Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved

Trades

219

lifetime

Volume

$879

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 05-16 21:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Politics

86% 60% +$2

Crypto

14% 31% -$10

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	24	$211	180	180	+0	Yes	+$11	03-19 05:07
will israel strike lebanon on march 2 2026	4	$54	39	39	+0	Yes	+$4	03-01 23:55
bitcoin above 78k on february 2	26	$54	43	43	+0	Yes	-$2	02-02 16:24
will israel strike lebanon on february 3 2026	9	$36	23	23	+0	No	+$2	02-03 20:33
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	2	$36	1,431	1,431	+0	No	-$4	01-17 19:40
will israel strike lebanon on february 4 2026	11	$34	27	27	+0	No	+$5	02-04 16:58
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	7	$34	298	298	+0	No	+$4	05-16 21:34
will israel strike lebanon on march 3 2026	2	$30	17	17	+0	Yes	$0	03-01 23:10
will israel strike lebanon on february 2 2026	8	$29	26	26	+0	Yes	+$1	02-02 08:21
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	4	$27	748	748	+0	No	-$15	01-18 20:47
will israel strike lebanon on february 26 2026	4	$26	43	43	+0	Yes	+$0	02-26 11:57
will israel strike lebanon on january 31 2026	11	$23	27	21	+6	Yes	-$3	01-30 19:21
will israel strike lebanon on february 27 2026	4	$21	29	29	+0	No	+$1	02-27 14:08
will israel strike lebanon on february 25 2026	2	$20	20	20	+0	No	+$6	02-25 08:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 20:20 UTC	3	$20	19	13	+6	Up	+$4	03-02 20:24
will israel strike lebanon on february 5 2026	5	$18	18	18	+0	Yes	+$0	02-05 13:01
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	2	$18	14	14	+0	No	+$0	03-02 08:46
will israel strike lebanon on january 28 2026	4	$16	48	28	+20	No	-$10	01-29 00:28
will israel strike lebanon on february 23 2026	2	$16	20	20	+0	No	+$2	02-23 09:47
will israel strike lebanon on february 20 2026	4	$11	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	02-20 00:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 20:25 UTC	2	$11	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	03-02 20:27
will israel strike lebanon on february 19 2026	2	$10	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	02-18 21:57
will israel strike lebanon on january 30 2026	3	$9	10	10	+0	Yes	+$3	01-30 11:28
will israel strike lebanon on february 1 2026	2	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	02-01 10:04
will israel strike lebanon on february 7 2026	3	$7	13	13	+0	No	-$5	02-07 16:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 20:15 UTC	2	$7	23	0	+23	Up	-$7	03-02 20:17
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	4	$7	55	55	+0	No	-$1	02-27 15:07
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	04-07 22:33
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	1	$6	60	0	+60	No	-$6	01-18 20:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:00 UTC	5	$5	5	3	+2	Up	-$1	03-06 13:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 21:34:21	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	298	6¢	$19	0x10efe7…
04-17 14:30:50	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xf6e873…
04-07 22:33:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xcbd13f…
04-07 21:28:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x4cda5b…
04-07 21:08:07	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0x5ad33a…
04-02 15:46:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 15:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xaa5a54…
04-02 15:45:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x62903e…
03-26 19:53:27	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	4¢	$5	0x7e1205…
03-19 05:07:17	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xb71cda…
03-18 06:21:29	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xe1272f…
03-16 06:08:31	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	26	75¢	$19	0x0a47f9…
03-15 14:44:09	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe5ce95…
03-15 07:15:23	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x67241a…
03-15 07:14:51	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xa6683f…
03-12 20:58:07	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x42728a…
03-12 20:56:35	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x51eb27…
03-11 10:53:09	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	18	58¢	$11	0x486bd9…
03-11 06:32:05	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xa89cd3…
03-10 22:34:27	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	29	0¢	$0	0xe2ca12…
03-10 15:09:45	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6649ce…
03-10 14:37:37	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	27	62¢	$17	0xd6fbe5…
03-10 11:25:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa6c988…
03-09 19:36:11	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe54109…
03-09 18:36:23	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x90eb06…
03-09 05:02:59	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0x24728e…
03-07 21:13:55	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x63e4b6…
03-07 21:13:33	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	32	3¢	$1	0xacbdcb…
03-07 21:06:35	will israel strike greater beirut on march 7 2026	No	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x940875…
03-07 20:57:51	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x33fe68…
03-07 20:32:53	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x74028d…
03-07 20:12:07	will israel strike greater beirut on march 8 2026	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x603699…
03-07 20:11:55	will israel strike greater beirut on march 7 2026	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xddbf93…
03-06 13:18:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xad0a7a…
03-06 13:16:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6db294…
03-06 13:16:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:10 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x152938…
