Silly-Gunpowder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$310

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

52.7%

Resolved

168

Trades

357

lifetime

Volume

$1.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$37

1 position

First seen

2026-04-15

last 07-06 17:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 44% $-310

Other

9% — —

Politics

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 180 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes		+323	$48	12¢	$37	$-11	07-06 17:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitals	16	$71	66	65	+1	open	—	04-21 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	6	$68	124	124	+0	Down	$-61	05-13 11:13
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	2	$48	323	0	+323	open	—	07-06 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	3	$31	21	21	+0	Up	+$9	05-13 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	3	$31	21	21	+0	Up	+$9	05-13 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	1	$31	50	0	+50	Down	$-31	05-13 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$29	69	0	+69	Down	$-29	05-11 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$29	21	21	+0	Up	+$6	05-13 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	7	$27	22	22	+0	Up	+$5	05-13 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	4	$26	20	20	+0	Up	+$4	05-13 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	1	$24	47	0	+47	Down	$-24	05-11 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	4	$24	47	0	+47	Down	$-24	05-11 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	4	$24	18	18	+0	Up	+$6	05-12 11:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$23	62	0	+62	Down	$-23	05-13 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$23	18	18	+0	Up	+$4	05-12 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	2	$20	13	13	+0	Down	+$4	05-13 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$18	18	18	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$16	30	0	+30	Down	$-16	05-13 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	05-13 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	4	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	05-13 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	4	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	05-13 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$6	05-13 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	3	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-13 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	4	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-13 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	5	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-13 14:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	3	$12	22	0	+22	Down	$-12	05-11 20:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 17:20:26	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x4dfde7…
07-06 17:19:10	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	189	15¢	$28	0x56ada1…
05-13 21:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xccdc30…
05-13 21:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xb5623e…
05-13 21:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfc0118…
05-13 21:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x24b648…
05-13 21:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x7f36f8…
05-13 21:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x0f9fb6…
05-13 21:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x9ba237…
05-13 21:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xdcbe9c…
05-13 21:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xe78c0b…
05-13 21:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x623955…
05-13 21:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	18	75¢	$13	0x1713b5…
05-13 21:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xc25590…
05-13 21:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb32063…
05-13 21:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x9ecc69…
05-13 21:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x58c7e8…
05-13 21:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xcbd2da…
05-13 21:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x5dc537…
05-13 21:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x469a96…
05-13 21:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3c94f8…
05-13 20:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xedd335…
05-13 20:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe86295…
05-13 20:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x85741d…
05-13 20:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x960079…
05-13 20:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xa175ef…
05-13 20:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x6f683e…
05-13 20:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x7a4f96…
05-13 20:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xa69d2f…
05-13 20:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x35ec37…
05-13 20:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3abe06…
05-13 20:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x2aca55…
05-13 19:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb3684f…
05-13 19:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x84ff2f…
05-13 19:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xc1a5be…
05-13 19:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x19d140…
05-13 19:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xa94aa5…
05-13 19:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x6b1e82…
05-13 19:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x07ea38…
05-13 19:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xcfa858…
05-13 19:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xce1228…
05-13 19:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xab0de8…
05-13 19:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf6883e…
05-13 19:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0x42952a…
05-13 19:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0aa1cf…
05-13 19:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x081699…
05-13 19:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x4f41f5…
05-13 19:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x0bc2c3…
05-13 18:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x514eb1…
05-13 18:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc9ec69…
05-13 18:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x6b6d5d…
05-13 18:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	57¢	$0	0xdc4376…
05-13 18:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x62b9d1…
05-13 18:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x5d3e70…
05-13 18:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3bae8c…
05-13 18:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x3b15ee…
05-13 18:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x87dbb7…
05-13 18:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0xa78701…
05-13 18:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xddd543…
05-13 18:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x994bb8…
05-13 18:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x2966ab…
05-13 18:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x77752b…
05-13 18:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x34bd71…
05-13 18:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	54¢	$7	0xdd8f8e…
05-13 18:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xa1fe5e…
05-13 18:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2c0c01…
05-13 17:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x9a979f…
05-13 17:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0xce2875…
05-13 17:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x828a83…
05-13 17:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xb3ba1f…
05-13 17:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0xec87db…
05-13 17:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xceaded…
05-13 17:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x0a3758…
05-13 17:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4fdf4b…
05-13 17:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$3	0xc1ba99…
05-13 17:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x453aa0…
05-13 17:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x2a0d79…
05-13 16:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x89e65e…
05-13 16:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$2	0x283bb5…
05-13 16:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xa1c35c…
05-13 16:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xff6b93…
05-13 16:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x161495…
05-13 16:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xea2e8d…
05-13 16:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x733f1c…
05-13 16:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xe86b11…
05-13 16:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x835dde…
05-13 16:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9e78f9…
05-13 16:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xf05855…
05-13 16:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe7b7ee…
05-13 16:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x28648a…
05-13 16:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x8c959c…
05-13 16:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x69e91a…
05-13 16:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc86365…
05-13 16:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	21	82¢	$18	0x590471…
05-13 16:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x2e9691…
05-13 15:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x409d56…
05-13 15:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xaff640…
05-13 15:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x51fda0…
05-13 15:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x6f5a14…
05-13 15:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x3d7ef8…