Truthful-Incentive — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$29

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.65K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$165

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-28 06:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

65% 100% +$29

Politics

35% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-57	$-5	5¢	$-3	+$2	05-28 04:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	3	$926	476	476	+0	open	—	05-05 06:35
Spread: IR Tanger (-1.5)	1	$477	497	0	+497	FathUnionSport	+$20	05-06 12:34
Spread: FC Anyang (-2.5)	1	$468	477	0	+477	FC Seoul	+$9	05-05 08:07
Spread: HUS Agadir (-2.5)	1	$450	468	0	+468	open	—	05-04 08:33
Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?	5	$205	1,634	1,596	+38	open	—	05-26 12:03
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by June 30, 2026?	3	$117	0	1,467	-1,467	open	—	05-28 06:29
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	2	$5	0	57	-57	open	—	05-28 04:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 06:29:23	Will Russia capture Havrylivka by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	596	8¢	$48	0xcb6291…
05-28 06:28:53	Will Russia capture Havrylivka by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	712	8¢	$57	0xed3baa…
05-28 06:28:14	Will Russia capture Havrylivka by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	159	8¢	$13	0x83ee7b…
05-28 04:50:55	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	8¢	$3	0x766d12…
05-28 04:50:49	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xc28d02…
05-26 12:03:31	Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?	Yes	SELL	79	7¢	$6	0xec53cb…
05-26 12:03:09	Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?	Yes	SELL	767	7¢	$55	0x4f2e2c…
05-26 12:02:42	Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?	Yes	SELL	750	7¢	$54	0x5fb5d3…
05-26 10:00:12	Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?	Yes	BUY	788	6¢	$43	0x824f5a…
05-26 09:59:51	Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?	Yes	BUY	846	6¢	$47	0xf92c83…
05-06 12:34:32	Spread: IR Tanger (-1.5)	FathUnionSport	BUY	497	96¢	$477	0xb0a71e…
05-05 08:07:26	Spread: FC Anyang (-2.5)	FC Seoul	BUY	477	98¢	$468	0xa404f5…
05-05 06:35:12	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	54	97¢	$53	0x7e1dd6…
05-05 06:34:32	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	422	97¢	$411	0xe784bf…
05-05 05:41:02	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	476	97¢	$463	0x2ce8a7…
05-04 08:33:18	Spread: HUS Agadir (-2.5)	OC Safi	BUY	468	96¢	$450	0x9682d4…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x3e14…c875	7	$5.61K	11	05-28 06:38
(anonymous) 0x73cf…1dfc	7	$5.10K	10	05-28 06:36
(anonymous) 0x7c4e…98f7	7	$2.85K	18	05-28 06:32
Simple-Pancreas 0x1aea…dcc8	6	$5.59K	15	05-28 06:28
Total-Dynamics 0x70d7…47f1	6	$5.07K	11	05-28 06:35
Glaring-Importance 0xa359…c471	6	$4.33K	9	05-28 06:30
Robust-Music 0x3c0d…8475	6	$2.64K	17	05-28 06:14
Knowing-Shopper 0x3eaa…a6cb	6	$2.58K	13	05-28 06:27