Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$360

Unrealized P&L

-$31

Hit rate

51.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

$1.04K

5 positions

First seen

2026-10-22

last 10-26 19:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

43% 0% -$80

Other

37% 53% -$182

Sports

14% 52% -$17

Crypto

7% 30% -$81

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	+983	$721	73¢	$717	-$4	10-26 17:32
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	+238	$208	75¢	$178	-$30	10-24 13:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+114	$105	93¢	$106	+$1	10-26 19:37
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	+31	$23	84¢	$26	+$3	10-24 08:27
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+24	$18	72¢	$17	$0	10-23 11:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	6	$1.3K	797	797	+0	open	—	10-26 17:32
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$721	983	0	+983	open	—	10-26 17:32
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$208	238	0	+238	open	—	10-24 13:52
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	5	$204	577	577	+0	open	—	10-23 19:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$105	114	0	+114	open	—	10-26 19:37
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	1	$98	107	0	+107	open	—	10-26 05:18
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	2	$96	202	202	+0	open	—	10-23 19:56
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	3	$80	112	0	+112	No	-$80	10-24 08:22
Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 4.5	3	$77	114	0	+114	Yes	+$37	10-22 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	4	$57	108	0	+108	Up	-$57	10-22 14:37
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: FC Barcelona 2nd Half O/U 0.5	1	$50	62	0	+62	Over	+$12	10-25 12:03
AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: AFC Bournemouth O/U 0.5	1	$49	58	0	+58	Over	+$9	10-22 18:42
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	1	$49	61	0	+61	Yes	-$49	10-22 14:33
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner	1	$48	97	0	+97	Sinners	-$48	10-22 16:35
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner	1	$48	88	0	+88	Eternal Fire	-$48	10-22 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$48	94	0	+94	Down	+$46	10-22 14:44
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	1	$45	54	0	+54	Vitality	+$9	10-24 07:55
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)	1	$45	62	0	+62	Natus Vincere	+$17	10-24 18:23
Bengals vs. Ravens: O/U 24.5	1	$45	45	0	+45	Over	+$0	10-23 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	3	$44	89	0	+89	Down	+$45	10-22 14:29
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TheMongolz - Map 3 Winner	1	$38	68	0	+68	TheMongolz	-$38	10-22 17:02
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester City FC O/U 3.5 Corners	1	$30	37	0	+37	Over	+$8	10-24 08:55
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	1	$29	49	0	+49	Milwaukee Brewers	+$19	10-22 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$29	71	0	+71	Up	-$29	10-22 14:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$29	80	0	+80	Up	-$29	10-22 14:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$24	44	0	+44	Up	-$24	10-22 14:40
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	1	$23	31	0	+31	open	—	10-24 08:27
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	1	$23	45	0	+45	No	-$23	10-24 08:31
LSU Team Total: O/U 20.5	1	$23	28	0	+28	Over	+$5	10-23 16:21
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	1	$22	36	0	+36	No	-$22	10-25 13:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 19:37:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	64	92¢	$59	0xd77342…
10-26 17:32:59	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	959	73¢	$703	0xe43a44…
10-26 17:32:47	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	797	98¢	$781	0x96f19a…
10-26 05:18:17	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	BUY	107	91¢	$98	0x2663ec…
10-25 13:36:26	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	36	62¢	$22	0x3c481e…
10-25 13:34:59	Spread: Saints (-3.5)	Saints	BUY	71	25¢	$18	0x73aa0d…
10-25 12:03:54	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: FC Barcelona 2nd Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x874479…
10-24 19:29:47	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	67	31¢	$21	0x54d5a9…
10-24 18:23:23	Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	BUY	62	72¢	$45	0x8c6675…
10-24 16:13:54	Will Coventry City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x652da2…
10-24 16:13:44	Will Coventry City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x79edb7…
10-24 13:52:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	89	81¢	$72	0x53f5ed…
10-24 08:57:36	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester City FC O/U 4.5 Corners	Over	BUY	22	81¢	$17	0xcc55bc…
10-24 08:56:59	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	22	83¢	$18	0x840e2f…
10-24 08:55:33	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester City FC O/U 3.5 Corners	Over	BUY	37	79¢	$30	0x915baa…
10-24 08:47:02	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	55	33¢	$18	0x5c5095…
10-24 08:31:41	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	45	50¢	$23	0x15b202…
10-24 08:27:00	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	31	75¢	$23	0x3276b2…
10-24 08:22:59	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	62	73¢	$45	0x79a8fa…
10-24 08:10:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	149	91¢	$136	0x831ade…
10-24 07:55:53	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	54	84¢	$45	0x74b397…
10-23 19:56:11	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	202	17¢	$34	0xb3489f…
10-23 19:55:45	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	577	14¢	$82	0x55e1ea…
10-23 18:08:15	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	19¢	$18	0xf3ffce…
10-23 17:50:39	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	21¢	$11	0x997dce…
10-23 17:46:12	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	366	21¢	$77	0xe93b84…
10-23 17:45:44	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	89	61¢	$54	0x6c2315…
10-23 17:44:53	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	362	60¢	$217	0x62e768…
10-23 16:42:06	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0xe1be17…
10-23 16:32:24	NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	202	31¢	$63	0x7fc0c7…
