Shocked-Method — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.6%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

25 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$68

$68 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-09 03:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$6	11	+11	Up	+$0	05-08 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$6	11	+11	Up	$-1	05-08 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$6	11	+11	Up	+$0	05-08 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$6	11	+11	Up	+$0	05-08 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$6	12	+12	Down	+$1	05-08 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$6	11	+11	Down	$-1	05-08 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$6	11	+11	Up	$-1	05-08 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$6	11	+11	Up	+$0	05-08 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$6	11	+11	Up	+$0	05-09 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$6	11	+11	Up	$-1	05-08 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$6	11	+11	Up	+$0	05-08 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Up	$-2	05-09 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Up	$-2	05-09 03:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	$-2	05-09 03:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 03:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x4b5821…
05-09 03:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xc961ae…
05-09 03:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x545355…
05-09 03:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x0d75dc…
05-09 02:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x36a284…
05-08 08:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x35d6cf…
05-08 08:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x613f7b…
05-08 08:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xe31ff3…
05-08 08:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x784a98…
05-08 08:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xd674bc…
05-08 08:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x1425a5…
05-08 08:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x073a7e…
05-08 08:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe5c581…
05-08 08:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x1fb516…
05-08 08:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xa943ac…
05-08 08:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xf1a94e…
05-08 08:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1c08e5…
05-08 08:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xbf6f05…
05-08 08:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa1e9f0…
05-08 07:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x5412c2…
05-08 07:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xadd025…
05-08 07:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xd5aa43…
05-08 07:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5692f9…
05-08 07:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x52f601…
05-08 07:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x23a0b3…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	14	$8.51K	275	05-09 03:55
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	14	$2.53K	268	05-09 03:54
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	13	$604	34	05-09 03:54
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	12	$5.60K	205	05-09 03:30
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	10	$6.08K	156	05-09 03:54
Suspicious-Comedy 0x6e58…b5b1	10	$2.72K	124	05-08 08:54
Far-Gavel 0x684e…55d2	10	$2.30K	98	05-08 08:54
Cumbersome-Altitude-Mystery 0x2c69…6ad0	10	$1.83K	118	05-08 08:54