Kaleidoscopic-Sack — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

Trades

157

lifetime

Volume

$6.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 05-19 01:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

67% 67% +$16

Other

32% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	12	$922	650	650	+0	open	—	05-15 19:08
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	10	$768	616	616	+0	open	—	05-14 18:00
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	5	$574	293	293	+0	open	—	04-24 01:03
Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	10	$543	467	467	+0	open	—	04-27 18:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	8	$532	287	287	+0	open	—	05-11 12:14
Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	5	$421	213	213	+0	open	—	04-24 13:57
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	5	$265	481	481	+0	open	—	05-11 04:59
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	5	$263	135	135	+0	open	—	04-26 12:27
Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?	4	$259	131	131	+0	open	—	04-21 21:12
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$257	131	131	+0	open	—	04-22 09:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	6	$257	274	274	+0	No	+$1	05-09 23:11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	4	$252	130	130	+0	open	—	05-11 19:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$237	126	126	+0	open	—	05-06 20:00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	2	$184	93	93	+0	open	—	04-29 13:59
Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	4	$174	88	88	+0	open	—	04-24 19:32
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	2	$124	63	63	+0	open	—	04-30 08:35
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	1	$94	95	0	+95	open	—	05-01 04:57
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	1	$90	94	0	+94	open	—	05-19 01:05
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	5	$81	416	416	+0	open	—	04-25 16:53
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	17	$77	966	966	+0	No	+$16	05-08 20:08
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	04-24 09:03
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	04-16 13:17
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	4	$35	220	220	+0	open	—	04-21 12:31
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	6	$32	764	764	+0	open	—	04-27 13:13
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	5	$30	405	405	+0	open	—	04-20 13:24
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	6	$21	443	443	+0	open	—	04-27 06:17
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	4	$13	365	365	+0	open	—	04-28 01:24
Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	5	$6	280	280	+0	open	—	04-25 05:06
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	4	$6	230	230	+0	open	—	04-23 10:53
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	4	$6	336	336	+0	open	—	04-30 18:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 01:05:38	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	94	95¢	$90	0xead02c…
05-15 19:08:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	95	98¢	$93	0x52a7b5…
05-15 19:08:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0xf6ab86…
05-15 17:56:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	127	98¢	$125	0xb4edaf…
05-15 12:46:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	59	2¢	$1	0xb35741…
05-15 12:46:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	120	2¢	$2	0x8403c6…
05-15 10:40:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	179	2¢	$4	0xb69c5c…
05-15 05:41:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	111	97¢	$107	0x5994a8…
05-15 03:54:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	111	97¢	$108	0x29ee06…
05-14 23:19:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	101	96¢	$97	0x4d52b8…
05-14 22:09:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	101	96¢	$97	0x8d6e5e…
05-14 18:00:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	227	2¢	$4	0x4ef1d1…
05-14 16:29:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	227	2¢	$5	0xd38a48…
05-14 13:11:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	129	98¢	$126	0xf46c47…
05-14 12:47:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	129	98¢	$127	0x56f2e9…
05-14 09:48:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	129	98¢	$127	0x0195b9…
05-14 04:02:57	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	129	98¢	$127	0x9c330c…
05-13 04:21:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	132	97¢	$128	0xd780d0…
05-13 00:53:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	132	97¢	$128	0x835565…
05-12 02:05:03	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0xd3ec8c…
05-12 02:05:03	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	46	97¢	$45	0xcf88ff…
05-12 02:05:03	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	54	97¢	$53	0x9af5d7…
05-11 22:31:35	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	131	97¢	$127	0xb99eec…
05-11 19:05:03	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0xf0a93d…
05-11 19:05:03	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	84	98¢	$82	0xa1dd5b…
05-11 15:04:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xf2676f…
05-11 15:04:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	121	96¢	$117	0xdaa7a0…
05-11 12:14:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	97	97¢	$94	0xbae150…
05-11 12:14:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x6e1095…
05-11 08:03:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x9bec7c…
05-11 04:59:45	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	368	6¢	$24	0x03222a…
05-11 01:52:19	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	368	6¢	$24	0xf3586f…
05-10 15:26:42	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	35	96¢	$34	0xae02e9…
