Acceptable-Weather — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$14.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$11.4K

Hit rate

51.3%

Resolved (30d)

127

Trades (30d)

844

4,973 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$386.7K

$1.67M lifetime

Avg / trade

$336

Open exposure

$10.1K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-27 09:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 145 days

Categories

Other

82% 33% -$123,291

Sports

11% 34% -$65,577

Crypto

7% 37% -$36,052

Politics

0% 0% -$80

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 295 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	—	+10,475	-$2,360	94¢	$9.9K	+$12,258	10-27 09:39
Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Antonia Ruzic	—	+3,426	$1,030	6¢	$188	-$842	10-27 10:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol blg jdg 2026 08 12	39	$61.3K	68,037	45,000	+23,037	JD Gaming	+$23,080	08-12 17:02
atp erhard schwaer 2026 08 08	7	$54.2K	46,732	37,265	+9,467	Joel Schwaerzler	+$15,197	08-08 13:27
lol t1 hle1 2026 08 08	8	$40.6K	47,203	26,947	+20,256	Hanwha Life Esports	+$13,277	08-08 12:17
nba phi was 2026 04 01 total 240pt5	125	$36.3K	65,048	0	+65,048	Over	-$36,274	04-01 23:22
lol sk navi 2026 08 08 game2	6	$34.2K	27,984	26,840	+1,144	SK Gaming	+$12,898	08-08 16:27
lol sk navi 2026 08 08	121	$34.1K	34,537	34,537	+0	Natus Vincere	+$7,180	08-08 17:29
Will Modern SC win on 2026-08-27?	52	$30.5K	35,473	22,000	+13,473	Yes	+$13,549	08-27 15:58
Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	25	$26.9K	42,194	28,293	+13,901	open	—	10-27 10:24
atp tseng sachko 2026 08 10	31	$22.7K	49,401	15,356	+34,045	Vitaliy Sachko	-$8,899	08-10 15:46
lol bw dp 2026 08 12	1	$20.0K	66,267	0	+66,267	Bushido Wildcats	-$20,000	08-12 17:45
nba atl orl 2026 04 01	3	$18.0K	12,526	12,361	+166	Hawks	+$4,167	04-02 00:22
nba okc mem 2026 01 09	10	$17.5K	24,145	21,715	+2,430	Thunder	-$5,374	01-10 03:33
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	36	$17.0K	14,381	14,381	+0	No	+$4,037	10-26 16:48
cs2 navi pain 2026 08 28 game2	10	$16.3K	19,158	16,667	+2,491	Natus Vincere	+$6,767	08-28 16:20
dota2 ty tundra 2026 03 28	5	$16.3K	12,912	12,912	+0	Tundra Esports	+$3,099	03-28 16:33
lol bro2 fox1 2026 08 28	54	$15.9K	25,474	10,101	+15,374	BNK FEARX	+$429	08-28 11:50
Guangzhou Open: Han Shi vs Alevtina Ibragimova	19	$15.8K	49,335	12,900	+36,435	Han Shi	-$4,235	10-26 08:09
cs2 hero bb3 2026 04 01	54	$15.7K	36,933	0	+36,933	BetBoom Team	-$15,736	04-01 14:45
lol ns dnf 2026 08 08	6	$15.5K	32,694	3,352	+29,343	DN SOOPers	-$8,821	08-08 12:50
lol t1 hle1 2026 08 08 game2	46	$14.6K	26,724	3,068	+23,656	Hanwha Life Esports	-$8,448	08-08 09:52
atp gentzsc piros 2026 08 08	18	$13.8K	105,964	0	+105,964	Tom Gentzsch	-$13,765	08-08 15:22
nba ind chi 2026 04 01	8	$13.3K	34,106	0	+34,106	Pacers	-$13,258	04-02 01:23
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	4	$13.2K	42,277	0	+42,277	Bilibili Gaming	-$11,518	10-26 18:27
nba phi bos 2026 04 21	1	$13.0K	23,148	0	+23,148	76ers	-$13,000	04-22 01:00
atp borges etcheve 2026 01 11	33	$12.9K	10,000	10,000	+0	Borges	+$2,517	01-13 10:48
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner	7	$12.7K	12,634	12,634	+0	Aurora Gaming	+$2,314	10-26 08:52
LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	4	$12.4K	34,210	9,800	+24,410	Gen.G	-$2,616	10-23 17:46
cs2 bb3 faze 2026 08 12	23	$12.2K	20,647	20,646	+0	FaZe	+$2,257	08-12 15:59
chi shp ton 2026 04 21 ton	4	$12.1K	23,679	0	+23,679	Yes	-$12,100	04-21 12:26
lol ig1 we 2026 09 06 game2	39	$12.0K	13,498	9,622	+3,876	Team WE	+$2,577	09-06 07:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 10:25:32	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Venus Williams	BUY	5,592	4¢	$224	0x65fe3a…
10-27 10:25:32	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Venus Williams	BUY	77	4¢	$3	0x1a4b21…
10-27 10:24:59	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Venus Williams	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x8f73b4…
10-27 10:24:57	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Venus Williams	BUY	974	4¢	$39	0x43e6c1…
10-27 10:24:51	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Venus Williams	BUY	521	4¢	$21	0x9a1a03…
10-27 10:24:48	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Venus Williams	BUY	800	4¢	$32	0xcacde6…
10-27 10:24:47	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Venus Williams	BUY	970	4¢	$39	0x1ed4f9…
10-27 10:24:45	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Venus Williams	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x8ea80a…
10-27 10:24:44	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Venus Williams	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0xcdb1c3…
