Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

57.9%

Resolved

186

Trades

190

lifetime

Volume

$253

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-02

last 11-03 02:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

86% 56% +$8

Politics

12% 64% +$5

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Crypto

1% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No		+5	$1	22¢	$1	+$0	11-03 02:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	2	$9	9	9	+0	No	+$4	08-13 12:00
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	08-03 20:14
will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	+$1	08-17 15:43
Will Andy Burnham say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" during the next PMQ?	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	+$2	09-01 17:46
will trump say beautiful 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421448	1	$2	6	0	+6	Yes	+$4	08-05 04:35
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?	1	$2	9	0	+9	No	+$7	09-02 07:38
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	-$2	09-02 19:03
will trump say hottest during remarks in new york 20260811183234691	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	08-13 14:44
will spy reach 790 in august 2026	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	+$2	08-17 13:06
will warsh say integrity during jackson hole speech on august 28	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	-$2	08-19 17:13
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	-$2	08-18 19:59
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	-$2	08-02 19:51
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	1	$2	7	0	+7	No	-$2	08-04 12:29
will msft reach 502 50 by august 17 2026	1	$2	7	0	+7	No	+$4	08-17 04:02
will trump say biden 3 times during friday roundtable 20260805211427273	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	+$2	08-06 21:35
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	1	$2	11	0	+11	No	-$2	08-09 06:45
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	1	$2	11	0	+11	No	-$2	08-06 12:37
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	1	$2	7	0	+7	Yes	-$2	08-03 12:07
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	+$3	08-23 07:54
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	10	0	+10	No	-$2	08-22 01:27
will abnb dip to 144 by august 3 2026	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	+$2	08-03 20:16
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$1	08-29 14:23
spx up or down on august 20 2026	1	$2	10	0	+10	Down	-$2	08-20 13:09
will abnb reach 188 by august 17 2026	1	$2	10	0	+10	Yes	+$8	08-17 23:53
will amzn reach 288 by august 3 2026	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	+$3	08-04 04:26
will pltr reach 183 by august 10 2026	1	$2	9	0	+9	No	-$2	08-14 00:17
will xauusd reach 4400 by august 31 2026	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	09-02 00:11
spy up or down on september 3 2026	1	$2	6	0	+6	Up	-$2	09-03 12:29
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	1	$2	11	0	+11	No	-$2	08-08 05:39
spy closes above 770 on august 19 2026	1	$2	7	0	+7	No	-$2	08-19 18:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 02:59:34	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe0a414…
11-02 18:58:37	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x53fad9…
11-02 10:58:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x311ff6…
11-01 14:53:37	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xafc9fc…
10-31 00:57:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xcc4fe8…
10-30 04:07:07	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x70c3ea…
10-29 19:57:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x64202a…
10-23 20:25:20	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe431c8…
10-22 12:17:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xbd9a5a…
10-22 01:23:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xad7778…
10-21 16:05:09	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x93c168…
10-21 08:01:45	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xafdfe0…
10-17 23:57:35	Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 32% to 34%?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3ee18d…
10-17 15:50:33	United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9111bb…
10-17 06:40:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc8b421…
10-16 21:33:47	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9387ef…
10-16 12:18:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xadd8f1…
10-16 03:48:10	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x19cb11…
10-15 14:38:58	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc07d1c…
10-15 06:37:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x711df4…
10-14 22:34:06	Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x30dd17…
10-14 14:28:46	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xfc2f26…
10-14 06:28:32	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xeb0b76…
10-12 22:23:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xfb6592…
10-12 14:23:33	Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd442a0…
10-12 06:23:17	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x67fc6f…
10-11 22:22:23	Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfc6e39…
10-11 14:21:40	Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa5a23a…
10-11 06:18:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x57746e…
10-10 22:15:33	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4665b3…
10-10 13:36:43	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x01ffec…
10-10 05:29:49	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4f38c1…
10-09 19:26:10	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x235697…
10-09 11:24:39	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x09be5e…
10-09 03:24:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc93fc4…
10-09 03:23:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x7cb9c6…
