Wary-Quote — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.5%

Resolved

Trades

118

lifetime

Volume

$441

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-14 12:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	4	$23	30	0	+30	open	—	05-14 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$22	30	0	+30	open	—	05-14 11:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	4	$19	30	30	+0	open	—	05-14 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$19	30	0	+30	open	—	05-14 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	3	$16	25	0	+25	Up	+$3	05-13 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$16	22	22	+0	open	—	05-14 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	4	$16	27	0	+27	Down	$-2	05-13 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	3	$13	20	0	+20	Down	$-7	05-13 13:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	4	$12	13	6	+7	Up	+$4	05-13 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	3	$11	15	0	+15	Down	$-6	05-12 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	2	$9	16	0	+16	Down	$-1	05-13 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$9	13	0	+13	Down	$-3	05-13 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$9	9	8	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$8	14	0	+14	Up	$-2	05-13 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	Down	$-3	05-12 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$7	10	0	+10	Down	$-2	05-13 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	3	$7	7	7	+0	Up	$-0	05-13 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$7	11	11	+0	open	—	05-14 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$7	10	0	+10	Down	$-2	05-13 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$7	10	0	+10	Up	$-2	05-13 01:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$7	10	0	+10	Down	$-2	05-13 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$7	10	0	+10	Down	$-2	05-13 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$6	10	0	+10	Down	$-1	05-13 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$6	10	0	+10	Down	$-1	05-13 02:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-13 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-13 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$2	05-13 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-12 21:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-13 04:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 12:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x7c78b5…
05-14 12:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x89598f…
05-14 12:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0x96c972…
05-14 12:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x3a4558…
05-14 11:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	22	27¢	$6	0xb6f223…
05-14 11:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xc3ecf5…
05-14 11:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xc3e9f8…
05-14 11:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x29b826…
05-14 11:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0xe59033…
05-14 11:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x989bbc…
05-14 11:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	23	58¢	$14	0x65f858…
05-14 11:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x442cdf…
05-14 11:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x7ef4b4…
05-14 10:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x9f0f66…
05-14 10:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x9e13be…
05-14 10:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x595abf…
05-14 10:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x56f967…
05-13 15:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$6	0x60ad16…
05-13 15:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0x8081af…
05-13 15:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x6caaec…
05-13 14:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	51¢	$3	0xe1d9b3…
05-13 14:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xea27f7…
05-13 14:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xdc840f…
05-13 14:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x13931b…
05-13 14:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0xe5e6c9…
05-13 14:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x13462f…
05-13 14:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xec6ba3…
05-13 14:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x9454fb…
05-13 14:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0xb98694…
05-13 14:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x19f1da…
05-13 13:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x7c9245…
05-13 13:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xe68174…
05-13 13:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x6649a6…
05-13 13:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	55¢	$5	0xe7a4f2…
05-13 13:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x85a4a1…
05-13 13:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x3c55ab…
05-13 12:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	59¢	$4	0x9000ba…
05-13 12:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xacc7af…
05-13 12:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x4af405…
05-13 12:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xd170cf…
05-13 12:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x5e4022…
05-13 12:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xc75b50…
05-13 12:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x428623…
05-13 11:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xa54a04…
05-13 11:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0x8e40c1…
05-13 11:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x4856cb…
05-13 04:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x0a6956…
05-13 04:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x33b64f…
05-13 04:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x965bf9…
05-13 04:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x913fe6…
05-13 04:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x4be74b…
05-13 04:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x5f5246…
05-13 04:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x56e779…
05-13 04:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x07ecba…
05-13 04:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfb5e39…
05-13 04:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x691737…
05-13 04:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x3b62c1…
05-13 04:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x9dc902…
05-13 03:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x0ffbd2…
05-13 03:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2c7235…
05-13 03:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xf24bb7…
05-13 03:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe94aed…
05-13 03:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x55de02…
05-13 03:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xdce1e1…
05-13 03:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xca6f3d…
05-13 03:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x756391…
05-13 03:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x9c46e3…
05-13 03:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x36a806…
05-13 03:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xda6b77…
05-13 02:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x4bb6ad…
05-13 02:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x993aa3…
05-13 02:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x9b41b0…
05-13 02:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x94cf2b…
05-13 02:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x1cf2e5…
05-13 02:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3e30d9…
05-13 02:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x8b633b…
05-13 02:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa33d6e…
05-13 01:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xea26b8…
05-13 01:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x212250…
05-13 01:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x3af913…
05-13 00:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x0bef09…
05-13 00:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0xabe780…
05-13 00:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x98e24b…
05-13 00:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x2c68aa…
05-13 00:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x05da0e…
05-13 00:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x3a6b94…
05-13 00:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xff60b5…
05-13 00:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x03e76e…
05-13 00:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x880956…
05-13 00:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x375f41…
05-13 00:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x66f381…
05-13 00:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xdc755f…
05-13 00:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x0189cd…
05-12 23:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x089828…
05-12 23:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x97b88d…
05-12 23:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xcce3f6…
05-12 23:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x100bf0…
05-12 23:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x284eb5…
05-12 23:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x4aa4a9…
05-12 22:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x3c52ee…