Frank-Turnstile — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.0%

Resolved

Trades

136

lifetime

Volume

$16.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$118

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 06-14 05:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

57% 50% $-15

Other

43% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	4	$1.5K	1,548	1,548	+0	open	—	06-06 07:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$1.5K	1,019	1,019	+0	open	—	04-24 15:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$1.4K	720	720	+0	open	—	06-01 04:33
Will Trump's remarks not air?	2	$1.3K	675	675	+0	open	—	05-01 19:14
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$984	522	522	+0	No	+$0	05-08 03:17
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	2	$937	477	477	+0	open	—	04-17 12:54
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	2	$796	478	478	+0	open	—	04-16 19:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$672	681	14	+667	open	—	04-26 14:24
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	2	$657	74	606	-532	No	$-15	05-06 04:19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$632	342	342	+0	open	—	04-19 13:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$580	592	0	+592	open	—	05-09 05:26
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	4	$552	319	319	+0	open	—	04-10 20:41
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	8	$443	838	401	+438	open	—	03-24 13:41
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	2	$332	179	179	+0	open	—	04-15 13:49
will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	1	$317	325	0	+325	open	—	04-15 13:51
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	1	$316	379	0	+379	open	—	04-19 13:36
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	2	$297	433	433	+0	open	—	03-11 16:53
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	2	$254	141	141	+0	open	—	04-15 13:49
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$216	120	120	+0	open	—	03-20 05:42
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$192	490	490	+0	open	—	05-08 03:16
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 16	2	$183	187	28	+159	open	—	03-12 07:50
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$146	417	417	+0	open	—	03-05 08:49
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 5, 2026?	1	$108	115	0	+115	open	—	04-03 08:47
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	3	$106	232	49	+183	open	—	03-04 15:03
will iran strike israel on march 6	2	$102	5,423	0	+5,423	open	—	03-11 05:51
will trump say hormuz during address to the nation	1	$101	116	0	+116	open	—	04-01 07:16
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$98	61	61	+0	open	—	03-20 07:59
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	4	$87	194	194	+0	open	—	03-06 08:34
Will Vance visit the Middle East by March 31?	1	$86	101	0	+101	open	—	03-26 13:56
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$84	47	47	+0	open	—	03-23 17:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 05:27:36	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	12¢	$10	0xc82a80…
06-13 15:06:33	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x3e33b6…
06-06 07:49:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	713	98¢	$701	0x0d5daa…
06-01 04:33:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	713	94¢	$670	0xa8bc9f…
06-01 04:33:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	SELL	835	6¢	$50	0x1cc8b1…
06-01 04:33:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	619	100¢	$618	0x93c26e…
05-28 14:17:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	835	12¢	$100	0x1e131a…
05-28 14:17:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$100	0x0e5e16…
05-25 04:08:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	720	97¢	$700	0x276b32…
05-09 05:26:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	592	98¢	$580	0xcd7a48…
05-08 03:17:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	522	94¢	$492	0xb88618…
05-08 03:16:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	490	19¢	$92	0x3d5623…
05-07 20:20:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	522	94¢	$492	0xba4cbb…
05-07 19:25:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	490	20¢	$100	0xcc2437…
05-06 04:29:50	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	312	2¢	$5	0x70b275…
05-06 04:19:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	606	97¢	$587	0xd7344d…
05-04 06:31:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	74	94¢	$70	0x4fb19b…
05-01 19:14:24	Will Trump's remarks not air?	No	SELL	675	99¢	$671	0x17e426…
05-01 09:42:28	Will Trump's remarks not air?	No	BUY	675	99¢	$665	0x2537b5…
04-30 08:39:14	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Nuggets	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x794040…
04-29 11:26:38	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0xd91b13…
04-29 11:05:26	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0xa6d7a4…
04-29 11:05:04	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	95	9¢	$8	0x944fd2…
04-26 14:25:06	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x7a1e49…
04-26 14:24:16	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	95	10¢	$10	0x4e34b5…
04-26 14:24:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$13	0x46e6b8…
04-25 17:47:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	681	97¢	$659	0x4a4b03…
04-25 17:44:48	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x031817…
04-24 15:09:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	673	98¢	$660	0xa6e0c7…
04-21 13:34:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	507	75¢	$379	0xc59ed6…
04-19 13:36:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	No	BUY	379	83¢	$316	0xd3016a…
04-19 13:36:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	342	93¢	$316	0xc634c2…
04-19 12:26:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	342	92¢	$316	0x6a818b…
04-18 08:25:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x4d301f…
04-17 18:52:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	345	43¢	$148	0xbfc1f0…
04-17 13:11:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0x5f493f…
04-17 12:54:58	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	No	SELL	477	98¢	$467	0xc2d74b…
04-17 08:15:14	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	No	BUY	477	98¢	$470	0x24bd0f…
