Sympathetic-Synonym — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$63

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

94.9%

Resolved

Trades

262

lifetime

Volume

$21.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$82

Open exposure

$334

1 position

First seen

2026-02-27

last 07-23 15:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

74% — —

Other

25% 50% +$63

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		-353	$-332	94¢	$-334	$-2	07-23 15:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	22	$2.2K	3,546	2,243	+1,303	open	—	03-06 07:49
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	8	$1.5K	1,692	1,137	+555	open	—	03-01 00:08
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	19	$1.3K	1,741	1,741	+0	open	—	03-29 20:07
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	10	$1.0K	1,269	1,269	+0	open	—	03-02 16:00
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	6	$831	832	832	+0	open	—	03-31 17:05
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	7	$757	794	794	+0	open	—	03-08 21:21
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 479 558	2	$703	423	423	+0	open	—	03-27 15:04
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 947	4	$667	911	411	+500	open	—	03-25 19:08
trump approval up or down this week 857	4	$618	424	424	+0	open	—	03-19 18:11
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$591	480	480	+0	open	—	02-28 14:25
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	21	$533	736	735	+0	open	—	03-31 16:49
will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	1	$500	1,678	0	+1,678	open	—	03-23 14:38
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	4	$494	783	783	+0	open	—	03-03 14:46
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	4	$477	292	292	+0	Yes	+$77	04-17 10:46
will uae strike iran by march 31	3	$456	308	308	+0	open	—	03-13 13:24
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	4	$430	756	756	+0	open	—	03-02 18:46
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	3	$429	816	816	+0	open	—	03-03 22:13
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	4	$425	397	397	+0	open	—	03-06 23:25
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	5	$405	591	591	+0	open	—	03-07 15:58
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	2	$401	285	285	+0	open	—	03-07 20:21
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	5	$359	642	642	+0	open	—	03-08 21:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	6	$346	278	274	+3	open	—	04-07 23:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$332	0	353	-353	open	—	07-23 15:48
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	7	$325	651	651	+0	open	—	05-10 08:19
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	3	$311	186	186	+0	open	—	03-06 07:28
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	11	$304	251	191	+60	open	—	03-30 13:08
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	2	$302	238	238	+0	open	—	03-24 08:05
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	4	$292	228	228	+0	open	—	04-22 22:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	3	$246	154	154	+0	open	—	04-29 22:06
russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 27	2	$246	169	169	+0	open	—	03-24 17:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 15:48:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	353	94¢	$332	0xb34ae8…
06-23 13:06:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	136	97¢	$133	0x91f8e3…
06-09 17:45:52	btc updown 5m 1781027100	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x5e54ea…
06-09 14:06:15	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x575a67…
05-29 22:31:05	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	222	4¢	$9	0x2ffffe…
05-28 18:04:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xa527f0…
05-28 18:04:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	256	0¢	$1	0x203642…
05-28 18:03:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	149	1¢	$1	0x9fbaa2…
05-12 20:22:09	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb626ca…
05-10 12:24:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0xe619cb…
05-10 08:19:33	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	179	5¢	$8	0xc403a0…
05-02 14:18:08	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	169	13¢	$22	0x11c1f0…
05-01 14:48:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x9f5a8b…
05-01 14:45:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xf69e50…
05-01 14:36:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0xa92fe3…
04-29 22:31:56	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	179	26¢	$46	0x4675de…
04-29 22:30:48	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x7d7d91…
04-29 22:06:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	77	99¢	$77	0xa6d9de…
04-23 22:39:34	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0xad9c2b…
04-23 15:03:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	77	90¢	$69	0x915d6b…
04-22 22:35:42	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	114	88¢	$100	0x72e743…
04-19 08:10:46	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0x5ade58…
04-18 20:30:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	114	71¢	$81	0x1176c1…
04-18 20:29:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	124	66¢	$83	0x28b7e9…
04-18 13:20:12	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	69¢	$28	0xc57ee6…
04-18 08:56:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x8be0f2…
04-17 22:31:26	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	81	37¢	$30	0x3b5368…
04-17 15:16:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	211	47¢	$100	0x1ee497…
04-17 15:01:06	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	162	62¢	$100	0x1d0dd1…
04-17 10:46:46	Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	232	99¢	$229	0x19ddd4…
04-17 07:47:24	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x17d4e0…