05-10 15:26:42	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	78	96¢	$75	0x333855…
05-10 10:41:14	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	113	96¢	$108	0xe07d7b…
05-09 23:11:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	64	96¢	$62	0x107a25…
05-09 23:11:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	64	96¢	$62	0x5fa7ae…
05-09 19:53:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	80	96¢	$77	0xd4eec1…
05-09 19:53:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x69e80f…
05-09 07:28:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	146	4¢	$5	0xf4683d…
05-09 06:17:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	146	3¢	$5	0x08857f…
05-08 20:08:11	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	131	1¢	$1	0xc636ff…
05-08 20:08:11	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	231	1¢	$3	0x480541…
05-08 17:10:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	362	2¢	$6	0x938bda…
05-08 03:06:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	3¢	$2	0xed13ef…
05-08 01:47:47	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0xe61763…
05-07 08:06:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	11¢	$6	0xff374b…
05-07 08:06:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	11¢	$5	0xc16351…
05-07 08:06:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	11¢	$8	0xc0cc45…
05-07 08:06:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	11¢	$5	0x556231…
05-07 08:06:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	11¢	$7	0x3519b7…
05-07 04:40:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	271	5¢	$13	0x5caeb4…
05-06 20:00:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	86	95¢	$82	0xe9c17e…
05-06 20:00:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	33	95¢	$31	0x09af48…
05-06 17:21:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x65788b…
05-06 12:55:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	126	94¢	$118	0xce5fce…
05-06 09:03:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	82	83¢	$68	0xac4093…
05-06 09:03:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	57	83¢	$47	0x509e97…
05-06 05:01:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	139	95¢	$132	0xa4cd14…
05-05 19:13:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	48	96¢	$46	0xdddc2e…
05-05 14:15:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0xa72058…
05-05 09:39:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	187	2¢	$5	0xebb6bf…
05-05 07:08:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	3¢	$2	0x9fade9…
05-05 07:08:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x3bf634…
05-05 07:08:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	3¢	$4	0x28eed7…
05-03 16:04:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	6¢	$5	0xa639a6…
05-03 14:51:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	4¢	$3	0x2fe8bc…
05-01 04:57:26	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x6cb4cb…
04-30 18:42:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	193	1¢	$1	0xfbc8ac…
04-30 18:42:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0x1e06f3…
04-30 18:42:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	1¢	$0	0x0eb615…
04-30 16:07:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	336	1¢	$4	0x5e41e1…
04-30 08:35:14	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	SELL	63	98¢	$62	0xac1c84…
04-30 06:35:46	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0xbd95a1…
04-29 13:59:16	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	SELL	93	99¢	$92	0xc8c0d3…
04-29 08:53:48	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0x7984cb…
04-28 01:24:16	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	Yes	SELL	129	2¢	$2	0xa832a5…
04-28 01:24:16	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	Yes	SELL	129	2¢	$2	0x7372dd…
04-28 01:24:16	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	Yes	SELL	107	2¢	$2	0x0a9152…
04-28 00:28:54	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	Yes	BUY	365	2¢	$7	0xf1e514…
04-27 18:34:22	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	35	4¢	$1	0xad5ddb…
04-27 18:34:22	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	141	4¢	$5	0x6e5a4f…
04-27 14:53:00	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	176	3¢	$6	0x52be88…
04-27 13:13:54	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	154	1¢	$2	0x04b1d6…
04-27 13:13:16	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	94	2¢	$2	0x646a47…
04-27 13:13:16	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	72	2¢	$1	0x24f937…
04-27 08:55:48	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	320	1¢	$4	0x013968…
04-27 06:17:14	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	250	2¢	$6	0x7421fd…
04-27 06:17:14	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	70	2¢	$2	0x6fbc60…
04-27 06:17:14	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	24	2¢	$1	0x64dd3d…
04-27 06:17:14	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	46	2¢	$1	0x4c17c0…
04-27 06:17:14	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	53	2¢	$1	0x307850…
04-27 02:25:48	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	BUY	443	2¢	$11	0x7fa2ca…
04-26 22:27:54	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	444	2¢	$11	0x700d9e…
04-26 18:14:28	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	444	3¢	$12	0x4e9db5…
04-26 12:27:46	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	69	98¢	$67	0x9ec911…
04-26 12:27:44	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0x77fa5e…
04-26 12:27:44	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x1ace17…
04-26 09:44:18	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0x5e0996…
04-26 09:44:18	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0x3272f2…