Cold-Surrounds — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$38

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$634

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-14 13:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

100% 100% +$40

Crypto

0% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$256	212	212	+0	open	—	05-14 13:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	7	$178	152	152	+0	Yes	+$23	05-09 06:43
Will Trump say "President Xi" during events with Brazilian president?	2	$45	29	29	+0	No	+$8	05-07 18:16
Will Trump say "Bolsonaro" during events with Brazilian president?	2	$35	22	22	+0	No	+$5	05-07 18:19
Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$32	30	30	+0	open	—	05-13 20:06
Will Trump say "Tren de Aragua" during events with Brazilian president?	2	$24	15	15	+0	No	+$4	05-07 18:19
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$15	15	15	+0	open	—	05-14 12:57
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	05-13 22:10
Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	05-13 20:29
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$9	16	16	+0	open	—	05-13 20:06
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$8	22	22	+0	open	—	05-13 20:06
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-13 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$2	11	0	+11	Up	$-2	05-06 21:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 13:19:15	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	129	71¢	$92	0x283192…
05-14 13:05:30	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	43	71¢	$30	0xf713fb…
05-14 12:57:13	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	15	72¢	$10	0x0afefc…
05-14 04:02:43	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x92a7ec…
05-13 22:10:02	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	12	66¢	$8	0xa56d2d…
05-13 20:29:45	Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0xb6e1bd…
05-13 20:06:27	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	22	18¢	$4	0x05e5de…
05-13 20:06:11	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	16	29¢	$5	0x0ea41a…
05-13 20:06:01	Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	30	57¢	$17	0xc2834c…
05-13 20:05:57	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0x8cd78d…
05-13 20:03:32	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xd7e078…
05-13 17:42:54	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x2caf15…
05-13 17:39:13	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x39eac7…
05-13 17:35:38	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x5015f0…
05-13 17:35:20	Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xdd5800…
05-13 17:34:52	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x8200d6…
05-13 17:32:52	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x12a3df…
05-13 17:30:56	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x498e9f…
05-13 17:30:09	Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x911ddf…
05-13 17:29:55	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x3f0bb2…
05-13 17:29:43	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7978ad…
05-13 17:29:18	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0xf4d636…
05-09 06:43:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	0¢	$0	0x448122…
05-09 06:33:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x32d7fa…
05-08 19:28:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x8ec368…
05-08 19:28:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0x527e29…
05-08 19:17:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	18¢	$8	0x356a5d…
05-08 19:13:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	61	81¢	$50	0x368561…
05-08 18:34:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x1dfb88…
05-07 18:19:46	Will Trump say "Tren de Aragua" during events with Brazilian president?	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0xb29787…
05-07 18:19:02	Will Trump say "Bolsonaro" during events with Brazilian president?	No	SELL	22	95¢	$20	0x87d438…
05-07 18:16:47	Will Trump say "President Xi" during events with Brazilian president?	No	SELL	29	92¢	$26	0xc9f447…
05-07 17:40:25	Will Trump say "President Xi" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0x5759b4…
05-07 17:39:53	Will Trump say "Bolsonaro" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	22	70¢	$15	0x25fbb7…
05-06 21:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xca27f7…
05-06 21:32:53	Will Trump say "Tren de Aragua" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xe42840…