Competent-Grasshopper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.0%

Resolved

Trades

133

lifetime

Volume

$2.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 07-23 16:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 54% +$7

Politics

9% 0% $-10

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1771057200	2	$100	185	0	+185	open	—	02-14 08:23
btc updown 15m 1770666300	2	$95	77	76	+1	open	—	02-09 20:00
btc updown 5m 1771048500	3	$83	152	0	+152	open	—	02-14 05:59
btc updown 5m 1771069800	1	$75	85	0	+85	open	—	02-14 11:52
btc updown 15m 1770725700	1	$70	72	0	+72	open	—	02-10 12:27
btc updown 5m 1771072200	1	$67	137	0	+137	open	—	02-14 12:30
btc updown 15m 1770716700	4	$63	79	31	+47	open	—	02-10 09:52
btc updown 5m 1773382500	3	$56	68	0	+68	open	—	03-13 06:19
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	1	$46	100	0	+100	open	—	04-13 05:46
btc updown 15m 1770669000	3	$41	54	0	+54	open	—	02-09 20:42
btc updown 5m 1771047900	2	$40	85	0	+85	open	—	02-14 05:49
btc updown 15m 1770714900	2	$40	76	0	+76	open	—	02-10 09:17
btc updown 15m 1770715800	2	$40	126	0	+126	open	—	02-10 09:32
btc updown 15m 1770718500	2	$40	61	0	+61	open	—	02-10 10:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$32	60	0	+60	Down	$-32	05-10 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$32	60	0	+60	Up	+$28	05-10 21:25
btc updown 15m 1770708600	3	$32	66	0	+66	open	—	02-10 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	1	$32	40	0	+40	Up	+$8	05-05 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$31	60	0	+60	Up	+$29	05-10 19:40
btc updown 15m 1770669900	3	$31	81	0	+81	open	—	02-09 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$31	60	0	+60	Down	$-31	05-10 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$31	60	0	+60	Up	+$29	05-10 20:05
btc updown 15m 1770709500	3	$30	83	0	+83	open	—	02-10 07:51
btc updown 15m 1770668100	7	$30	1,498	0	+1,498	open	—	02-09 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$29	60	0	+60	Down	$-29	05-10 19:45
btc updown 5m 1771050000	1	$25	60	0	+60	open	—	02-14 06:21
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	2	$24	679	0	+679	open	—	02-09 20:52
btc updown 15m 1770710400	2	$22	53	0	+53	open	—	02-10 08:09
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$21	7,000	0	+7,000	open	—	02-09 19:37
btc updown 5m 1771056600	1	$21	32	0	+32	open	—	02-14 08:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 16:17:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x385c3c…
05-23 05:20:37	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	Yes	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x613e52…
05-11 07:21:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$13	0xee714c…
05-11 07:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xb43263…
05-10 21:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0x4b94ed…
05-10 21:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	39	54¢	$21	0x3024fb…
05-10 20:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	60	54¢	$32	0x7d3394…
05-10 20:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	60	51¢	$31	0xebf157…
05-10 20:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xbe655d…
05-10 20:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	52	51¢	$26	0x8fca90…
05-10 19:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	60	49¢	$29	0x4016c3…
05-10 19:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	60	52¢	$31	0xb3a4a9…
05-10 02:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xb88c60…
05-09 07:16:51	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0xc6dade…
05-09 07:16:49	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xec680a…
05-09 07:16:49	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xc0f9c4…
05-09 07:16:49	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0xb27300…
05-06 12:58:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x7747cb…
05-06 08:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x5c975e…
05-05 20:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0x020970…
05-05 09:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x6b1634…
05-05 09:11:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x355c16…
05-05 09:10:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0x0ea3cc…
04-16 15:11:34	btc updown 5m 1776352200	Up	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x1cca8b…
04-13 05:46:07	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x25b388…
04-05 11:57:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	400	3¢	$12	0x968e6b…
04-05 10:15:19	donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 0 19	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x601f07…
04-05 10:11:59	btc updown 5m 1775383800	Up	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0xd261b6…
04-05 10:11:49	btc updown 5m 1775383800	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x2f08b3…
04-04 06:24:33	xrp updown 5m 1775283600	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x495c94…
04-04 06:22:57	xrp updown 5m 1775283600	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x89c415…
04-04 06:22:07	btc updown 5m 1775283600	Up	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x42ee6a…
04-03 09:27:09	btc updown 5m 1775208300	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x4e53e9…
04-02 12:04:59	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x6d30ad…
04-02 12:04:41	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xd87274…
04-02 12:03:27	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xbb7098…
04-02 12:02:25	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x3cb316…
04-02 12:01:53	btc updown 5m 1775131200	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8a728d…
04-02 10:55:35	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x92be86…