10-27 10:24:42	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Venus Williams	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x10fb42…
10-27 10:24:39	Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Antonia Ruzic	BUY	1,250	28¢	$350	0xff1167…
10-27 10:24:38	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Venus Williams	BUY	986	4¢	$39	0xf4affd…
10-27 10:24:36	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Venus Williams	BUY	119	4¢	$5	0xdaf5f0…
10-27 10:24:35	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Venus Williams	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xfb43a7…
10-27 10:24:33	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Venus Williams	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x7fc19c…
10-27 10:24:33	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Venus Williams	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x7e12c7…
10-27 10:24:33	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Venus Williams	BUY	12	4¢	$0	0x127353…
10-27 10:24:30	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Venus Williams	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x7d094e…
10-27 10:24:29	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Venus Williams	BUY	1,010	4¢	$40	0xb5fb99…
10-27 10:24:26	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Venus Williams	BUY	12	4¢	$0	0xc2db20…
10-27 10:24:24	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Venus Williams	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0xfbcbf2…
10-27 10:24:21	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Venus Williams	BUY	1,110	4¢	$44	0xacbe8f…
10-27 10:24:21	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Venus Williams	BUY	334	4¢	$13	0x3713cf…
10-27 10:24:21	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Venus Williams	BUY	800	4¢	$32	0x07b3fc…
10-27 10:24:20	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Venus Williams	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xb8c3d0…
10-27 10:24:20	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Venus Williams	BUY	5,221	4¢	$209	0x3fe56c…
10-27 10:24:18	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Venus Williams	BUY	1,348	4¢	$54	0x6e08f8…
10-27 10:24:18	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Venus Williams	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x159268…
10-27 10:24:17	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Venus Williams	Venus Williams	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x482b74…
10-27 10:18:17	Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Antonia Ruzic	BUY	1,267	30¢	$380	0x180e0b…
10-27 10:08:38	Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Antonia Ruzic	BUY	909	33¢	$300	0x30444e…
10-27 09:39:17	Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	SELL	2,000	53¢	$1,060	0xda8d07…
10-27 09:29:41	Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	BUY	1,364	22¢	$300	0x508ec4…
10-27 09:28:45	Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	BUY	11,111	27¢	$3,000	0x16bc98…
10-27 09:23:39	Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	SELL	11,293	47¢	$5,280	0x1069f2…
10-27 09:18:09	Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	BUY	5,748	20¢	$1,160	0x566dd8…
10-27 08:49:26	Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	SELL	899	52¢	$467	0x12a5c6…
10-27 08:49:15	Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	SELL	23	52¢	$12	0xfefc33…
10-27 08:49:12	Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	SELL	3,676	52¢	$1,912	0x1f5381…
10-27 08:48:56	Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	SELL	34	52¢	$18	0xd27c05…
10-27 08:48:50	Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	SELL	400	52¢	$208	0x1465d2…
10-27 08:48:47	Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	SELL	30	52¢	$16	0xa9ba8b…
10-27 08:48:45	Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	SELL	48	52¢	$25	0x96a0e6…
10-27 08:47:51	Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x374187…
10-27 08:47:45	Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0xa18192…
10-27 08:47:44	Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	SELL	400	52¢	$208	0xada0ea…
10-27 08:47:42	Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	SELL	9,472	52¢	$4,925	0xc1b834…
10-27 08:47:42	Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x884d4f…
10-27 08:34:18	Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	BUY	10,000	25¢	$2,500	0x39042a…
10-27 08:33:29	Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	BUY	1,923	26¢	$500	0x79b584…
10-27 08:29:24	Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	BUY	500	40¢	$200	0xd01020…
10-27 08:27:14	Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	BUY	279	43¢	$120	0xbc019c…
10-27 08:23:09	Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	BUY	7,843	51¢	$4,000	0x7d17fe…
