Annual-Light — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

798

lifetime

Volume

$4.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 08-11 16:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

74% 100% +$1

Other

18% — —

Sports

3% 100% +$1

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	46	$204	155	155	+0	open	—	03-04 01:33
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?	19	$163	155	143	+12	open	—	02-28 06:39
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?	21	$136	165	136	+29	open	—	02-28 06:12
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?	22	$127	139	129	+10	open	—	02-28 06:12
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	20	$124	190	170	+20	open	—	02-28 00:23
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	18	$114	70	70	+0	open	—	03-08 19:19
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	17	$101	62	62	+0	open	—	03-02 00:35
will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	12	$99	79	79	+0	open	—	03-01 10:32
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	19	$96	75	75	+0	open	—	03-04 03:43
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	4	$94	60	60	+0	open	—	02-28 02:01
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	19	$94	101	81	+20	open	—	02-28 06:43
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	13	$87	50	56	-6	open	—	03-04 01:49
US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?	10	$86	90	80	+10	open	—	02-28 06:12
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?	17	$85	88	74	+14	open	—	02-28 06:20
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	31	$84	50	50	+0	open	—	03-01 21:15
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	14	$79	55	55	+0	open	—	03-02 02:09
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	3	$77	40	40	+0	open	—	03-04 16:42
US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?	13	$75	70	70	+0	open	—	02-28 06:39
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	16	$71	93	83	+10	open	—	02-28 06:20
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	7	$70	50	50	+0	open	—	02-28 03:37
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	16	$65	62	52	+10	open	—	03-04 00:39
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	17	$63	49	54	-5	open	—	03-03 14:52
will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	16	$56	46	46	+0	open	—	03-02 22:41
US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?	9	$55	58	48	+10	open	—	02-28 06:37
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	14	$54	48	48	+0	open	—	03-03 22:41
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	4	$54	30	30	+0	open	—	02-28 06:20
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?	10	$52	41	41	+0	open	—	02-28 06:14
will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	4	$51	47	47	+0	open	—	02-27 23:05
will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	8	$49	30	30	+0	open	—	03-02 12:31
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	9	$49	40	40	+0	open	—	04-07 20:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 16:59:31	btc updown 5m 1786467300	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xefe922…
04-07 20:56:41	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0xce31ea…
04-07 20:49:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x7a83e7…
04-07 20:49:43	Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	No	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x8027ac…
04-07 20:49:01	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x2f3501…
03-23 13:32:35	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	81¢	$3	0x74c631…
03-21 09:19:29	will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	No	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0xd0e0d7…
03-13 02:40:15	Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	8	69¢	$6	0xa75b03…
03-12 20:28:49	Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x98f793…
03-08 19:19:45	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xfa9849…
03-08 18:52:31	will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x20fcee…
03-08 18:52:07	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x73bbdb…
03-08 18:50:23	Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x3af01e…
03-08 18:49:47	will the dhs shutdown end between march 12 15 2026	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x8439b4…
03-04 21:12:33	will iran strike israel on march 9	No	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x7ee7d2…
03-04 21:01:27	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0xa0811c…
03-04 18:42:05	will iran strike israel on march 9	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x4b654e…
03-04 16:43:07	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x318068…
03-04 16:42:53	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xe75335…
03-04 04:06:09	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	Yes	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0x5a3b11…
03-04 04:05:59	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	No	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0x316c64…
03-04 04:00:45	will iran strike israel on march 7	Yes	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x03efb2…
03-04 03:43:45	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	SELL	14	64¢	$9	0x9bdc48…
03-04 02:10:23	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0x2d70c2…
03-04 01:51:51	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	No	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0xf3561e…
03-04 01:49:07	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xb590d9…
03-04 01:45:01	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	Yes	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x9c50e4…
03-04 01:43:01	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xa2d18e…
03-04 01:33:35	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	11	69¢	$7	0x9ad4be…
03-04 01:30:37	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x740289…
03-04 01:28:29	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	Yes	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x15e41e…
03-04 01:23:27	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x5cf24f…
03-04 01:11:59	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0xc9b378…
03-04 01:11:13	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0xf0e0b2…
03-04 01:11:13	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x4e121b…
03-04 01:08:53	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0xaa468f…
03-04 01:08:47	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0xcb171e…
03-04 01:08:31	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0xa570de…
03-04 01:07:45	Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xd7260e…
03-04 01:03:09	will iran strike israel on march 7	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x3652e2…
03-04 00:53:13	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x1af967…
03-04 00:39:47	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x0e1d83…
03-04 00:32:27	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	SELL	13	81¢	$10	0x94146c…
03-04 00:29:25	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	Yes	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0x38eb31…
03-04 00:29:11	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xd6f2e0…
03-04 00:27:29	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0xa17ed9…
03-04 00:27:23	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf99dd5…
03-04 00:25:37	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x7bbbfe…
03-04 00:25:33	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x2f056d…
03-04 00:25:31	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0xdc3a89…
03-04 00:25:31	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x750613…
03-04 00:25:31	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x035feb…
03-04 00:24:09	will qatar strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x69ca1f…
03-04 00:23:49	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xb64a99…
03-04 00:22:45	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xe00948…
03-04 00:22:19	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xa153ae…
03-04 00:20:35	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xc85b27…
03-04 00:19:43	will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x855b8c…
03-04 00:19:37	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x56f41e…
03-04 00:16:29	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x58faf1…
03-04 00:12:29	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	Yes	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0xcf53c2…
03-04 00:07:37	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x23f19d…
03-04 00:06:35	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x5d4f1a…
03-04 00:00:35	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x3da2b5…
03-04 00:00:29	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0xff4f92…
03-03 23:56:53	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xb62341…
03-03 23:56:05	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xa5a241…
03-03 23:54:33	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	BUY	1	63¢	$1	0xddb3fe…
03-03 23:54:33	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2cb4be…
03-03 23:54:23	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0xf9ff2b…
03-03 23:53:53	will iran strike syria in march	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xce8876…
03-03 23:53:29	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	Yes	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x52cb47…
03-03 23:52:27	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x0cf6e9…
03-03 23:52:19	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xee0937…
03-03 23:51:01	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x66a52e…
03-03 23:50:07	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0xe79549…
03-03 23:50:07	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0x7a7bdb…
03-03 23:49:57	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	SELL	11	66¢	$7	0x99d4cd…
03-03 23:47:27	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x6f65ed…
03-03 23:47:01	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x58715f…
03-03 23:46:41	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	64¢	$0	0x63d3e7…
03-03 23:45:49	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x67f9c2…
03-03 23:44:59	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x38bc96…
03-03 23:43:37	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x3ea283…
03-03 23:41:43	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x42a208…
03-03 23:38:39	will qatar strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xfcfa9c…
03-03 23:35:55	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x45a10f…
03-03 23:30:33	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x45aaf7…
03-03 23:30:21	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x9b5917…
03-03 23:27:11	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0xfc3edf…
03-03 23:26:13	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x135117…
03-03 23:25:55	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x124fee…
03-03 23:22:53	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xf0fa2b…
03-03 23:22:25	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x22ea0c…
03-03 23:21:05	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xf34da0…
03-03 23:20:13	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x4b63f5…
03-03 23:16:29	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xac7fbd…
03-03 23:16:19	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0xfd0032…
03-03 23:15:41	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0xee09ac…
03-03 23:11:41	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xfed6d1…