04-02 10:55:27	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	256	4¢	$10	0x888238…
03-13 11:06:03	btc updown 5m 1773399900	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x7aabff…
03-13 06:19:59	btc updown 5m 1773382500	Up	BUY	53	92¢	$49	0xacecae…
03-13 06:16:21	btc updown 5m 1773382500	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc8301c…
03-13 06:15:43	btc updown 5m 1773382500	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xa40f45…
02-14 12:30:37	btc updown 5m 1771072200	Up	BUY	137	49¢	$67	0x67f17e…
02-14 12:26:27	btc updown 5m 1771071900	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x749b2c…
02-14 12:22:11	btc updown 5m 1771071600	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x3e6bf9…
02-14 11:52:23	btc updown 5m 1771069800	Up	BUY	85	88¢	$75	0x26dad7…
02-14 11:16:01	btc updown 5m 1771067700	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x44c7d4…
02-14 09:03:09	eth updown 15m 1771059600	Up	BUY	13	72¢	$10	0x5b8c38…
02-14 08:50:57	sol updown 15m 1771058700	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x01562b…
02-14 08:50:47	eth updown 15m 1771058700	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x9d4b0d…
02-14 08:43:43	xrp updown 15m 1771057800	Down	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xedf2df…
02-14 08:42:57	sol updown 15m 1771057800	Down	BUY	1,261	0¢	$3	0xd5883f…
02-14 08:42:11	eth updown 15m 1771057800	Down	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x447f6e…
02-14 08:40:37	btc updown 5m 1771058400	Up	BUY	60	34¢	$20	0x99406d…
02-14 08:36:33	btc updown 5m 1771058100	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x01284c…
02-14 08:23:19	btc updown 5m 1771057200	Down	BUY	87	92¢	$80	0x558757…
02-14 08:20:23	btc updown 5m 1771057200	Up	BUY	98	20¢	$20	0xc60d69…
02-14 08:19:03	btc updown 5m 1771056900	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x5ee6f3…
02-14 08:12:49	btc updown 5m 1771056600	Up	BUY	32	65¢	$21	0x98baeb…
02-14 08:10:31	will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xfea26e…
02-14 08:09:01	us strikes iran by february 14 2026	Yes	BUY	583	1¢	$4	0x1c1ad4…
02-14 08:04:11	btc updown 5m 1771056000	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x060d37…
02-14 08:01:27	btc updown 5m 1771056000	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x958848…
02-14 06:21:39	btc updown 5m 1771050000	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xe44c98…
02-14 06:11:29	btc updown 5m 1771049400	Up	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xe39bdf…
02-14 06:09:25	btc updown 5m 1771049100	Up	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x509d84…
02-14 06:07:11	btc updown 5m 1771049100	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xd272cd…
02-14 06:04:17	btc updown 5m 1771048800	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x212b6e…
02-14 05:59:25	btc updown 5m 1771048500	Down	BUY	116	52¢	$60	0xf07bf3…
02-14 05:56:45	btc updown 5m 1771048500	Up	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x28a727…
02-14 05:56:39	btc updown 5m 1771048500	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x83bea5…
02-14 05:54:17	btc updown 5m 1771048200	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x29925d…
02-14 05:53:07	btc updown 5m 1771048200	Up	BUY	37	19¢	$7	0x92a884…
02-14 05:51:17	btc updown 5m 1771048200	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe74b6c…
02-14 05:49:31	btc updown 5m 1771047900	Up	BUY	49	40¢	$20	0x67c4b2…
02-14 05:45:59	btc updown 5m 1771047900	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xf2fcc4…
02-10 12:32:51	btc updown 15m 1770726600	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x0de990…
02-10 12:27:47	btc updown 15m 1770725700	Up	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0x67155a…
02-10 10:39:53	will googl reach 430 in february	Yes	BUY	214	2¢	$3	0x4d9cdf…
02-10 10:31:21	btc updown 15m 1770719400	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x65ba76…
02-10 10:22:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xc2b3ce…
02-10 10:18:29	btc updown 15m 1770718500	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xd3a39a…
02-10 10:15:41	btc updown 15m 1770718500	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x611dc8…
02-10 10:01:25	btc updown 15m 1770717600	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x5927a4…
02-10 09:52:37	btc updown 15m 1770716700	Up	SELL	31	10¢	$3	0x1e8df1…
02-10 09:50:17	btc updown 15m 1770716700	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xa05db8…
02-10 09:48:17	btc updown 15m 1770716700	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x9c788d…
02-10 09:45:49	btc updown 15m 1770716700	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xa015ac…
02-10 09:32:19	btc updown 15m 1770715800	Up	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0xabb2ac…
02-10 09:31:13	btc updown 15m 1770715800	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x83306e…
02-10 09:17:47	btc updown 15m 1770714900	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xde123a…
02-10 09:15:23	btc updown 15m 1770714900	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x73ec06…
02-10 09:05:23	btc updown 15m 1770714000	Up	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xbb9aa6…
02-10 08:53:39	btc updown 15m 1770713100	Up	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x1568e1…
02-10 08:30:55	btc updown 15m 1770712200	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xeabc09…
02-10 08:19:21	us strikes iran by february 10 2026	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x466d91…
02-10 08:19:15	us strikes iran by february 10 2026	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xf8c0db…
02-10 08:16:33	btc updown 15m 1770711300	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x19bae4…