10-27 08:09:30	Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Nikola Bartunkova	Nikola Bartunkova	BUY	3,125	16¢	$500	0x69147a…
10-27 08:09:08	Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Nikola Bartunkova	Nikola Bartunkova	BUY	3,125	16¢	$500	0xf5744a…
10-27 08:06:12	Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Nikola Bartunkova	Nikola Bartunkova	BUY	1,538	13¢	$200	0x185258…
10-27 07:55:44	Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Nikola Bartunkova	Nikola Bartunkova	BUY	118	32¢	$38	0xc570cc…
10-27 06:57:03	Guangzhou Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Zeynep Sonmez	Sara Sorribes Tormo	SELL	23,469	6¢	$1,395	0x132361…
10-27 06:55:47	Guangzhou Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Zeynep Sonmez	Sara Sorribes Tormo	BUY	6,000	8¢	$480	0x88f01b…
10-27 06:53:29	Guangzhou Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Zeynep Sonmez	Sara Sorribes Tormo	BUY	2,969	16¢	$475	0x0eb7eb…
10-27 06:22:35	Guangzhou Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Zeynep Sonmez	Sara Sorribes Tormo	BUY	14,500	20¢	$2,900	0xbde0c7…
10-27 05:44:54	Pan Pacific Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Maria Sakkari	Maria Sakkari	BUY	12,776	6¢	$800	0x50003b…
10-27 05:44:05	Pan Pacific Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Maria Sakkari	Maria Sakkari	BUY	10,000	12¢	$1,200	0xbb6678…
10-27 05:37:50	Pan Pacific Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Maria Sakkari	Maria Sakkari	SELL	1,797	6¢	$108	0xb7adcd…
10-27 04:49:56	Pan Pacific Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Maria Sakkari	Maria Sakkari	BUY	1,797	38¢	$683	0x8be763…
10-27 01:55:41	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Atlanta Dream	BUY	2,857	7¢	$200	0x339fe7…
10-27 01:55:21	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Atlanta Dream	BUY	2,884	6¢	$171	0xb6fd37…
10-26 23:59:59	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xa04902…
10-26 23:59:45	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	9,792	48¢	$4,700	0x68debe…
10-26 18:27:05	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	1,639	61¢	$1,000	0x8682f1…
10-26 18:22:32	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	392	25¢	$98	0x714d0b…
10-26 18:14:33	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	246	24¢	$59	0xc4ffa6…
10-26 17:44:54	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	40,000	30¢	$12,000	0x033a6f…
10-26 17:23:39	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	12,483	21¢	$2,680	0xbfd42a…
10-26 17:13:56	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Quentin Halys	Quentin Halys	BUY	9,562	52¢	$5,000	0x11b55f…
10-26 17:13:33	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Quentin Halys	Quentin Halys	BUY	580	52¢	$301	0xc06d59…
10-26 16:48:08	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	1,916	73¢	$1,399	0x8e90d9…
10-26 16:48:00	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	100	73¢	$73	0x8b04dd…
10-26 16:47:20	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xe3cba9…
10-26 16:47:18	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	68	73¢	$50	0xaa6c8d…
10-26 16:47:17	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xc0654b…
10-26 16:47:17	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x8f4d09…
10-26 16:47:17	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	148	73¢	$108	0x878233…
10-26 16:47:17	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0x63f97e…
10-26 16:47:17	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x5debaa…
10-26 16:47:15	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	2,272	73¢	$1,658	0xf47873…
10-26 16:47:15	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	13	73¢	$9	0x11a13e…
10-26 16:47:14	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xb53fbf…
10-26 16:47:14	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x94c111…
10-26 16:47:14	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	196	73¢	$143	0x8a2806…
10-26 16:47:14	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	41	73¢	$30	0x58cec9…
10-26 16:47:12	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	836	73¢	$610	0xa9c51e…
10-26 16:47:12	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	372	73¢	$272	0x9a794c…
10-26 16:47:12	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	18	73¢	$13	0x8c8f37…
10-26 16:47:12	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	55	73¢	$40	0x38a473…
10-26 16:47:11	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	21	73¢	$15	0xb41853…
10-26 16:47:11	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	8,293	73¢	$6,054	0x4b4932…
10-26 16:40:44	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FURIA	BUY	6,362	47¢	$3,000	0xcaeeb3…
10-26 16:32:38	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	3,495	26¢	$900	0xe72409…
10-26 16:32:21	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	275	24¢	$66	0xa7ba50…