10-08 19:19:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x60aba5…
10-08 10:12:44	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5920c4…
10-08 02:12:37	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6caaa9…
10-07 14:48:47	Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4fb392…
10-06 15:55:06	Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3ae99b…
10-06 11:44:12	Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-07?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x56b2c6…
10-06 07:52:25	Wingate & Finchley FC vs. Bedford Town FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xaf5dd9…
10-05 13:13:22	Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x44271a…
10-04 20:04:35	Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc597bc…
10-04 17:00:29	Will Costa Rica win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa3af0b…
10-04 09:05:14	Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb48b04…
10-04 09:05:13	Costa Rica vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x26fb85…
10-04 08:30:14	Racing Club Montevideo vs. CA Penarol Montevideo: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x15e3df…
10-04 08:30:11	San Martin de Tucuman vs. Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7eea44…
10-04 07:53:07	Will Atletico de Rafaela win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x04fc9d…
10-04 07:53:04	Will CA Colegiales win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x93e045…
10-04 07:17:29	Malta vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x34c595…
10-04 06:43:11	Will Girona FC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9b9735…
10-04 06:43:10	Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x063d08…
10-04 06:01:32	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1059b2…
10-04 06:01:29	Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. RB Ōmiya Ardija: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2d054b…
10-04 05:21:19	VVV Venlo vs. Roda JC Kerkrade: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x52c245…
10-03 15:08:03	COD Meknès vs. Kawkab AC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x03beb5…
10-03 15:07:59	Will COD Meknès win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe4d189…
10-03 15:07:57	CE Sabadell FC vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5d2fc9…
10-03 12:34:09	Will Tonbridge Angels FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x21b787…
10-03 12:02:26	Finland vs. Albania: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x139d81…
10-03 11:29:02	Leyton Orient FC vs. Plymouth Argyle FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa43938…
10-03 04:24:45	Will Plymouth Parkway FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x1764ac…
10-03 03:56:41	Will Torquay United FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5970c4…
10-03 03:25:23	Will Clachnacuddin FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb628be…
10-03 03:25:21	Will South Shields FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x20672f…
10-03 02:50:35	Will Finland win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xdf3d82…
10-02 20:53:33	Will Montedio Yamagata win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xec353c…
10-02 18:33:27	Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x3a8723…
10-02 14:30:45	Will Limavady United FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xbf97e1…
10-02 13:25:23	Will Crewe Alexandra FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xbac9b3…
10-02 11:43:32	Will Rotherham United FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa6ca07…
10-02 07:12:47	Accrington Stanley FC vs. Cheltenham Town FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x1f2752…
10-02 07:12:44	Will Cheltenham Town FC win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa2b182…
10-02 05:24:57	Will Ceará SC win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xb3478f…
10-01 21:57:11	Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa601c0…
10-01 10:07:32	Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb60e45…
10-01 09:39:21	Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x71c5ad…
10-01 05:51:11	CD Eldense vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x46a80f…
09-30 13:35:41	Will CA Platense vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x626bd9…
09-30 11:20:41	argcopa pla elp 2026 10 01 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x17c161…
09-30 08:52:54	Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1aafde…
09-30 07:38:36	Will Once Caldas win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x89733e…
09-30 07:18:26	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa63f3d…
09-30 06:37:17	OL Lyonnes vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x051bf1…
09-30 05:19:12	Will Internacional de Bogotá win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x788f5f…
09-30 05:19:09	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x66f872…
09-30 04:51:00	Curaçao vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x83a805…
09-30 03:12:59	Will CA Penarol Montevideo win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x00d99c…
09-30 00:27:26	uslc rho iel 2026 09 30 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7cedaf…
09-29 19:20:21	Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6041ce…
09-29 06:35:50	uslc mia spo 2026 09 30 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x8341eb…
09-29 04:47:53	Will Detroit City FC win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa9f641…
09-28 05:08:12	Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-29?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6a7e58…
09-28 04:45:17	San Marino vs. Albania: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8c727e…
09-27 14:07:26	Will Club Almagro win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf53261…
09-27 04:25:23	Will Italy win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf8e5f4…
09-26 17:34:33	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb96b90…