cb5…
05-23 18:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc0a397…
05-23 18:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x0c0958…
05-23 18:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0x8abd98…
05-23 18:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x178302…
05-23 18:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x0d528c…
05-23 18:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x1f65a4…
05-23 18:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0x15edbd…
05-23 18:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x4a736b…
05-23 18:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$2	0x6e7c9c…
05-23 18:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$2	0x2d9469…
05-23 18:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x756019…
05-23 17:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0xf77f84…
05-23 17:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xbce976…
05-23 17:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xbb81ce…
05-23 16:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa0cb65…
05-23 16:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xac49c0…
05-23 16:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xe61d43…
05-23 16:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb54185…
05-23 16:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb30538…
05-23 16:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x1d9706…
05-23 16:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x6fbe73…
05-23 16:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xf975ad…
05-23 16:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x5ab88d…
05-23 16:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x51e76a…
05-23 16:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfe2f68…
05-23 16:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xd7498a…
05-23 16:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x4b4254…
05-23 16:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x952bf5…
05-23 16:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xaf948d…
05-23 16:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x9b503f…
05-23 16:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3ed47d…
05-23 16:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa529c2…
05-23 16:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xe08a4d…
05-23 16:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa012c0…
05-23 16:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x0bb1eb…
05-23 16:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xa5b93b…
05-23 16:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x79c244…
05-23 16:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xd1e4bb…
05-23 16:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x418b31…
05-23 16:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb63388…
05-23 16:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x90a102…
05-23 16:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x3ada32…
05-23 16:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x363ac8…
05-23 16:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xdb026e…
05-23 16:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x8f364e…
05-23 16:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x630bea…
05-23 15:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x88d02e…
05-23 15:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x36a1d2…
05-23 15:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3e998c…
05-23 15:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xe0126f…
05-23 15:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xe242f6…
05-23 15:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xde4a8d…
05-23 15:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x526fda…
05-23 15:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x71144c…
05-23 15:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xcbd301…
05-23 15:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xb200f5…
05-23 15:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x6564c1…
05-23 15:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x8da0ac…
05-23 15:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x73f45c…
05-23 15:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x635ae1…
05-23 15:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xf86e42…