10-23 16:26:50	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	137	66¢	$91	0xd013c8…
10-23 16:21:42	LSU Team Total: O/U 20.5	Over	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0x63aac2…
10-23 15:55:08	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	122	74¢	$90	0x56cd85…
10-23 15:16:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	49	92¢	$45	0x221f47…
10-23 14:49:54	Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0x7791ef…
10-23 14:24:30	Donovan Clingan: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5	Yes	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0xd5b355…
10-23 14:20:57	Damian Lillard: Assists O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	23	39¢	$9	0x7a177c…
10-23 13:56:59	Will MOUZ Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	14¢	$9	0x9b1de6…
10-23 13:46:23	Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5	Yes	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0x78bfb0…
10-23 13:36:47	Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x680433…
10-23 13:24:30	Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 9.5	Yes	BUY	23	20¢	$5	0x511443…
10-23 13:21:53	Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 9.5	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xba6395…
10-23 13:18:03	Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 2.5	Yes	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x806209…
10-23 12:40:53	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	23	76¢	$18	0xb55633…
10-23 12:24:33	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0x2e1cc9…
10-23 11:31:11	Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0xf99cc8…
10-23 11:20:26	Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	BUY	19	24¢	$5	0x2a4280…
10-23 11:12:39	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0x6e6088…
10-23 11:00:09	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	74¢	$18	0xd791e6…
10-23 10:12:30	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	87	82¢	$72	0x108b07…
10-23 10:09:00	Bengals vs. Ravens: O/U 24.5	Over	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x721569…
10-23 10:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	36	50¢	$18	0xfbf71b…
10-23 09:47:05	Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5	Yes	BUY	22	81¢	$18	0x85d26f…
10-23 09:44:59	Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	BUY	29	61¢	$18	0x801cf4…
10-23 09:43:08	Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	26	71¢	$18	0x69b938…
10-23 09:41:30	Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5	Over	BUY	25	73¢	$18	0x4fa12c…
10-23 09:40:29	Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	19	91¢	$18	0xc90aa4…
10-23 09:39:05	Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 9.5	Yes	BUY	22	83¢	$18	0x570eb0…
10-23 09:37:35	Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5	Yes	BUY	22	83¢	$18	0x628b26…
10-23 09:35:57	Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0xaca482…
10-23 09:34:05	Raptors vs. Wizards: Race to 20 Points	Raptors	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x8189d3…
10-23 09:30:24	nba tor was 2026 10 23 race to 30	Raptors	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x22d3ca…
10-22 19:09:32	Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 4.5	Yes	BUY	41	68¢	$28	0x87ff25…
10-22 19:01:05	1Q Spread: Bears (-2.5)	Patriots	BUY	34	57¢	$19	0xf09519…
10-22 18:49:57	Spread: Bears (-1.5)	Patriots	BUY	44	44¢	$20	0x49bcf7…
10-22 18:42:57	AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: AFC Bournemouth O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	58	85¢	$49	0x1cb785…
10-22 18:22:53	Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 4.5	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x5300e0…
10-22 18:22:48	Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 4.5	Yes	BUY	44	67¢	$30	0xa83f70…
10-22 18:07:47	VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 10.5	Yes	BUY	35	56¢	$20	0xc6f67c…
10-22 18:05:06	LeBron James: Points O/U 15.5	Yes	BUY	38	51¢	$20	0x790280…
10-22 18:00:44	Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5	Yes	BUY	41	48¢	$20	0x6f1ba1…
10-22 17:58:18	Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x809b01…
10-22 17:51:21	Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x592cbd…
10-22 17:47:12	Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xb8e223…
10-22 17:02:14	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TheMongolz - Map 3 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	68	55¢	$38	0xf2e429…
10-22 16:35:57	Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner	Eternal Fire	BUY	97	50¢	$48	0x723222…
10-22 16:28:17	Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner	Sinners	BUY	88	55¢	$48	0x39f539…
10-22 15:08:15	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	49	60¢	$29	0xaabb2b…
10-22 14:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	47	51¢	$24	0x8262f7…
10-22 14:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	47	51¢	$24	0x2a6c2c…
10-22 14:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	44	55¢	$24	0xd8c816…
10-22 14:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x410265…
10-22 14:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	66¢	$14	0x75c0e4…
10-22 14:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0x7a9dcf…
10-22 14:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	58¢	$15	0x15868a…
10-22 14:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	29	26¢	$7	0x039d69…
10-22 14:33:39	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	61	81¢	$49	0x98f34e…
10-22 14:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0x85c9fd…
10-22 14:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x55918e…
10-22 14:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	37	39¢	$14	0x57d648…
10-22 14:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	37	39¢	$14	0x77341b…
10-22 14:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	38	38¢	$14	0x3d3bf1…
10-22 14:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	33	43¢	$14	0xe1b186…
10-22 14:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x7b768c…
10-22 14:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	49	29¢	$14	0x8d6a60…
10-22 14:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	46¢	$14	0x2592d2…
10-22 13:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0xdbdcc4…