03-06 13:12:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa2b29a…
03-06 13:11:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x40d6d5…
03-06 13:10:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x93fe95…
03-06 13:06:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x9178c1…
03-06 13:05:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7d2080…
03-06 13:03:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5e394c…
03-06 13:03:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x9e9035…
03-06 13:02:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x811375…
03-06 13:01:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x4b0186…
03-06 13:00:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x44ab33…
03-06 12:58:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 12:55 UTC	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x5bf66b…
03-06 12:56:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xff62ce…
03-06 12:56:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 12:55 UTC	Down	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x781e6f…
03-06 12:55:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5f4eed…
03-06 12:51:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 12:50 UTC	Down	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x755376…
03-06 12:50:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xeac884…
03-06 12:47:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 12:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xd52566…
03-06 12:47:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe13e1e…
03-06 12:44:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 12:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	41¢	$1	0x88cdd7…
03-06 12:42:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb1aff4…
03-06 12:41:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 12:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x92c5cf…
03-06 12:41:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x76d095…
03-04 07:49:49	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0xb644b0…
03-03 17:39:15	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5cc7e2…
03-03 17:38:39	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x85c19a…
03-02 20:49:11	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	8	67¢	$6	0x4e3520…
03-02 20:43:21	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xd8c952…
03-02 20:27:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 20:25 UTC	Up	SELL	9	61¢	$6	0x43db71…
03-02 20:25:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x86014f…
03-02 20:24:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x271a93…
03-02 20:23:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 20:20 UTC	Up	SELL	13	66¢	$9	0x8c7941…
03-02 20:23:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x3450e9…
03-02 20:17:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x4783f4…
03-02 20:15:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6c5614…
03-02 15:29:19	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0xe2aec1…
03-02 08:50:03	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x419d88…
03-02 08:46:19	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0x42d075…
03-02 07:49:13	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xdc8431…
03-02 07:34:13	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x9ac158…
03-02 07:30:15	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x905a3b…
03-02 07:29:57	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	21	51¢	$10	0xe40069…
03-02 07:14:13	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x462ec6…
03-01 23:55:21	will israel strike lebanon on march 2 2026	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x189130…
03-01 23:11:21	will israel strike lebanon on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x3d1288…
03-01 23:10:37	will israel strike lebanon on march 3 2026	Yes	SELL	17	85¢	$15	0x195273…
03-01 23:09:41	will israel strike lebanon on march 3 2026	Yes	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x091029…
03-01 22:03:03	will israel strike lebanon on march 2 2026	Yes	SELL	23	55¢	$13	0xda16bf…
03-01 19:37:31	will israel strike lebanon on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x30aae5…
02-28 06:20:51	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x81dbb0…
02-28 06:16:29	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc1c9bd…
02-27 15:07:31	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x65f121…
02-27 14:11:07	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xcf3b76…
02-27 14:08:07	will israel strike lebanon on february 27 2026	Yes	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0x0297b3…
02-27 08:49:23	will israel strike lebanon on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xbdbe5c…
02-26 22:05:48	will israel strike lebanon on february 27 2026	Yes	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0xe4f1d8…
02-26 22:04:56	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	SELL	34	4¢	$1	0x626702…
02-26 16:28:36	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0x930023…
02-26 16:28:20	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	Yes	SELL	67	2¢	$1	0xa7a179…
02-26 15:29:20	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x85f139…
02-26 12:51:48	will israel strike lebanon on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe1a42d…
02-26 11:57:44	will israel strike lebanon on february 26 2026	Yes	SELL	43	30¢	$13	0x86b783…
02-25 20:04:32	will israel strike lebanon on february 26 2026	Yes	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0xd32797…
02-25 20:03:00	will israel strike lebanon on february 26 2026	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x8cdafe…
02-25 18:55:26	will israel strike lebanon on february 26 2026	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x2d2516…
02-25 08:07:42	will israel strike lebanon on february 25 2026	Yes	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x64ca7e…