Tight-Priesthood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$428

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.0%

Resolved

Trades

147

lifetime

Volume

$2.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-18 12:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 18% $-428

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	24	$148	330	0	+330	Up	$-148	05-05 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$104	357	357	+0	open	—	05-04 09:14
Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$102	209	209	+0	open	—	05-14 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	05-04 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$100	211	0	+211	open	—	05-04 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	5	$95	261	0	+261	Down	+$166	05-04 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	4	$80	164	0	+164	Up	+$84	05-04 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$75	56	56	+0	Down	+$35	05-04 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$70	149	0	+149	open	—	05-04 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$55	117	0	+117	open	—	05-04 17:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$50	109	0	+109	open	—	05-04 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$50	127	0	+127	Down	$-50	05-05 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	1	$50	351	0	+351	Down	$-50	05-05 00:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$50	101	0	+101	open	—	05-04 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$50	116	0	+116	open	—	05-04 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$50	174	0	+174	open	—	05-04 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$50	140	0	+140	open	—	05-04 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$50	89	0	+89	open	—	05-04 15:50
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$49	285	0	+285	open	—	05-14 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$47	33	33	+0	open	—	04-30 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$46	100	0	+100	open	—	05-14 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$45	122	0	+122	open	—	05-04 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$40	151	0	+151	Up	$-40	05-04 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$40	96	0	+96	open	—	05-04 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$40	136	0	+136	Up	$-40	05-04 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$40	133	0	+133	open	—	05-04 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$40	87	0	+87	Down	$-40	05-04 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$31	98	0	+98	Up	$-31	05-05 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$30	134	0	+134	open	—	05-04 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$30	71	0	+71	open	—	04-30 20:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 12:29:07	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x5c3414…
05-14 12:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x560d8a…
05-14 12:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	43	61¢	$26	0x8b60a1…
05-14 12:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x18480b…
05-14 12:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	54	35¢	$19	0xb159d2…
05-14 12:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x3fcc41…
05-14 12:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x4f4dac…
05-14 12:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x1e3f75…
05-14 11:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x46ab58…
05-14 11:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x18a043…
05-14 11:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x18bb71…
05-14 11:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x31cf70…
05-14 11:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xdd7ef3…
05-14 11:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x4b14a1…
05-14 11:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x30d621…
05-14 11:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	103	1¢	$1	0x82e18f…
05-14 11:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	103	19¢	$20	0x267110…
05-14 11:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	49	40¢	$20	0xe59e7e…
05-14 11:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x768cee…
05-14 11:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0xec8aee…
05-14 11:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x85924c…
05-14 10:48:57	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	209	25¢	$52	0x271785…
05-14 09:24:11	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	285	17¢	$49	0x6c5ff6…
05-14 09:19:23	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	209	24¢	$50	0x7afc6b…
05-09 07:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	73	4¢	$3	0xa64a04…
05-09 07:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x765f5b…
05-09 07:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	18	76¢	$13	0x5ef6ed…
05-09 07:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x14fa81…
05-09 07:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	38	27¢	$10	0x45cc20…
05-09 07:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	38	46¢	$17	0xee5a73…
05-09 07:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	57	46¢	$26	0x194737…
05-08 00:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xe29c0a…
05-05 00:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xfaa0a6…
05-05 00:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xc93988…
05-05 00:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x87adb2…
05-05 00:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	110	45¢	$50	0x5bfac5…
05-05 00:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	48	45¢	$22	0x58637c…
05-05 00:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x253911…
05-05 00:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xcfef94…
05-05 00:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xbd26e2…
05-05 00:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x9a96b6…
05-05 00:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	45¢	$8	0x8f44b5…
05-05 00:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x825fb4…
05-05 00:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x77febf…
05-05 00:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x76f085…
05-05 00:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x749b38…
05-05 00:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x6ff573…
05-05 00:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x68addc…
05-05 00:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x678233…
05-05 00:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x56ecb7…
05-05 00:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x547209…
05-05 00:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3cae10…
05-05 00:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x181e01…
05-05 00:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x129b66…
05-05 00:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x0936c1…
05-05 00:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x039b3c…
05-05 00:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	351	14¢	$50	0xbe6f64…
05-05 00:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	127	39¢	$50	0x327423…
05-05 00:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xc19bcd…
05-05 00:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	35	33¢	$11	0x9504ae…
05-05 00:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xd6db1e…
05-05 00:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x460246…
05-05 00:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xcd723b…
05-04 23:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x5cb494…
05-04 22:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	36	47¢	$17	0xf5095a…
05-04 22:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0x41c1d2…
05-04 22:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xf25a0b…
05-04 22:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x69ce0d…
05-04 21:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x421282…
05-04 21:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xbb808f…
05-04 21:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x491008…
05-04 21:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x99e069…
05-04 21:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x0e5338…
05-04 21:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x9cbee5…
05-04 21:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x385372…
05-04 21:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x87bc28…
05-04 21:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xc60b7f…
05-04 21:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xcfc7dc…
05-04 21:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xc74276…
05-04 21:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x6b75c7…
05-04 21:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xfcbe8b…
05-04 21:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x9adc8a…
05-04 21:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x592f3c…
05-04 21:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xb3667a…
05-04 21:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xd33509…
05-04 20:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0xd23801…
05-04 20:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x0ab8f4…
05-04 20:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x80e333…
05-04 20:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x3176ed…
05-04 20:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xc3758b…
05-04 20:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x853ce6…
05-04 20:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x247691…
05-04 20:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x9e7aa0…
05-04 20:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x5c90ff…
05-04 20:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xe91c2d…
05-04 20:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x1f763c…
05-04 20:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0x7fcf1c…
05-04 17:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	117	47¢	$55	0xba5d44…
05-04 17:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xd8675b…
05-04 17:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	74	41¢	$30	0xbc36e8…