04-16 19:03:58	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	SELL	478	98¢	$470	0x6b22f1…
04-16 15:23:02	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	478	68¢	$325	0x7a7fc6…
04-15 13:51:18	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	No	BUY	325	97¢	$317	0x81f164…
04-15 13:49:20	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	No	SELL	141	99¢	$140	0x41c243…
04-15 13:49:16	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	No	SELL	179	99¢	$177	0x308b45…
04-10 20:41:23	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	No	BUY	179	87¢	$155	0xffb4e2…
04-10 20:41:09	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	No	SELL	156	99¢	$155	0x685a07…
04-09 04:16:07	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	No	BUY	141	81¢	$114	0x95c9a2…
04-08 15:34:31	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	No	SELL	163	70¢	$114	0x2916f6…
04-08 06:39:39	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	43	90¢	$39	0x94c8a0…
04-08 06:37:57	israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	No	SELL	41	95¢	$39	0xcc4a8d…
04-08 06:05:15	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	276	88¢	$244	0xf6e47c…
04-07 20:29:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x72192e…
04-03 08:47:11	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	94¢	$108	0xc076bf…
04-03 08:44:07	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	55	5¢	$3	0x137fd3…
04-02 07:11:15	Nothing Ever Happens: April	Nothing	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x5aabac…
04-01 07:16:13	will trump say hormuz during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	116	87¢	$101	0x88011c…
03-31 13:40:07	israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	No	BUY	41	58¢	$24	0xe95e18…
03-29 06:38:08	will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 24 2026	No	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x67233f…
03-29 06:38:02	will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 26 2026	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x7660a2…
03-27 07:58:27	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	No	SELL	64	40¢	$26	0x1a3ec3…
03-26 20:38:33	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	No	BUY	64	20¢	$13	0xfd7dd0…
03-26 19:40:19	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	Yes	SELL	33	39¢	$13	0x31b45b…
03-26 13:56:41	Will Vance visit the Middle East by March 31?	No	BUY	101	85¢	$86	0xc2bb2e…
03-26 13:54:25	will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 24 2026	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x9869c0…
03-26 07:43:59	will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 27 2026	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x2d2bd5…
03-26 07:42:31	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 27 2026 153	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xcf285c…
03-24 13:41:19	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xc4f711…
03-24 10:24:35	will iran strike lebanon in march	No	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xd2bc2d…
03-24 10:23:37	will iran strike saudi arabia again in march	No	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x944317…
03-24 10:23:05	will iran strike iraq again in march	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xe983be…
03-24 10:21:53	will iran strike lebanon in march	No	SELL	53	18¢	$9	0x565f71…
03-24 10:20:39	will iran strike lebanon in march	No	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xfccbf9…
03-24 10:19:01	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 24 2026 647	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xab31c1…
03-24 10:18:31	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 24 2026 996	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x9453c5…
03-24 05:43:47	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 24 2026 996	Yes	BUY	23	92¢	$22	0x4d85ae…
03-24 05:27:41	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xdbe589…
03-24 02:40:13	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	No	SELL	44	72¢	$32	0x268176…
03-23 17:11:07	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	No	BUY	26	90¢	$23	0x90401a…
03-23 17:10:59	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	No	BUY	44	47¢	$21	0xe81493…
03-23 17:10:31	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	SELL	47	94¢	$44	0x79828f…
03-23 04:55:03	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	No	BUY	79	69¢	$55	0x404c90…
03-23 04:54:15	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	Yes	SELL	176	31¢	$55	0x80abd9…
03-22 10:31:31	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	47	87¢	$41	0xdcad84…
03-22 10:29:47	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	Yes	SELL	224	18¢	$41	0x51e6c4…
03-20 07:59:27	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	Yes	BUY	77	62¢	$48	0x7a50f0…
03-20 07:59:07	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	61	78¢	$48	0xd9c0c9…
03-20 05:42:41	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	Yes	BUY	188	57¢	$107	0x879279…
03-20 05:42:23	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	SELL	120	89¢	$107	0x59e196…
03-19 20:17:27	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	120	91¢	$109	0x871c04…
03-19 20:16:27	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xe8b88c…
03-18 08:15:43	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	Yes	BUY	136	84¢	$115	0x45cb9c…
03-13 07:08:45	will khamenei tweet every day through march 27	No	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0xc8d578…
03-12 07:50:39	will khamenei tweet again on march 12 2026 799	No	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xe77b9b…
03-12 07:50:05	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 16	No	SELL	28	83¢	$23	0x529c6d…
03-12 07:47:45	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 16	No	BUY	187	85¢	$159	0x333dc9…
03-12 07:19:01	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0xebf465…
03-11 17:52:37	will iran strike jordan in march	No	BUY	202	18¢	$36	0x386025…
03-11 16:53:59	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	No	SELL	433	45¢	$197	0xedaa05…
03-11 05:51:13	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x1800ae…
03-09 13:26:33	highest temperature in atlanta on march 9 2026 78 79f	Yes	BUY	23	45¢	$10	0x032138…
03-09 12:34:47	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x32e1c3…