Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$947

Unrealized P&L

-$160

Hit rate

12.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$198

Open exposure

$190

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 09-05 19:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

77% 10% -$819

Crypto

17% 38% -$72

Tech

5% 0% -$100

Politics

2% 50% +$44

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	+256	$200	71¢	$183	-$17	09-05 19:57
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	+134	$100	4¢	$5	-$95	06-04 10:45
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+362	$50	0¢	$1	-$49	06-04 10:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cbb ala mich 2026 03 27	2	$2.3K	6,000	6,000	+0	Michigan Wolverines	+$0	03-27 22:26
cbb pur arz 2026 03 28	7	$2.0K	3,400	3,400	+0	Arizona Wildcats	$0	03-29 00:46
cbb uconn duke 2026 03 29	2	$1.1K	2,000	2,000	+0	Connecticut Huskies	-$260	03-29 23:03
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$513	2,285	296	+1,988	No	-$187	03-14 01:24
cbb tx pur 2026 03 26	2	$500	1,000	1,000	+0	Purdue Boilermakers	+$0	03-26 15:23
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	3	$388	222	222	+0	No	+$50	03-01 11:02
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$322	3,209	169	+3,040	No	-$118	06-02 08:07
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	2	$221	133	133	+0	open	—	06-30 17:56
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	1	$210	269	0	+269	Yes	+$59	05-29 13:33
Will Solana dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?	1	$200	247	0	+247	Yes	+$47	01-29 17:28
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$200	256	0	+256	open	—	09-05 19:57
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	2	$144	208	208	+0	Yes	-$56	04-23 23:37
will company b be accused of insider trading	2	$128	78	78	+0	No	+$28	02-26 15:07
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	1	$100	159	0	+159	Yes	-$100	01-03 19:47
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$100	625	0	+625	No	-$100	03-15 20:20
will pumpfun be accused of insider trading	1	$100	571	0	+571	No	-$100	02-23 23:04
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	1	$100	179	0	+179	No	-$100	01-15 10:12
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$100	3,410	0	+3,410	No	-$100	03-15 20:20
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	1	$100	134	0	+134	open	—	06-04 10:45
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$100	244	0	+244	Yes	+$144	01-12 09:23
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	1	$100	139	0	+139	No	-$100	04-09 20:42
will binance be accused of insider trading	1	$50	721	0	+721	No	-$50	02-23 23:06
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	1	$50	362	0	+362	open	—	06-04 10:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 16:35 UTC	2	$2	112	0	+112	Up	-$2	02-12 16:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 16:40 UTC	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	-$1	02-12 16:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-05 19:57:04	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0x5adfaf…
06-30 17:56:59	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	133	91¢	$121	0xa57c6d…
06-04 10:49:07	Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	362	14¢	$50	0xd86eb2…
06-04 10:45:40	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x3d36d3…
06-04 10:45:21	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0x462507…
06-02 08:07:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,857	1¢	$20	0xa5ff60…
06-01 16:44:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xe250c1…
05-29 13:33:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	269	78¢	$210	0xce0629…
05-29 13:32:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	169	60¢	$102	0x960345…
05-16 17:47:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x19d7a4…
04-23 23:37:40	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	No	SELL	208	21¢	$44	0x150cfc…
04-09 20:42:17	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xb7cfbc…
03-29 23:03:08	cbb uconn duke 2026 03 29	Connecticut Huskies	SELL	2,000	20¢	$400	0x0c8877…
03-29 15:31:18	cbb uconn duke 2026 03 29	Connecticut Huskies	BUY	2,000	33¢	$660	0xbcc5df…
03-29 00:46:34	cbb pur arz 2026 03 28	Purdue Boilermakers	SELL	3,400	30¢	$1,020	0x62d38c…
03-28 16:56:15	cbb pur arz 2026 03 28	Purdue Boilermakers	BUY	372	30¢	$112	0xebeb8b…
03-28 16:56:15	cbb pur arz 2026 03 28	Purdue Boilermakers	BUY	2,634	30¢	$790	0x288aa1…
03-28 16:56:15	cbb pur arz 2026 03 28	Purdue Boilermakers	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0x1ff11f…
03-28 16:56:13	cbb pur arz 2026 03 28	Purdue Boilermakers	BUY	172	30¢	$52	0xb2dc15…
03-28 16:56:13	cbb pur arz 2026 03 28	Purdue Boilermakers	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x18acfb…
03-28 16:56:11	cbb pur arz 2026 03 28	Purdue Boilermakers	BUY	202	30¢	$61	0x6ff7f5…
03-27 22:26:31	cbb ala mich 2026 03 27	Alabama Crimson Tide	SELL	6,000	19¢	$1,140	0x9a86f0…
03-27 21:38:45	cbb ala mich 2026 03 27	Alabama Crimson Tide	BUY	6,000	19¢	$1,140	0x72040a…
03-26 15:23:11	cbb tx pur 2026 03 26	Texas Longhorns	SELL	1,000	25¢	$250	0x66ed22…
03-25 20:20:27	cbb tx pur 2026 03 26	Texas Longhorns	BUY	1,000	25¢	$250	0x420ad4…
03-15 20:20:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0x79a001…
03-15 20:20:41	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	3,410	3¢	$100	0xee2f10…
03-14 01:30:43	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	No	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xf99b16…
03-14 01:24:51	nothing ever happens microstrategy	Yes	BUY	1,766	3¢	$50	0xd014e6…
03-08 23:13:25	nothing ever happens microstrategy	Yes	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x1edd61…
03-08 21:11:05	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	SELL	296	55¢	$163	0x5ec250…
03-01 11:02:47	Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	222	99¢	$219	0x696c82…
02-26 15:07:02	will company b be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x63011d…
02-23 23:06:54	will binance be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	721	7¢	$50	0x730750…
02-23 23:04:42	will pumpfun be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	571	18¢	$100	0x4e1e91…
02-23 23:04:32	will company b be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xb0ab69…
02-12 16:45:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2a6501…
02-12 16:39:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfea3c5…
02-12 16:39:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xbe12c8…
01-29 17:28:06	Will Solana dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	247	81¢	$200	0xa8eace…
01-18 10:41:04	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	BUY	296	67¢	$200	0x38aba7…
01-18 09:35:46	Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x0477e2…
01-15 10:12:46	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x2be111…
01-12 09:23:44	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0xb0ade1…
01-03 19:47:31	Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x854783…
01-03 19:47:03	Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	No	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x3293f3…