04-16 15:40:14	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x00ac8a…
04-15 17:46:04	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xb45ffa…
04-15 17:43:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x01383e…
04-15 17:42:30	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x7480af…
04-12 16:36:53	Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	80¢	$48	0xf5e796…
04-08 18:59:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0xc0df75…
04-08 16:06:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x6663e8…
04-08 16:04:15	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	42¢	$11	0x234d7c…
04-08 09:54:41	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x3f9633…
04-08 09:52:57	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x7fe902…
04-07 23:25:49	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	69	8¢	$6	0xa4b9ee…
04-07 23:25:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	64	24¢	$15	0x5ad788…
04-07 23:19:59	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	SELL	45	93¢	$42	0xbd055a…
04-07 23:18:55	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	SELL	45	92¢	$41	0xdcd987…
04-07 23:10:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x68640f…
04-07 23:09:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xa7213d…
04-07 23:08:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x701b48…
04-07 23:01:57	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	SELL	222	9¢	$20	0xf5a15d…
04-07 23:01:19	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	294	24¢	$71	0x16225f…
04-07 23:00:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	99	95¢	$94	0x6c66aa…
04-07 22:49:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	74	62¢	$46	0x7afd3a…
04-07 22:17:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	17	36¢	$6	0x0953d1…
04-07 22:06:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	64	43¢	$28	0x543651…
04-07 21:22:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xf4d1ec…
04-07 21:11:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	40	23¢	$9	0x7aa1f4…
04-07 21:10:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x0ea7dc…
04-07 17:54:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x5b0228…
04-07 16:42:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	99	21¢	$21	0x92f6fc…
04-06 22:12:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	73	75¢	$55	0x172f54…
04-06 22:12:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0xc52106…
04-06 11:47:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	73	66¢	$48	0x2a9d2b…
04-06 07:52:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	148	68¢	$100	0x431dc4…
04-05 12:30:03	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0xf410b7…
04-05 10:26:05	Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	70¢	$100	0x82eca1…
04-05 08:14:03	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xd71ef7…
04-03 20:51:55	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x75e8ea…
04-03 20:48:45	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 3	Yes	SELL	18	8¢	$1	0xecbd67…
04-03 20:33:27	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	69	23¢	$16	0xd0f1a8…
04-03 17:40:57	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0xb41cce…
04-03 15:29:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	39	83¢	$32	0xccab66…
04-03 14:13:11	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	14	78¢	$11	0x02df2e…
04-03 08:32:11	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 3	Yes	SELL	18	25¢	$4	0x4e2bb6…
04-03 07:34:13	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 3	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x722c40…
04-03 07:33:47	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 3	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x287158…
04-01 10:19:07	btc updown 5m 1775038500	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xd6f480…
03-31 22:48:51	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x0109cb…
03-31 21:40:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	66	22¢	$14	0x1e4352…
03-31 17:05:31	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	205	1¢	$1	0x2cb323…
03-31 16:49:47	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	52	17¢	$9	0xbf8f1d…
03-31 16:49:23	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	263	19¢	$49	0x139b30…
03-31 16:47:47	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x26b691…
03-31 16:44:27	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	126	8¢	$10	0x475f49…
03-31 16:43:07	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	78	13¢	$10	0x6a1c9d…
03-31 16:41:21	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xc1aa01…
03-31 16:40:49	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0x84e9bf…
03-31 16:40:37	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0xab8d10…
03-31 15:01:17	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xedafa4…
03-31 14:50:07	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x8f5e65…
03-31 14:46:19	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x27821a…
03-31 14:42:37	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	96	15¢	$15	0x5ecd2c…
03-31 14:40:57	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	32	12¢	$4	0xa2e6e7…
03-31 11:45:37	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x0f34e9…
03-31 11:28:31	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x85c93a…
03-31 11:14:21	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xea0ad0…
03-31 10:00:49	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	64	63¢	$40	0x671157…
03-31 10:00:31	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x198c5e…
03-31 09:20:29	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x1efd6f…
03-31 08:07:07	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	189	1¢	$1	0x0e49c8…
03-30 18:37:39	Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x800f81…